Troy Teslike ✓

@TroyTeslike · UK · joined 01 Jun 2018

Tesla Delivery Estimates: Data-driven & free. Early access on Patreon.

205 480Followers

33Following

20 670Posts total

589.1KViews on collected posts

Derniers posts

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike22 Jul

My estimate for Tesla’s Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS is $0.55, the same as the analyst consensus. Tesla will report the actual numbers within two hours. https://t.co/uV6W8kLYRi

32.4K views · 161 likes · 11 reposts · 27 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike2 Jul

Interestingly, I've published Q2 delivery estimates for the past eight years, and all eight were lower than the actual number, including this latest one. Somehow, Tesla keeps outperforming expectations in Q2. 10K views · 177 likes · 6 reposts · 15 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike2 Jul

The actual numbers are in. Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles in Q2 2026. My estimate was 2.9% too low, while the analyst consensus was 15.4% too low. • Actual: 480,126 • My estimate: 466,000 (Error: -14,126 units or -2.9%) • Analyst consensus: 406,024 (Error: -74,102 units or htt

18.3K views · 245 likes · 9 reposts · 15 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike1 Jul

@TroyTeslike That's a BIG number Troy. $TSLA 4.2K views · 56 likes · 0 reposts · 11 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike1 Jul

Hi everyone. Here are my Tesla delivery estimates for Q2 2026. The gap between my estimate and the analyst consensus is unusually large this time. • My estimate: 466,000 • Analyst consensus: 406,024 (based on Tesla's survey of 22 analysts, known as the Company-Compiled https://t

266K views · 1.2K likes · 131 reposts · 121 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike22 Apr

Here are my estimates for Tesla’s Q1 2026 earnings: Non-GAAP EPS: • My Estimate: $0.39 • Analyst Consensus: $0.33 The last two columns show my estimate and the analyst consensus. Tesla will report the actual numbers in a few hours. The $0.33 analyst consensus is based on htt

69.3K views · 326 likes · 29 reposts · 35 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike2 Apr

Unfortunately, Tesla missed expectations this time. Actual deliveries were below both my estimate and the analyst consensus. The 50,363-unit gap between production and deliveries was unusually large, suggesting weaker demand in the US. Estimates vs Actual: 390,000 - @TSLAFanMtl

33.9K views · 137 likes · 23 reposts · 27 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike1 Apr

@TroyTeslike +1 from Canada 🇨🇦 today https://t.co/tIW9LcFnXy

683 views · 18 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike1 Apr

Hi everyone. Here are the final Tesla delivery estimates for Q1 2026: • My estimate: 375,000 • Analyst consensus: 365,645 (based on Tesla’s survey of 23 analysts, known as the Company-Compiled Consensus, published on Mar 26) Last year, Q1 deliveries were 336,681 units, https://

81.8K views · 494 likes · 66 reposts · 53 replies Open on X →

Troy Teslike ✓@TroyTeslike31 Mar

Tesla’s Europe sales are trending stronger than usual. Q1 2026 deliveries in Europe (not global deliveries) are expected to surpass any quarter in 2025. The increase in demand may be linked to the ongoing oil crisis. For more details, subscribers can view the draft here: 72.5K views · 234 likes · 17 reposts · 23 replies Open on X →

Face aux comptes de taille comparable

5 posts des 90 derniers jours, à côté de la tranche de 100K–1M abonnés. diffusé bien au-delà de son propre public, et ce public réagit.

Vues médianes18 288ce compte6 525médiane pour 100K–1M

Portée, %8.90%ce compte1.71%médiane pour 100K–1M

Engagement, %1.48%ce compte0.98%médiane pour 100K–1M

Indicateur	Ce compte	Médiane pour 100K–1M	Rapport
Vues médianes par post	18 288	6 525	2.80×
Portée (vues ÷ abonnés)	8.90%	1.71%	5.20×
Taux d'engagement	1.48%	0.98%	1.50×

Autres comptes de cette tranche → Comparer avec un autre compte → Comment ces repères sont établis →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

72.5K31 Mar

81.8K1 Apr

683

33.9K2 Apr

69.3K22 Apr

266K1 Jul

4.2K

18.3K2 Jul

10K

32.4K22 Jul

Last 10 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.39%31 Mar

0.77%1 Apr

2.93%

0.58%2 Apr

0.57%22 Apr

0.59%1 Jul

1.59%

1.48%2 Jul

1.98%

0.63%22 Jul

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.98%.

What the audience does

Likes75.7%3 087 in total

Reposts7.2%293 in total

Replies8.0%328 in total

Quotes3.1%125 in total

Bookmarks6.0%245 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.