Kevin Cole ✓
@KevinCole___ · DMV · joined 16 May 2014
🏈 @Unexpected_Pts newsletter/pod. Previously Data Scientist @PFF. Stats are numbers, numbers are nerds, nerds are losers. Therefore, stats are losers
41 549Followers
1 214Following
45 724Posts total
953.2KViews on collected posts
Últimas publicaciones
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7 days until the NFL season.
I present you with the only 100% correct Week 1 NFL Power Rankings @Unexpected_Pts https://t.co/R7RFyXVwrQ
23.5K views · 106 likes
· 4 reposts · 34 replies
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Even the best-laid plans for easing in rookie QBs are thrown aside after a few early losses
6.6K views · 19 likes
· 0 reposts · 3 replies
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Counter to what eveyone keeps saying I do think Mendoza ends up playing at least half the games this season for LV. Teams love to shout how they are going to be different and sit rookie QBs all season but we know that very rarely happens unless u are on a Playoff level team (ie h
15.2K views · 25 likes
· 2 reposts · 3 replies
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My projection for Justin Herbert had been higher in recent years than his headline EPA figures. Now, I have him ranked significantly lower than by NFL insiders ("Sando")
I'm also materially lower on Caleb Williams, who improved last year but didn't have an elite breakout https:/
35.3K views · 82 likes
· 9 reposts · 7 replies
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@KevinCole___ @Unexpected_Pts @SandoNFL How many more mediocre seasons would Mahomes need in a row before his good seasons decayed out enough for him to not be first?
497 views · 7 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
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Full preseason QB rankings analysis here
https://t.co/NtAEuVwEMn https://t.co/UxN7EJ6mdi
4K views · 17 likes
· 2 reposts · 1 replies
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My preseason QB rankings @Unexpected_Pts using Bayesian statistical analysis.
Includes a primer on methodology, discussion of mean projection versus range-of-outcomes, and a comparison to @SandoNFL's QB tiers
Link in replies https://t.co/GgH5GzITRK
64.3K views · 122 likes
· 8 reposts · 13 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts Added a handful more transactions, including the Sydney Brown trade, to the @Unexpected_Pts 2026 NFL Offseason Improvement Index
Jets still at the top, Titans (new logo!) in second https://t.co/cr5hq6gryd
19.3K views · 3 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts Daily update to the @Unexpected_Pts 2026 NFL Improvement Index.
Jets still on top, Titans closing in, as both teams have a lot of cap space to spend in free agency. Up to 107 total transactions logged into the model https://t.co/36m0LoxGGl
4.3K views · 6 likes
· 1 reposts · 1 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts Why are the Colts so low? Looking thin, as of now, at offensive tackle and a few other positions. Big signings like Daniel Jones and Alec Pierce are viewed as lateral moves, not changes from end-of-season roster to now
All the player-level details are available i
3.7K views · 0 likes
· 0 reposts · 2 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts 2026 NFL Offseason Improvement Index @Unexpected_Pts updated through yesterday.
95 player transactions accounted for and detailed in the write-up. Value changes include expected draft capital value https://t.co/KuKsfseuVh
2.3K views · 1 likes
· 0 reposts · 1 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts Big movement at the top of the @Unexpected_Pts 2026 NFL Improvement Index.
I updated for the Devin Bush move from the Browns to the Bears (was waiting for transaction to be official), and the Browns are now knocked out of the top spot https://t.co/RnUonprNQf
2.3K views · 4 likes
· 1 reposts · 1 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts Individual player value calculations available for all 80 transactions, based on the @Unexpected_Pts NFL Plus/Minus projections
https://t.co/Q5ChcwIeLh https://t.co/v6eAHoIBrI
3.8K views · 0 likes
· 0 reposts · 5 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts 2026 @Unexpected_Pts NFL Improvement Index updated through the weekend.
80 total payer transactions accounted for in the numbers, plus assumed value gains according to draft capital based on current picks https://t.co/A5yM5MsUiW
3.7K views · 7 likes
· 4 reposts · 1 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts Daily update to the @Unexpected_Pts 2026 NFL Offseason Improvement Index.
