Tushar Gupta ✓
@Tushar15 · New Delhi · joined 02 Feb 2017
Building PolityPolicy — India's Political Economy in Data | Editor & Analyst | Primetime TV | Podcast | More Numbers, Less Rhetoric | Comics, Lego, Movies |
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5 342Following
36 133Posts total
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Are The GDP Numbers Fake? https://t.co/CCOQ8Txo1M
7.3K views · 22 likes
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The ‘Double Engine’ governance model has a problem. The Centre is doing all the right things, but the state governments and urban local bodies are not keeping their promises.
https://t.co/0IvkYNmCAw https://t.co/rPAr2b8xsk
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Watching the mainstream media coverage of the devastating collapse of that one PG building in Delhi. If some of these reporters and anchors visit Sadar Bazar or Chawri Bazar, they'll have a heart attack, given the scale of encroachment and the dilapidated structures.
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This is why Order of Phoenix alone needs to have three seasons, bare minimum.
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The feasibility study is underway, as reported by 'The New Indian Express'. https://t.co/aMgJI47ueX
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@infoindata Indus Water Treaty Suspended After Pahalgam Attack | Consequences for India-Pakistan | Tushar Gupta
https://t.co/lsx3jh5Qtk
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@tushar15 Brilliant thread, is it OK if we use this information/images and data on other social media posts and articles? With credit of course.
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Also, must mention here @infoindata folks for their graphics. If you like the thread, please follow that handle as well. Some excellent data stories.
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So, final numbers. 140 MAF flows into Pakistan. 6 Canal network cuts it down by 25%. Mangla dam on the Jhelum hit (power and agri crisis in Pakistan). 75% water deficiency in PB, HR, RJ, GJ, UP, DL addressed. Current storage at 1.2-3.6 MAF vs ten-year plan for 28-36 MAF.
n/n ht
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The feasibility is there, there is a canal network already. Building will not be a challenge and will only add to our national economy. But we need to find more ways to exhaust the water. Run-of-the-river projects do not store water, even if they make for good rhetoric.
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Eight, political stability in the Centre is a challenge, but that should nudge the BJP to go for it. Even if BJP can manage power until 2034 (thinking ten years ahead for now), they'd have laid the foundations for something that will change the geopolitics of the region.
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Seven, do not think geopolitics alone, but serious water shortages are coming. NCR is going to be a trillion-dollar economy zone. Haryana is doing stunningly well as well. The water availability, combined with DFC and existing highway networks could be an economic powerhouse.
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Six, you'll always have Pakistan by the leash, just like a mad dog. It's foolish to think that Pakistan will change, so India must embrace a ten-year project to begin with. The second phase, beyond 2035, could be about dams and reservoirs further south (UP, Raj, GJ). https://t.co
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Five, the agri productivity rate in Punjab, Haryana, Western Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, North Gujarat could go up significantly. This could be Modi's 'Green Revolution through Water Revolution'. Forget the farm laws, the area could generate $1 trillion in the agri-economy alone.
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Four, you can't worry about China. They are anyway upto no good across the Indus and the Brahmaputra. If the Chinese are thinking years ahead, it's time we do it as well. Also, if you start building on Indus, the Chinese can disrupt it very easily by flooding India.Sad but true.
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Three, India's foreign policy to Pakistan will be permanently superseded by the 6-canal project. Which party will be daring enough to say that they are willing to go back to status quo while abandoning the interests of the states that together make up for around 160 LS seats.
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Two, the Mangla dam in Pakistan will be severely hit. Built on the Jhelum River, the dam is important for Pakistan's Punjab. You are pushing the state towards electricity shortages. Power is also required for electricity, another weak point to be exploited.
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Now, what are the consequences of taking this approach.
One, merely a canal network from 2 of the 3 rivers in question, over the next ten years, can cut down water supply by 25 per cent to Pakistan (28-36 MAF of the 140 MAF). We aren't even factoring in additional dams yet.
