Paul Ronan

@pauldronan

Research on the LRA & other armed groups in east/central Africa for @Invisible, & before that @weareresolved. Otherwise: basketball, cat GIFs, & Utah redrock.

1 541Followers

1 537Following

3 182Posts total

12.7KViews on collected posts

Neueste Beiträge

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

Either way, I'm heartbroken for my friends in Banda. I visited at the peak of LRA violence over a decade ago, and just last month received audio messages from friends there about how peaceful the region has been. 273 views · 4 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

This attack, even if it's a one-off event, will be traumatizing for so many people, and has likely re-shattered a sense of security that was just taking recently taking root after they survived nearly a decade of LRA violence. 204 views · 1 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

So it is theoretically possible the UPC carried out this week's mass abduction. However, the abduction of so many children and youth doesn't fit the UPC MO, especially in DRC. 164 views · 1 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

We also know that LRA and UPC groups have collaborated in the past, so it's possible there is some coordination going on, if in fact the LRA is responsible for this week's attack. 181 views · 1 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

However, most armed group attacks in this region of DRC over the past year have actually been cross-border raids by the UPC, which has groups based in the same Haut Mbomou region of CAR as the LRA does. 165 views · 1 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

On that "if confirmed" point... this attack has a classic LRA MO and occurred in communities that LRA groups historically targeted for child abductions. We also know of two LRA groups based in CAR (~100 miles away from the DRC attack but well within LRA striking distance). 182 views · 1 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

We also know that the LRA groups in CAR are low on food and frustrated with the slow pace of demobilization. And many of the previously abducted children in their groups have escaped over the past two years. So it's feasible they've resumed their old ways in desperation. 179 views · 1 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

We're currently investigating this reported #LRA attack and mass child abduction in #DRC's Bas Uele province. A quick thread with some context. 1/ https://t.co/UzfVSG6RAC 11.2K views · 16 likes · 20 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Paul Ronan@pauldronan1 Mar 2023

The last documented LRA attack in CAR or DRC was Dec 2021, and the last documented child abduction was March 2021. So this attack, if confirmed as LRA, would be somewhat shocking. Many, including me, thought that the LRA's mass abduction days were over. 191 views · 2 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

1911 Mar

11.2K

179

182

165

181

164

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273

Last 9 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

2.62%1 Mar

0.38%

1.68%

1.65%

1.82%

1.66%

1.83%

0.98%

2.20%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views.

What the audience does

Likes38.4%28 in total

Reposts39.7%29 in total

Replies11.0%8 in total

Quotes6.8%5 in total

Bookmarks4.1%3 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Neueste Beiträge

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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