Clément Molin ✓
@clement_molin · joined 31 May 2022
20 ans, Lyon 🇫🇷, étudiant en Relations Internationales à Lille, cartes, analyses, suivi des conflits armés et de l'actualité internationale.
132 446Followers
472Following
22 842Posts total
7.2MViews on collected posts
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@clement_molin Can you present undisputable evidence that this is Russian sabotage? No you can't.
Some "OSINT" account you are.
5.3K views · 490 likes
· 11 reposts · 13 replies
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@clement_molin Sortir les drones de cette évaluation. Ces affaires sont majoritairement des erreurs et des manipulations grossières pour affoler la ménagère. De plus sans intérêt stratégique pour les Russes. S'intéresser plutôt aux incendies suspects d'usines du complexe militair
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@clement_molin Quand on se présente comme professionnel de l’OSINT, on ne peut pas travailler comme ça.
« 50 événements = campagne russe de sabotage en Europe » : le problème est précisément là. Il y a bien 50 lignes. Il n’y a pas 50 sabotages russes démontrés !
Quelques exempl
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Campagne russe 🇷🇺 de sabotage en Europe 🇪🇺
Ces dernières semaines, la campagne russe de sabotage en Europe s'est intensifiée. Voici donc, une liste non-exhaustive de 50 évènements depuis début septembre :
🔴1er septembre
▫️Roumanie : débris d'un drone russe armé trouvés par un h
352.2K views · 3.9K likes
· 1.7K reposts · 292 replies
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@clement_molin Il y'a aucun monde ou l'Algérie accepte une base étrangère d'un faux alliée qui fout le bordel en Libye, au Mali et au Niger avec leurs mercenaires. Pourquoi ils accepteraient cela ?
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Carte similaire pour la Pologne :
Même si ces exemples sont hypothétiques et peu probables, cela témoigne de l'état du débat en Russie et de la propagande officielle du Kremlin.
La Russie désigne, depuis des années, les Etats de l'UE/OTAN comme des ennemis. https://t.co/2jVevO
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Si vous ne croyez pas que la Russie 🇷🇺 serait une menace pour la France 🇫🇷, voici une carte postée par Rybar, une chaine Telegram affiliée au FSB russe
La carte montre les cibles potentielles de frappes du drone Geran-5 si un site de lancement était mis en place en Algérie 🇩🇿, h
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La Russie 🇷🇺 va-t-elle lancer une nouvelle opération militaire en Europe 🇪🇺 ?
Je ne crois pas à une menace d'opération terrestre, même limitée, en Europe. Néanmoins, Moscou va intensifier sa "guerre indirecte" contre l'Europe.
🧵THREAD🧵1/11 ⬇️ https://t.co/4XAbihXb2h
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@clement_molin I really admire your work and all the effort you put into it. Thx
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Thank you all for following this long thread, covering the information that are not part of the current OPSEC regime.
This is the result of months of coverage of this Ukrainian offensive, which is still ongoing.
20/20 https://t.co/3lb8jdpgjk
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About the information space :
There is only one reason barely any information was published about this offensive : geolocators for @UkraineDailyUpd (@moklasen, @giK1893, @ZoamSc2, @Bielitzling, @RoadtoMars9...) chose not to update their map and publish geolocations.
I know for
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Finally, here is my airstrike map :
🟠= June
🔴= July
⚪️= August
🟡= September https://t.co/1Op387zh6e
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The main offensive axis comes from Nove and goes all the way south. We know there are two main support axes, one east and on west. The one east is recent and there are very few proofs, we just know that they nearly reached the Zherebet river.
The one west is known, but there is
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I've seen many maps of the situation, which were missing many things, so I wanted to make something +/- chronological, with the information I had collected from Open Source.
Claims that a large Russian grouping got encircle are wrong, but I believe a certain number of soldiers
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On August 24th, Ukraine launched a second successful mechanized assault, which was wrongly interpreted. It seems it was not aimed at pushing further south, but east, to progress between Katerynivka and Novoliubivka.
Here is a map of the situation from a few days ago (OPSEC is ht
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In August, fighting continued and reached further south, with the first rumours of encirclements of the Russian edge north of Lyman. In a month, around 200 airstrikes have been conducted on a large area, with a high concentration on Ukrainian infiltration routes.
The Ukrainians
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During the month of July, 152 KAB airstrikes were conducted, half of them falling on fields and half on forests, treelines and villages. Interestingly, the first strikes hitting Nove and other villages confirmed the fact those were into Ukrainian hands for a long time.
At the ht
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During July, the OPSEC status was very powerful, with nearly no information filtering and no geolocations of the situation.
