Casus Belli ✓
@casusbellii · 18°58'3.33"N, 12°51'56.69"E · joined 09 Jan 2021
Slightly French Analyst / Investigator using all the "INT" | Mostly Africa and FSU | RT ≠ endorsement and views are my own | DM for business
84 765Followers
1 333Following
11 526Posts total
1.8MViews on collected posts
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Recherche de nouveaux posts…
I fear that these crises in the oil market could paralyze various countries in Africa.
This was already the case in some Sahelian countries, but more broadly, it could create serious political and social tensions regardless of the regime in power.
The question now is who will
10.7K views · 112 likes
· 12 reposts · 2 replies
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And 🇱🇾 Libya's National Oil Corporation just said today its production has been halted at the Hamada and Al-Tahara
42.9K views · 166 likes
· 22 reposts · 4 replies
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Whatever is going to happen its gonna be ugly in Europe.
A year before french elections…
Get ready
81.5K views · 1.2K likes
· 87 reposts · 17 replies
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🇲🇱🇷🇺 Sévaré Airport in Mali was targeted by JNIM, which launched an FPV drone attack against Malian forces and the Africa Corps at the city’s air base.
It should be noted that there is a significant amount of military equipment at the base, including helicopters and drones, and
8K views · 48 likes
· 8 reposts · 2 replies
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First Africa Corps base identified in Russia in Mulino, Nizhni Novgorod Oblast.
Hit by ukrainian drones back in march 2025.
6.5K views · 14 likes
· 2 reposts · 0 replies
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🇷🇺 RUSSIE : une base de formation de l'Africa Corps géolocalisée
🛰️ Des images TV localisées par @sd9207 et @ChrisADayton montrent que les recrues d’Africa Corps s’entraînant à Moulino, Nizhni Novgorod.
📍56°21'57.83"N, 42°57'7.88"E ⤵️
Je fais le point sur cette base 🧵 https://t
23.3K views · 77 likes
· 22 reposts · 5 replies
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More informations on the base used by russian elements in Burkina Faso ⬇️
12.8K views · 20 likes
· 9 reposts · 1 replies
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🇧🇫🇷🇺🚨| French media outlet Le Monde confirms initial reports of a Russian military base in Burkina Faso, published by @alleyesonwagner last December.
Satellite images obtained by journalists show the new site of Russian activity, located south of Donsin airport. https://t.co/TIU
224.8K views · 418 likes
· 140 reposts · 19 replies
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🇧🇫🇷🇺| Adding this potential new russian base here.
Coords : 12.4590519, -1.3810222
https://t.co/s2g5AQPtCv
33.2K views · 29 likes
· 15 reposts · 3 replies
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1/3 Here are the HR @planet images of the new camp established in Burkina Faso, allegedly for the Russian 'African Corps' (ex-Wagner). The comparison of the images taken on 18.06 and 29.10, 2023. A Russian delegation visited the country at least twice during the last few months.
35.2K views · 52 likes
· 21 reposts · 4 replies
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0:02
@casusbellintel @sentdefender @War_Mapper @EydouxT @julesdhl @Gerjon_ @COUPSURE @alleyesonwagner @The_IntelHub @IntelCrab @AuroraIntel What is Wagner Group's interest in Mali?
6.3K views · 8 likes
· 2 reposts · 3 replies
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🇨🇫🇷🇺🚨| Wagner's main base in the CAR is located SW of Bangui, on the remains of Jean Bedel Bokassa Palace.
This base has been invested by the Russian group since at least 2018.
The base has an airstrip, which is badly damaged.
Helicopters have been seen in the palace compound h
20.8K views · 84 likes
· 33 reposts · 5 replies
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🇲🇱🚨| Another Wagner base is present at Sevare airport, with an extension of the airport to the north.
This base is located a few meters from the new Turkish tb-2 drones acquired by Mali, and very close to various Russian helicopters, including at least a Mi-8 and a Mi-24. https
60.1K views · 108 likes
· 32 reposts · 2 replies
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🇲🇱🇷🇺| A second, smaller Wagner base can be seen at the Bamako airport. This base was not built but simply invested.
It is within the airport compound and serves as a logistical point, a few meters from the previous base. https://t.co/aEqAnlfjC4
18.1K views · 85 likes
· 28 reposts · 1 replies
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🇲🇱🇨🇫🇷🇺| 🧵 THREAD:
Wagner’s alleged bases in Mali and Central African Republic.
Starting with the the first fully built one, seen at Bamako airport.
The base is spontaneously built at the end of 2021, at the same time as Wagner's arrival is reported. https://t.co/SumEeyZ5wL
1.3M views · 946 likes
· 487 reposts · 27 replies
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Face aux comptes de taille comparable
4 posts des 90 derniers jours, à côté de la tranche de 10K–100K abonnés. diffusé largement, mais peu de ces spectateurs réagissent.
Vues médianes26 763ce compte955médiane pour 10K–100K
Portée, %31.57%ce compte3.50%médiane pour 10K–100K
Engagement, %0.96%ce compte1.57%médiane pour 10K–100K
| Indicateur | Ce compte | Médiane pour 10K–100K | Rapport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vues médianes par post | 26 763 | 955 | 28.0× |
| Portée (vues ÷ abonnés) | 31.57% | 3.50% | 9.02× |
| Taux d'engagement | 0.96% | 1.57% | 0.61× |
Autres comptes de cette tranche → Comparer avec un autre compte → Comment ces repères sont établis →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
18.1K23 Dec
60.1K
20.8K
6.3K
35.2K24 Dec
33.2K26 Dec
224.8K6 Mar
12.8K
23.3K21 Aug
6.5K
8K15 Sep
81.5K
42.9K
10.7K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.64%23 Dec
0.25%
0.59%
0.21%
0.22%24 Dec
0.14%26 Dec
0.26%6 Mar
0.23%
0.47%21 Aug
0.24%
0.73%15 Sep
1.59%
0.47%
1.19%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.57%.
What the audience does
Likes66.6%3 354 in total
Reposts18.3%920 in total
Replies1.9%95 in total
Quotes1.3%68 in total
Bookmarks11.9%601 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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