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Split Ticket ✓

@SplitTicket_ · joined 19 Nov 2021

Political analysis at your fingertips. By @lxeagle17, @hwlavellemaps, @Thorongil16, @politicsmaps, @maxtmcc | 🎤 ✉️ info@splitticket.org

26 066Followers
165Following
1 392Posts total
1.1MViews on collected posts

Ultimi post

Our 2026 midterms model is out and will be hosted at @TheArgumentMag. Projections as of 6/19: House: 🟦 85% (229D-206R) Senate: 🟥 57% (50R-50D) https://t.co/cm3ZZ9Is6q 5.9K views · 25 likes · 4 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
@SplitTicket_ @lxeagle17 Florida still being red even in 2008 is hilarious 2.8K views · 18 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
From our generic ballot estimations, after adjusting for uncontested races. https://t.co/O5NoRC1EWB 8.8K views · 21 likes · 2 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
A tale of two blue waves: 2008 vs 2018. https://t.co/cJBxo8fjDe 89K views · 441 likes · 41 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →
As we've previously written, candidate quality and national environment can have substantial impacts on any given candidate's performance. This year, with two states bidding farewell to incumbents, it's time to consider how incumbent party fatigue can help the "out" party. 17K views · 25 likes · 5 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →
@SplitTicket_ Congrats! 506 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
Join us. https://t.co/hQbL7GSsxB 13.7K views · 20 likes · 4 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
Some news: Split Ticket is joining The Argument. https://t.co/mnubJG16tu 904.9K views · 292 likes · 22 reposts · 12 replies Open on X →
Deconstructing our Wins Above Replacement model and explaining how it works, for all curious. (And why progressives don’t do as well in it) https://t.co/sgFd3ZWlNl 9.6K views · 39 likes · 9 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

9.6K15 Aug
904.9K18 Aug
13.7K
506
17K20 Oct
89K14 May
8.8K
2.8K
5.9K19 Jun

Last 9 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.50%15 Aug
0.04%18 Aug
0.18%
0.79%
0.19%20 Oct
0.56%14 May
0.26%
0.68%
0.52%19 Jun

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views.

What the audience does

Likes78.2%884 in total
Reposts7.8%88 in total
Replies2.6%29 in total
Quotes0.7%8 in total
Bookmarks10.7%121 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Account simili