Stephen Koukoulas ✓

@TheKouk · joined 30 May 2009

Federal Treasury, Head of Global Strategy TD London, Advisor to PM, punter. Speaker. MD Market Economics.

67 002Followers

2 004Following

83 593Posts total

208.1KViews on collected posts

Postingan terbaru

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk16 Sep

The govt seems hell bent on keeping fiscal settings tight in the lead into the 2028 election. Wise move. The political virtue of lower budget deficits (surpluses) & pressure off interest rates is huge, far outweighing a cynical sixpence thrown at a lame-arse pet project 6.7K views · 106 likes · 14 reposts · 34 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk15 Sep

@TheKouk Nominal household spending at 7% sounds inflationary to me. Subtract 1.5 to 1.75% for adult population growth, and no need to adjust for the almost non-existent productivity growth, then spending is growing at over 5%, double the 2.5% target. The last three months ann

813 views · 24 likes · 5 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk15 Sep

I hope the govt does not cut fuel excise as global oil prices spil over to local petrol prices. The petrol price hike is as good as a rate hike in crimping demand, lowering non-oil inflation; an excise cut is a huge cost to the budget just when budget repair is looking very good. 9.7K views · 172 likes · 33 reposts · 46 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk15 Sep

The final budget outcome for FY2025-26 is due for release in the next 2 weeks. A deficit around $37 billion is the latest best guess. Will allow the DOF to resume publishing monthly budget data for FY2026-27. 2.4K views · 15 likes · 5 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk15 Sep

@TheKouk Don't even attempt to put lipstick on the pig mate. All economists know exactly where the growth in the last qtr came from - including you. We're running on 'population increase' GDP growth and you know it. 152 views · 16 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk15 Sep

@TheKouk Yet 64% of the country say the joint is going in the wrong direction. Go figure. https://t.co/4DaKClN5Gk

163 views · 9 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk15 Sep

A sober look at the Australian economy - it's a pretty good story. There is so much poor commentary surrounding the Australian economy that I thought it useful to have a stock take on conditions. GDP at 2.1% is good news – it’s about trend & those screeching about it being too 12.1K views · 198 likes · 87 reposts · 56 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk3 Feb

@TheKouk Life comes at you fast hey Kouk. As much as you keep LARPing, you're completely out of touch. Some of us seen this coming miles away. https://t.co/7tH4yw3miT 960 views · 16 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk3 Feb

Cash rate of ~4.25% priced in for December (FYI +40bps from today) 7.7K views · 22 likes · 1 reposts · 11 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk1 Jan

@TheKouk Nose - 5% larger Stomach - 8% wider Bullshit - 10% harder to believe 820 views · 22 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk1 Jan

@TheKouk Great predictions https://t.co/JoBQlGyLkV

2K views · 100 likes · 1 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Stephen Koukoulas ✓@TheKouk1 Jan

My 2026 forecasts: GDP H1 lifts to 2.5%; sub 2.0% in H2 Unemployment rate to 5% Inflation eases 2.0 to 2.25% Wages growth soggy at 3% RBA cuts to 3.10% 10 yr bonds 4.00% AUD lifts to 75 c House prices – no change, downside risks ASX200 – below 8,000 https://t.co/5pj9UvxI9Q 164.6K views · 100 likes · 24 reposts · 97 replies Open on X →

Dibandingkan akun berukuran sama

7 postingan dari 90 hari terakhir, dibandingkan dengan rentang 10K–100K pengikut. jangkauan biasa untuk ukurannya, reaksi lebih kuat dari kebanyakan.

Median tayangan2 432akun ini955median untuk 10K–100K

Jangkauan, %3.63%akun ini3.50%median untuk 10K–100K

Interaksi, %2.87%akun ini1.57%median untuk 10K–100K

Metrik	Akun ini	Median untuk 10K–100K	Rasio
Median tayangan per postingan	2 432	955	2.55×
Jangkauan (tayangan ÷ pengikut)	3.63%	3.50%	1.04×
Tingkat interaksi	2.87%	1.57%	1.82×

Akun lain pada rentang ini → Bandingkan dengan akun lain → Bagaimana tolok ukur ini disusun →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

164.6K1 Jan

820

7.7K3 Feb

960

12.1K15 Sep

163

152

2.4K

9.7K

813

6.7K16 Sep

Last 12 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.15%1 Jan

5.32%

2.68%

0.45%3 Feb

1.67%

2.87%15 Sep

6.13%

11.18%

0.99%

2.62%

3.69%

2.31%16 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.57%.

What the audience does

Likes61.1%800 in total

Reposts13.0%170 in total

Replies19.4%254 in total

Quotes2.6%34 in total

Bookmarks4.0%52 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Postingan terbaru

Dibandingkan akun berukuran sama

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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