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One can imagine some water logistics as well (getting ahead of myself, but why not). Riverfronts in smaller cities that can boost tourism. This will take ten years to build, but even the Chinese planned SNWTP construction for 50 years. Time, money, and politics is sorted here.
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In the Punjab Haryana belt, it solves the SYL political problem, since abundant water will be available, and once it gets to Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh, it can go anywhere. Delhi also needs water with its expanding outer areas and population density. Win win for all. https://t.c
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You have to give it ten years. Politically, the land acquisition should not be a challenge, given farmers in Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh do know the water is getting over. You take ten years, the cost is going to be more than Rs. 5 Lakh Crore, but we can spend.
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For this thread, I am taking the assumption that the canal water is sourced from Jhelum and Chenab alone. Indus is ignored for geographical and costing reasons, plus the distance.
Six canals, moving 28 to 36 MAF (China's SNTWP moves 36 MAF), across 3000 kms (SNTWP ~2900 kms).
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Punjab and Haryana have an annual water deficit anywhere between 8 to 15 MAF, Delhi in the range of 1 MAF, Uttar Pradesh between 10-15 MAF. Do recall that the groundwater levels in Rajasthan and Punjab are dangerously low. We need water, and these canals can fix that by 75%. http
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If you look at the map, the elevation doesn't allow one to build through Himachal and Uttarakhand, but the plains are ideal. Think of them as water highways, and a canal network does exist, but the water shortages are soon going to be upon us. https://t.co/bh1c7DcZtl
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Here's what it could like. A six-canal project, each canal 40m wide (13-15 DTC buses stacked sideways), running from Jammu region to other states including Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chandigarh, Delhi, and even Gujarat. https://t.co/vfcXK7DW3M
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Please understand. We need to find ways to drain the water in the Indus, Jhelum, and Chenab. The Three Gorges Dam in China stores around 8 MAF worth of water, but that's one option. We need to ape China's SNWTP. Take water from Chenab, Jhelum, and give it away to other regions.
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This is China's South-North Water Transfer Project. 36 MAF, approximately, worth of water being moved across 2,900 kilometres, and even though it caters to 5 to 15 per cent of the Chinese population, it is quite significant. What if India attempted the same? https://t.co/6UqDryw9
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Together, India's river water projects on Jhelum, Chenab, and Indus already allow for storage between 1.2 to 3.6 MAF, and from here, either we can expand the storage through more dams and checkpoints, or else, do what the Chinese have done to aid their northwestern region.
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Another important point. Our current hydropower projects on Chenab, Jhelum, and Indus do not allow for storage. Think of them as RAM in your computer. They have high computing power, but the data storage is temporary. They are not SSD or HD, but simply RAM.
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Face aux comptes de taille comparable
5 posts des 90 derniers jours, à côté de la tranche de 10K–100K abonnés. diffusé bien au-delà de son propre public, et ce public réagit.
Vues médianes7 317ce compte995médiane pour 10K–100K
Portée, %14.71%ce compte3.59%médiane pour 10K–100K
Engagement, %3.04%ce compte1.92%médiane pour 10K–100K
| Indicateur | Ce compte | Médiane pour 10K–100K | Rapport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vues médianes par post | 7 317 | 995 | 7.35× |
| Portée (vues ÷ abonnés) | 14.71% | 3.59% | 4.10× |
| Taux d'engagement | 3.04% | 1.92% | 1.58× |
Autres comptes de cette tranche → Comparer avec un autre compte → Comment ces repères sont établis →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
31.5K24 Apr
29.3K
28K
27.7K
32.8K
26.6K
6.2K
7.6K26 Apr
1.8K7 Jun
17.2K7 Sep
6.5K
16.5K
7.3K
4.7K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
1.46%24 Apr
1.55%
1.52%
1.37%
1.56%
2.75%
0.96%
0.70%26 Apr
1.70%7 Jun
3.04%7 Sep
11.29%
8.53%
0.36%
1.80%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.92%.
What the audience does
Likes84.0%12 877 in total
Reposts10.4%1 601 in total
Replies1.2%183 in total
Quotes0.3%45 in total
Bookmarks4.1%624 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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