Includes a handful of smaller signings that became official on the NFL transaction list yesterday.
Colts slipping further down, values tightening up near the top between the Browns and Jet
3.7K views · 5 likes
· 0 reposts · 1 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts All the details on the @Unexpected_Pts 2026 NFL Improvement Index, with player-level breakdowns of value here
https://t.co/Q5ChcwIeLh https://t.co/MzJbH2aRn9
10.8K views · 32 likes
· 12 reposts · 1 replies
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@Unexpected_Pts Offseason Improvement Index
@Unexpected_Pts
updated for most recent announcements.
Vikings get a big bump with Kyler Murray. Team movements are based not just on the value of the player acquired, but also the assumed improvement over the previous starter.
Let'
21.5K views · 41 likes
· 6 reposts · 5 replies
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Offseason Improvement Index @Unexpected_Pts updated for most recent announcements:
Trey Hendrickson: CIN -> BAL
Braden Smith: IND -> HOU
K'Lavon Chaisson: NE -> WAS
Coby Bryant: SEA -> CHI
Bradley Chubb: MIA -> BUF
Osa Odighizuwa: DAL -> SF
Javon Hargrave: MIN -> GB https://t.co
6K views · 14 likes
· 2 reposts · 2 replies
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@KevinCole___ @Unexpected_Pts Looks like Cleveland has won yet another offseason championship
7.9K views · 130 likes
· 0 reposts · 8 replies
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All the details on the 2026 NFL Offseason Improvement Index, plus player-level effects
https://t.co/Q5ChcwIeLh
43.8K views · 22 likes
· 3 reposts · 2 replies
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2026 NFL Offseason Improvement Index is up and running @Unexpected_Pts
Compares end-of-season roster point-differential projections to those reflecting offseason changes, including draft capital effects.
It doesn't project this well *every* offseason, but 2025 results were htt
459.6K views · 924 likes
· 144 reposts · 59 replies
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@jbarro FYI, I was able to use a tinyurl and it worked if you want to go that route
5K views · 4 likes
· 0 reposts · 1 replies
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This is unfortunate and greatly reduces the usefulness of Twitter for me. I won't be posting or engaging here unless and until this policy is reversed.
206K views · 425 likes
· 45 reposts · 38 replies
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Frente a cuentas del mismo tamaño
7 publicaciones de los últimos 90 días, junto al rango de 10K–100K seguidores. llega a mucha gente, pero pocos de esos espectadores reaccionan.
Visualizaciones medianas15 249esta cuenta924mediana de 10K–100K
Alcance, %36.70%esta cuenta3.62%mediana de 10K–100K
Interacción, %0.33%esta cuenta1.52%mediana de 10K–100K
| Métrica | Esta cuenta | Mediana de 10K–100K | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visualizaciones medianas por publicación | 15 249 | 924 | 16.5× |
| Alcance (visualizaciones ÷ seguidores) | 36.70% | 3.62% | 10.1× |
| Tasa de interacción | 0.33% | 1.52% | 0.22× |
Otras cuentas de este rango → Comparar con otra cuenta → Cómo se construyen estas referencias →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
3.7K16 Mar
3.8K
2.3K17 Mar
2.3K18 Mar
3.7K
4.3K19 Mar
19.3K23 Mar
64.3K10 Aug
4K
497
35.3K12 Aug
15.2K27 Aug
6.6K
23.5K2 Sep
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.38%16 Mar
0.13%
0.31%17 Mar
0.09%18 Mar
0.05%
0.21%19 Mar
0.03%23 Mar
0.23%10 Aug
0.50%
1.41%
0.28%12 Aug
0.21%27 Aug
0.33%
0.64%2 Sep
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.
What the audience does
Likes69.1%1 996 in total
Reposts8.4%243 in total
Replies6.5%189 in total
Quotes4.6%133 in total
Bookmarks11.3%326 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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