Maarten Boudry ✓
@mboudry · Brussels · joined 26 Nov 2012
Writer. Substack: https://t.co/VsUehvu0Jj Support me: https://t.co/LpIczJq8hi Upcoming book: 'The Betrayal of Enlightenment' (Pitchstone)
50 266Followers
1 797Following
43 146Posts total
355KViews on collected posts
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It seems that literary magazine @themothmagazine has awarded its 1st prize to a short story that is 100% AI-generated, according to @Pangram: https://t.co/5kJJrTMIAw
I read the story. I ain't no literary critic, but it's kinda lame. It's superficially poetic and atmospheric, but
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· 1 reposts · 3 replies
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Los van alle voorspelbare klimaatzever in dit perfect inwisselbare stuk: @ReynebeauM snapt kennelijk niet wat "noodzakelijke en voldoende voorwaarden" zijn.
"Maar de klimaatverandering behoort wel degelijk tot de noodzakelijke en voldoende voorwaarden die tot de branden hebben
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· 38 reposts · 17 replies
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@mboudry @DoorbraakBE Hoewel ik vandaag wel op de Blandijn was, was het gisteren in principe mijn laatste werkdag op de UGent. Mijn beperkte aanstelling als gastprofessor politieke filosofie is afgelopen.
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@mboudry @DoorbraakBE Dus De Vries heeft voor Petra De Sutter gestemd? 😅 https://t.co/MMyUycs812
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@mboudry @DoorbraakBE Zoals mijn Professor wetenschapsleer Rob Devos het ooit stelde: "Nergens noemt men iemand zo vaak 'dom' als aan de Universiteit". Men zou kunnen zeggen dat aannames en ideeën nergens zo weinig in vraag worden gesteld als aan de faculteit filosofie.
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Een ontluisterend interview met mijn collega Bouke De Vries bij @DoorbraakBE over de verstikkende ideologische sfeer aan de Gentse vakgroep:
"Ik heb aan tien verschillende universiteiten in acht verschillende landen gestudeerd of gewerkt, maar nergens heb ik zo’n beklemmend
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Durf (hetzelfde) denken! Decaan Letteren & Wijsbegeerte aan @UGent: "Het verheugt me dat er binnen de facultaire gemeenschap zo'n grote consensus bestaat over deze kwestie, in alle geledingen. De polarisatie die we nu in de media zien, is er intern helemaal niet." Iedereen samen
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In case you missed it – yesterday we crowned a new winner of The Moth Short Story Prize.
Jeffrey-Michael Kane's 'The Shoulder', as seen here in The Irish Times.
Read all about this year's winners over on our website: https://t.co/BJ8HPxn7Tn https://t.co/zssFlsBxRT
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@mboudry @MCC_Budapest @Quillette ➡️ Your message is a monument to virtue signalling.
➡️ Orbán is an "autocrat" who concedes defeat within hours.
➡️ The 21 Hungarian universities blackmailed by the EU have by all means more autonomy than those which are not blackmailed.
➡️ CE
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Here's another example in the same category. Appearing as a guest on the podcast of convicted fraudster, "stop the steal" denialist and Jan 6 instigator Steve Bannon? Thanks but no thanks. I'd debate Bannon on neutral territory, but not on his home turf where he can exercise all
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Four years ago, I was invited by the Mathias Corvinus Collegium in Hungary (@MCC_Budapest), affiliated with Orbán's Fidesz party, to spend a week in Budapest hosting a workshop and giving media interviews on climate policy, following my piece in @Quillette. All expenses covered!
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@mboudry This whole thread is just the strawman fallacy over and over
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Read my full piece on fallacies here: "Despite its flaws and foibles, human reasoning is far more sophisticated and subtle than the theory of “fallacies” suggests." /8 https://t.co/811VnWkvaV
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Most “fallacies” live only in logic textbooks. Real reasoning is contextual, probabilistic, social, messy. It's time to retire the fallacy laundry list. /7 https://t.co/uFG5kIuxo0 https://t.co/QBx4bXZJ2D
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How about "Affirming the consequent"? "If it rains, the street will be wet. The street is wet. Thus, it rained.” Is that really a fallacy? One man's “affirming the consequent” is another man's abductive inference. Go onto a wet street and that's what you'll think as well. /6 http
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The gambler’s fallacy is only a fallacy when events are truly independent, which only applies to highly artificial environments, such as a roulette wheel. In nature, events cluster, streak & correlate (e.g. weather), and humans are remarkably good at detecting patterns. /5 https:
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The “genetic fallacy” says you can’t dismiss something because of its origins. But if you can explain religious belief, terminal lucidity, or Ouija boards in natural terms… doesn’t that actually undermine the supernatural story? Not a fallacy either. /4 https://t.co/BtQKjvVWnD
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Post hoc ergo propter hoc. As the saying goes: “Correlation doesn’t imply causation.” True, but not even the most superstitious person thinks so. All our everyday causal knowledge starts with noticing patterns & correlations. Without that move, we’d know virtually nothing. /3 htt
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Take our old friend "ad hominem". It sounds simple: “Attack the argument, not the person.” But in real life, credibility, bias & conflicts of interest actually matter. Courts rely on them. So do politicians and even scientists. Why? Because almost all knowledge is testimonial./3
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Here's The Fallacy Fork, my destructive dilemma for fallacy buffs:
Define fallacies strictly (using deductive logic)?
→ You’ll find almost none in real life.
Relax the definition?
→ They’re no longer clearly fallacies.
Pick your poison.
Now let's discuss some examples. /2 ht
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Why do people believe crazy stuff? It's because they fall for “fallacies”, we're told. Memorize the classics (ad hominem, post hoc, straw man) and you’ll be inoculated against error.
It's a neat little story, and I used to believe it too. But I've become a fallacy apostate. 🧵/1 h
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Face aux comptes de taille comparable
8 posts des 90 derniers jours, à côté de la tranche de 10K–100K abonnés. diffusé à plus de monde que les comptes de taille comparable.
Vues médianes7 762ce compte924médiane pour 10K–100K
Portée, %15.44%ce compte3.62%médiane pour 10K–100K
Engagement, %1.73%ce compte1.52%médiane pour 10K–100K
| Indicateur | Ce compte | Médiane pour 10K–100K | Rapport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vues médianes par post | 7 762 | 924 | 8.40× |
| Portée (vues ÷ abonnés) | 15.44% | 3.62% | 4.27× |
| Taux d'engagement | 1.73% | 1.52% | 1.14× |
Autres comptes de cette tranche → Comparer avec un autre compte → Comment ces repères sont établis →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
7.5K14 Feb
6.5K
2K
27.2K23 Apr
1.9K
25524 Apr
7.6K27 Aug
14.6K31 Aug
24.5K1 Sep
702
1.1K
1.1K
8.8K2 Sep
7.9K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.93%14 Feb
1.35%
4.65%
0.55%23 Apr
0.80%
6.67%24 Apr
0.34%27 Aug
3.01%31 Aug
3.74%1 Sep
1.71%
1.75%
1.02%
3.59%2 Sep
0.27%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.
What the audience does
Likes66.6%2 672 in total
Reposts8.9%358 in total
Replies6.2%249 in total
Quotes1.4%56 in total
Bookmarks16.9%679 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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