In mid-July, the Ukrainians secured Zelena Dolyna, but more importantly continued to advance on the fortified treelines east.
On July 27th, I published ht
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At this time, I sent a temporary image to some contact showing what I believed was the extent of the operation at the time (map from @AndrewPerpetua)
I didn't publish it for multiple reasons : my respect for OPSEC and for the sources. https://t.co/dPXvjdyDzw
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In total, approximately 71 airstrikes could be found all around Nove in June, as it can be seen on this satellite image here. One geolocation was published on June 25th, it was the last one before geolocators stopped geolocating videos. It showed a Russian strike south of Nove… h
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0:05
Satellite images from June 19th showed a large number of airstrikes. Local Russian command requested again airstrikes against advancing Ukrainian infantry.
In fact, the Ukrainians didn’t only push on the main axis near Nove, they also pushed in two directions further west, https
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This was the first confirmation that the Ukrainians managed to secure all positions west of Nove and Lypove. The same day, I managed to confirm the Ukrainians took control of strategic treelines and forests south of Nove, more than 2 weeks after the initial assault and took https
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To illustrate this, on June 11th, I posted this “In the Lyman direction, after the May 22nd mechanized assault on Nove, the Ukrainians managed to consolidate their gains as seen in recent geolocations as well as satellite images”, illustrating that with a picture from June 8th ht
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The week later, clearing operations started inside Nove, with the Ukrainians having a large manpower advantage due to their mechanized assault.
While there was an assault on Nove from the east, the Ukrainians entrenched in 3 additional forests west of Nove, in order to widen the
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What really happened based on my information :
On May 22nd, a mechanized battalion of the 3rd Assault brigade supported by at least 2 other brigades (60th and 66th) from the 3rd Army Corps launched a large mechanized offensive with an important jamming of Russian drones.
The ht
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About OPSEC :
Despite many claims, OPSEC (Operational Security) was very well observed, with barely any comment on the situation and no media attention. Why it matters? Because we knew that Russian units from there were weak and the 20th CAA had no reserve to throw in. Lying is
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To explain geography, you have 4 rivers. The Krasna river valley, from Svatove to Kreminna, that remained under Russian control. Further west is the Zherebets river. For a long time, Ukraine had control of many positions few kilometers east of it, while it could easily shoot the
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The results of this offensive are significant since this is a very important area in eastern Ukraine. This saliant, was the base for an offensive on Lyman, which could have allowed further offensives to Izium and Sloviansk, threatened the northern supply road to Donbas.
This htt
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After 4 months of the Lyman counter-attack, Ukraine 🇺🇦 3rd Army Corps managed to cut Russian 🇷🇺 salient north of Lyman and liberate more than 200 km2
This is one of the most important victory for Ukraine in 2026 which will delay the offensive on northern Donbas
🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️ h
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@clement_molin @Euan_MacDonald Just yesterday, we at InformNapalm were reviewing another data dump on Russian war crimes involving Africa Corps and the Wagner Group, including numerous photos of atrocities against local civilians.
We may publish our findings once the verificatio
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Dibandingkan akun berukuran sama
50 postingan dari 90 hari terakhir, dibandingkan dengan rentang 100K–1M pengikut. tampil jauh melampaui audiensnya sendiri, dan audiens itu merespons.
Median tayangan40 683akun ini5 983median untuk 100K–1M
Jangkauan, %30.72%akun ini1.49%median untuk 100K–1M
Interaksi, %1.83%akun ini0.93%median untuk 100K–1M
| Metrik | Akun ini | Median untuk 100K–1M | Rasio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median tayangan per postingan | 40 683 | 5 983 | 6.80× |
| Jangkauan (tayangan ÷ pengikut) | 30.72% | 1.49% | 20.6× |
| Tingkat interaksi | 1.83% | 0.93% | 1.97× |
Akun lain pada rentang ini → Bandingkan dengan akun lain → Bagaimana tolok ukur ini disusun →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
35.2K8 Sep
36.5K
38.2K
52.9K
73.1K
6.4K
756.5K19 Sep
857.5K
36.2K
17.6K
352.2K22 Sep
1.5K
966
5.3K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
2.78%8 Sep
2.69%
2.56%
1.69%
2.65%
2.09%
0.25%19 Sep
0.77%
1.39%
1.13%
1.72%22 Sep
6.88%
5.38%
9.73%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.93%.
What the audience does
Likes78.1%42 688 in total
Reposts11.3%6 204 in total
Replies2.3%1 263 in total
Quotes1.1%593 in total
Bookmarks7.2%3 925 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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