Thomas de Waal

@Tom_deWaal · London · joined 29 Jul 2014

Senior Fellow, Carnegie Europe. Scholar/writer on Caucasus, E. Europe, Russia. 2022-3 Fellow at IWM, Vienna. Translator of Osip Mandelstam.

40 105Followers

2 390Following

4 002Posts total

36.7KViews on collected posts

Derniers posts

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal20 Jul

Ninety today! The Montreux Convention, the grandfather of international treaties, was signed on July 20, 1936. Ankara does all it can to make this slightly archaic convention the framework for Black Sea security – and itself as the gatekeeper. https://t.co/cHAgHNTZ7i 1.7K views · 3 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal1 Jul

Since 2022 the Montreux Factor has helped Ukraine in its maritime conflict with Russia. What happens next, how to engage with Turkey's position of supporting Ukraine without overly antagonizing Russia—all in my Carnegie paper out today. Just in time also for the NATO summit! 694 views · 5 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal1 Jul

Amazingly, the Montreux Convention will be 90 years old this month. It’s archaic in parts, but for Turkey it's still an essential document that guarantees its role as the gatekeeper of the Straits-- an aspiration fulfilled after many centuries... https://t.co/cHAgHNTZ7i 2K views · 13 likes · 6 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal3 Jun

Just published - my overview of the Armenian election and the state of the peace process https://t.co/frl0kH1yz7 1.3K views · 7 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal19 May

My discussion with Samvel Meliqsetyan (in Russian) on the state of the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process, the mood in both countries and how TRIPP is progressing. Thank you to Samvel for interesting questions. https://t.co/zO3CpFmaor 1.8K views · 7 likes · 3 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal18 Apr 2024

@Tom_deWaal @Carnegie_Europe Tommy, wrong about azeris not pursuing a genocidal policy against Armenians, wrong about russia leaving, wrong about international law. Gtfo 57 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal17 Apr 2024

We talk the politics of multiple neighbourhoods, Russia’s threats, intentions and inconsistencies and how and why trade has actually increased. It’s also the topic of a long forthcoming paper by me for @Carnegie_Europe. Watch this space! 1.7K views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Thomas de Waal@Tom_deWaal17 Apr 2024

Russia has lost its claim to a sphere of influence, to the idea of a “Near Abroad”, since the invasion of Ukraine but the direction of travel is less clear. Listen to me and Fiona Hill discuss this big topic in the @Carnegie_Europe podcast out today. https://t.co/IKRxCVFZrl 27.4K views · 121 likes · 30 reposts · 11 replies Open on X →

Face aux comptes de taille comparable

1 posts des 90 derniers jours, à côté de la tranche de 10K–100K abonnés. portée ordinaire pour sa taille, réaction plus faible que la moyenne.

Vues médianes1 667ce compte924médiane pour 10K–100K

Portée, %4.16%ce compte3.62%médiane pour 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.36%ce compte1.52%médiane pour 10K–100K

Indicateur	Ce compte	Médiane pour 10K–100K	Rapport
Vues médianes par post	1 667	924	1.80×
Portée (vues ÷ abonnés)	4.16%	3.62%	1.15×
Taux d'engagement	0.36%	1.52%	0.24×

Autres comptes de cette tranche → Comparer avec un autre compte → Comment ces repères sont établis →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

27.4K17 Apr

1.7K

5718 Apr

1.8K19 May

1.3K3 Jun

2K1 Jul

694

1.7K20 Jul

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.60%17 Apr

0.12%

7.02%18 Apr

0.56%19 May

0.67%3 Jun

1.00%1 Jul

0.86%

0.36%20 Jul

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes61.0%161 in total

Reposts15.9%42 in total

Replies5.3%14 in total

Quotes1.5%4 in total

Bookmarks16.3%43 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.