Alessio Patalano
@alessionaval · London, England · joined 30 Mar 2013
Professor of War & Strategy in East Asia | FRHistS | @warstudies | @kcl_CGS | Postwar Japan as a Seapower. Naval affairs. Strategy. Indo-Pacific. One ping only.
28 405Followers
3 144Following
63 485Posts total
117.5KViews on collected posts
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Not a conservative city. A dynamic and aspirational one. Great answers here to get a sense of the Londoner behind the politician. https://t.co/hfhYTlsrDi
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Note the dial band radar - which is one of the visible differences with previous warships of the same class, emblematic of the ‘full’ set up. Also to note: rather pristine state for a warship that’s been at sea and in exercises and other op commitments for the past four months.
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イタリア海軍の哨戒艦「ジョヴァンニ・デッレ・バンデ・ネーレ」が横須賀に入港しました！⚓️
大使館発表によると9/2~7まで寄港予定とのことです。
Benvenuto in Giappone! 🇮🇹🤝🇯🇵🎉
#MarinaMilitare
🇮🇹【#ジョヴァンニ・デッレ・バンデ・ネーレ (Giovanni delle Bande Nere,P-434)】2026/09/02📸 https://t.co/2SiHj6L8w1
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As a one additional note - I am also incredibly grateful to a number of invaluable conversations - not least with @exit266 - which were essential to refine the appreciation of the different component of grain and other Black Sea exports.
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@alessionaval @RUSI_org Great thread
#MustRead full article @RUSI_org
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B. Long range precision strike was crucial for UKR operational success but insufficient to ensure victory conditions - arguably recent Russian strike ops in Odesa reinforce the point;
C. Black Sea trade remains vulnerable and the greatest threat to Ukrainian economic solvency;
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D. Putin’s maximalist objectives will find in the maritime theatre a natural place to continue to threaten UKR if and when a ceasefire is agreed.
In all, UKR war at sea has been a superb effort in denial - but that chapter has yet to ensure a sustainable victory.
Thank you!
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Within this context we try to achieve one overarching aim and offer 4 conclusions-
Overarching aim: present a first coherent and systematic assessment of how the maritime theatre fits in the larger picture;
There, it is inevitable to see how maritime actions are linked to land;
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This was particularly true in both Russian changing war objectives at sea; and UKR capacity for responses.
Conclusions:
A. UKR proved that ‘small navies’ can establish a robust denial bubble but larger navies have just greater capacity for reconstitution and ‘bounce back’;
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The piece helps understanding three aspects currently hotly debated:
1. Security guarantees to UKR will need robust maritime component;
2. Lifting sanctions to RU should come not to detriment of UKR Black Sea trade;
3. Recognition of maritime gains should not be a starting line;
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Which is why a third point is crucial:
C. The maritime war is one of attrition and won’t end with a ceasefire; it will require careful attention to avoid a detrimental outcome for UKR long term economic survival and reconstruction;
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So - what’s this about? Three points:
A. The full-scale invasion is not just a land war - it has a maritime dimension that is little understood in context;
This in turn leads to a second point:
B. The maritime war is not just tales of exceptional successes v heavy odds;
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Also, particularly grateful to my co-author, Dan - who has the experience and exposure to the Ukrainian maritime realm and was truly invaluable in helping me understanding some very core aspects of the theatre and its strategic significance - a great collaborative experience;
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First of all a couple of preliminary observations - v important:
This piece is being published in open access, that means anyone can access and download it.
Very grateful to @KCLSecurity @warstudies for enabling research outputs to reach a much wider audience: a crucial support;
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The Strategic Significance of the Maritime Theatre in the Russia–Ukraine War - good morning X.
Delighted and honoured this piece Dan Hallett and I penned is out with @RUSI_org flagship publication- a short thread about our argument: https://t.co/blhaM5n9tF
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Frente a cuentas del mismo tamaño
5 publicaciones de los últimos 90 días, junto al rango de 10K–100K seguidores. llega a mucha gente, pero pocos de esos espectadores reaccionan.
Visualizaciones medianas1 374esta cuenta924mediana de 10K–100K
Alcance, %4.84%esta cuenta3.62%mediana de 10K–100K
Interacción, %1.02%esta cuenta1.52%mediana de 10K–100K
| Métrica | Esta cuenta | Mediana de 10K–100K | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visualizaciones medianas por publicación | 1 374 | 924 | 1.49× |
| Alcance (visualizaciones ÷ seguidores) | 4.84% | 3.62% | 1.34× |
| Tasa de interacción | 1.02% | 1.52% | 0.67× |
Otras cuentas de este rango → Comparar con otra cuenta → Cómo se construyen estas referencias →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
44024 Apr
393
369
315
329
980
610
628
611
22.6K2 Sep
3K
9333 Sep
1.4K5 Sep
6806 Sep
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
2.73%24 Apr
3.31%
3.25%
3.81%
2.74%
1.53%
1.80%
0.80%
1.31%
1.58%2 Sep
1.45%
0.64%3 Sep
1.02%5 Sep
0.44%6 Sep
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.
What the audience does
Likes73.7%591 in total
Reposts15.8%127 in total
Replies3.1%25 in total
Quotes1.2%10 in total
Bookmarks6.1%49 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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