Alex Almeida
@AlexAlmeida2020 · joined 02 Jun 2013
Director, security @horizonengage. Focused on Iraq/KRI, Yemen, and the Gulf states. PhD candidate @warstudies. Views very much my own.
15 141Followers
1 738Following
13 193Posts total
137.8KViews on collected posts
Ultimi post
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Nice chart, though I don't quite see why we can't sustain the blockade with a few destroyers and LCSs plus land-based patrol aircraft and helos. It's the Hormuz overwatch effort and "mowing the lawn" over southern Iran that's the real resource drain.
1.3K views · 22 likes
· 1 reposts · 3 replies
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The US can sustain the Iran blockade, but at a high cost. Over 30% of available warships are tied up, with operating costs near $1B a month. The war is sapping military readiness; is the pressure worth the price?
My analysis in @business (gift link): https://t.co/Trnj7c13RC ht
4.1K views · 34 likes
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The extent to which the US spent the 1930s and first half of the 1940s incubating the USSR as an eventual great power rival is still not widely known and poorly understood.
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· 13 reposts · 3 replies
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Four drones and presumably an AShCM. Suggests they *are* trying to saturate and overwhelm US defensive counter-drone/missile CAPs - just not very successfully. Also, what "US-contracted vessel" hmmm?
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A U.S.-contracted vessel was hit during an Iranian attack earlier this week, two sources told Fox News on Wednesday.
The incident occurred "around the Strait of Hormuz," and involved four Iranian drones, and at least one missile, according to Fox News Chief Foreign Correspondent
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You may have killed the man, but not the idea.
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Y'all thought we shut down the Strategic Defense Initiative it just got new names. https://t.co/VjyrF7LsqE
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0:40
@AlexAlmeida2020 I agree. This raises the question of whether there are enough air defenses around the Ras Tanura terminal and refineries.
Because if it is Iran masterminding the recent attacks, the one big, low hanging, fruit in the Southern Gulf is Saudi Aramco's infrastructure
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@AlexAlmeida2020 I think their ability to hit moving targets is essentially nil at this point.
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@AlexAlmeida2020 There’s no proof at all that they’re doing daytime transits or even that they’re actually moving the amount of oil they claim to be moving at night. And of course it does nothing to affect Irans will to continue the war.
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At this point I am more or less convinced the US 100% focus on Hormuz and the southern littoral in Jul-Aug did heavily degrade Iranian anti-shipping capabilities, and what we’re seeing now mostly reflects that, not deliberate withholding by the Iranians.
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Britain had incubated the US as its Great Power rival, and eventual successor.
The US has done its best to do the same for China.
... going to have to give the UK the win on that one. Self-evidently less retarded.
31.1K views · 129 likes
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Rispetto ad account della stessa dimensione
11 post degli ultimi 90 giorni, accanto alla fascia di 10K–100K follower. arriva a molti, ma pochi di loro reagiscono.
Visualizzazioni mediane4 096questo account924mediana per 10K–100K
Copertura, %27.05%questo account3.62%mediana per 10K–100K
Interazione, %0.68%questo account1.52%mediana per 10K–100K
| Metrica | Questo account | Mediana per 10K–100K | Rapporto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visualizzazioni mediane per post | 4 096 | 924 | 4.43× |
| Copertura (visualizzazioni ÷ follower) | 27.05% | 3.62% | 7.47× |
| Tasso di interazione | 0.68% | 1.52% | 0.44× |
Altri account di questa fascia → Confronta con un altro account → Come sono costruiti questi parametri →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
31.1K10 Feb
34.4K15 Sep
1.8K
1.3K
481
32.7K16 Sep
918
9.8K
5.5K
14.3K
4.1K
1.3K
Last 12 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.46%10 Feb
1.38%15 Sep
0.65%
0.61%
0.42%
3.65%16 Sep
0.54%
0.09%
0.68%
1.88%
1.42%
1.98%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.
What the audience does
Likes73.8%2 015 in total
Reposts6.0%164 in total
Replies1.6%45 in total
Quotes0.6%16 in total
Bookmarks17.9%489 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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