Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD ✓
@TonerousHyus · United States · joined 26 Mar 2019
New to this app called Twitter. Definitely new, definitely. Former Democrat who wised up.
22 533Followers
280Following
124 678Posts total
6.8MViews on collected posts
Derniers posts
Recherche de nouveaux posts…
Polling has been broken since 2014 and every election gets worse. There’s no clear reason except hyper partisans are now overwhelmingly lib and they do a lousy job filtering it out
8.5K views · 232 likes
· 14 reposts · 12 replies
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We have plenty of evidence that polling is even more unreliable than usual
Polling misses by 30 points aren't even uncommon right now
Add to this the fact that it's hard to remove response bias in a midterm poll vs a presidential poll?
Some very bullish GOP evidence out there.
13.2K views · 76 likes
· 1 reposts · 5 replies
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Assuming he’s serious, and no reason to assume otherwise, this basically destroys the company
88.3K views · 2.1K likes
· 48 reposts · 52 replies
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President Trump announces no more selling Bombardier in the United States. https://t.co/VD3xitcwXv
715.8K views · 275 likes
· 22 reposts · 49 replies
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Feminists are so pissed at single fathers, a group growing rapidly by the way in the U.S., they constantly need to downplay the tremendous parenting those dads do lol. Single fathers are now 21% of single parent households.
And they crush them.
One recent study looked at https:
80.7K views · 2.1K likes
· 199 reposts · 27 replies
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@TonerousHyus A huge percentage of the bad dads abandon their children. But even the bad moms tend to stick around and raise them. You're comparing a concentration of the best dads (those who seek custody) with the average of all moms.
104.5K views · 342 likes
· 0 reposts · 14 replies
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The Trump administration proposed to charge more than $200,000 for H-1B visas despite a steep drop in interest from workers abroad at half that rate. https://t.co/cDPRMoZBqN
24.6K views · 43 likes
· 18 reposts · 29 replies
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Harvard/Harris polling trends 👇
🔵 March: Democrats +4
🔵 July: Democrats +2
🔴 August: Republicans +2
If this pattern seems familiar, it's because it is.
We saw the same thing happening in 2024 when every pollster said Kamala Harris was "surging" throughout the summer.
By
1.7K views · 74 likes
· 14 reposts · 8 replies
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@TonerousHyus It's that time of election season again. The fake summer polls are put away and the real numbers start dripping out just in time to save face for the pollsters
1.1K views · 34 likes
· 0 reposts · 1 replies
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@TonerousHyus R+2 is like the worst possible news for Dems on the week before labor day. But wait, there's an RNC convention coming... so, more bad news for them!
431 views · 18 likes
· 1 reposts · 0 replies
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Trump 48% approval and R+2 generic ballot. Consistently the best national pollster in 2024.
Worst 2024 pollsters: YouGov, Ipsos, NBC, Marist
37.5K views · 817 likes
· 100 reposts · 52 replies
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📊 Harvard/Harris Poll: Trump Approval
Registered voters
Approve: 44% [+2]
Disapprove: 52% [-2]
—
LIKELY Voters
Approve: 48% [+3]
Disapprove: 51% [-3]
(+/- change vs July) | Aug 28-30 https://t.co/JmPan9pEd9
74.3K views · 165 likes
· 32 reposts · 18 replies
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I sat for an interview along with @DataRepublican, @earlyvotedata, @ChristianHeiens about how the “modelers” always fail at elections and how a bunch of anons like us didn’t 👍
2.7M views · 758 likes
· 98 reposts · 112 replies
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While pundits kept saying it was too close to call, an informal network on X of mostly unpaid number-crunchers in October were already accurately predicting Trump's romp: The New Election Gurus https://t.co/uUcM2FiL0X
2.9M views · 525 likes
· 141 reposts · 40 replies
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Face aux comptes de taille comparable
14 posts des 90 derniers jours, à côté de la tranche de 10K–100K abonnés. diffusé bien au-delà de son propre public, et ce public réagit.
Vues médianes18 874ce compte924médiane pour 10K–100K
Portée, %83.76%ce compte3.62%médiane pour 10K–100K
Engagement, %2.54%ce compte1.52%médiane pour 10K–100K
| Indicateur | Ce compte | Médiane pour 10K–100K | Rapport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vues médianes par post | 18 874 | 924 | 20.4× |
| Portée (vues ÷ abonnés) | 83.76% | 3.62% | 23.1× |
| Taux d'engagement | 2.54% | 1.52% | 1.67× |
Autres comptes de cette tranche → Comparer avec un autre compte → Comment ces repères sont établis →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
74.3K2 Sep
37.5K
431
1.1K
1.7K
285
24.6K4 Sep
104.5K7 Sep
80.7K
715.8K
88.3K
6.4K
13.2K
8.5K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.31%2 Sep
2.60%
4.41%
3.32%
5.62%
1.75%
0.38%4 Sep
0.34%7 Sep
2.93%
0.05%
2.47%
4.38%
0.64%
3.05%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.
What the audience does
Likes77.8%7 827 in total
Reposts6.9%698 in total
Replies4.2%423 in total
Quotes1.3%130 in total
Bookmarks9.7%979 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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