Wei Dai ✓

@weidai11 · joined 04 Jun 2015

wrote Crypto++, b-money, UDT. thinking about existential safety and metaphilosophy. blogging at https://t.co/mBVFhriJVf

13 971Followers

126Following

809Posts total

487.4KViews on collected posts

Ultimi post

Wei Dai ✓@weidai114 Sep

Look at this from the other side (of someone trying to do long-horizon strategy): you spend most of your time having low status for being "obsessed" with something nobody else cares about, and then can only get points for being early, not for the details of your strategies/ideas, 18.4K views · 172 likes · 13 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai114 Sep

@itaisher @thuddwhirr What’s really influenced me a lot was knowing a bunch of EA’s in the early/mid 2010’s and thinking they were crazy for being obsessed with pandemics and AI only for a pandemic to happen and then AI to happen too. 90.7K views · 1.1K likes · 78 reposts · 20 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai114 Sep

We can't easily evaluate long-horizon strategy, even after the horizon has passed and we can judge in hindsight, because we don't know what the counterfactual world looks like. Maybe the only way to get credit for many strategy ideas is to wait for large-scale high-fidelity 5.4K views · 59 likes · 3 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1128 Aug

I speculated about memetics being a potential AI safety hazard in a 2003 SL4 post https://t.co/62hmAIwAxp (which also gave an early description of the evolutionary analogy for AI misalignment). Analogies between human safety and AI safety seem a rich field that not many people 7.4K views · 83 likes · 5 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1126 Aug

From https://t.co/G9T3ag6aK2 3.2K views · 5 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1126 Aug

@VesselOfSpirit @niplav_site "The fact that no one noticed this issue for over a decade shows that ATA is difficult. If PCEV had been successfully implemented, the outcome would have been massively worse than extinction. I think that this illustrates that scenarios where someone 4K views · 5 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai113 Aug

https://t.co/JHpYsGHdye 6.9K views · 12 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1131 Jul

@weidai11 I would gently poke at this. Meaningful research is happening. If it looks like meaningful research has stalled and there is no way forward, consider you may be in a metaphysical cul de sac. Whether it is happening fast enough is another question. 5.1K views · 20 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1131 Jul

Link to the original LW shortform: https://t.co/5JPsUWBQSY and a recent follow-up: https://t.co/ulNom8aVK0 12.4K views · 75 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1131 Jul

"I don't have any good ideas for what to do in light of all this. Just wanted to post an update on my current thinking, my own 'situational awareness', if you will." https://t.co/l345HNhKsj

277.9K views · 1.2K likes · 95 reposts · 42 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1126 Mar

One idea is that humans are "aligned" via social status, but this causes an "alignment tax" forcing the smartest humans to work in domains where their results can be evaluated by others less intelligent. Unfortunately, while math is in NP, philosophy is more like EXPTIME. 17.8K views · 158 likes · 10 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1125 Mar

In 2012 I wrote about making 10⁵ clones of von Neumann as a Singularity strategy, but now I think we should first figure out why he spent more time/effort on math/computing instead of philosophy and long-horizon strategy, which are the real bottlenecks to having a good future. 30.2K views · 166 likes · 12 reposts · 17 replies Open on X →

Wei Dai ✓@weidai1128 Sep 2024

@weidai11 @RokoMijic I respectfully believe Eliezer’s complexity of value thesis is both wrong and leads to undue pessimism. I wrote a book (Principia Qualia) outlining the natural alternative, formalism. I agree there are many disjunctive ways for the AI transition to go wrong, 8.1K views · 24 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Rispetto ad account della stessa dimensione

10 post degli ultimi 90 giorni, accanto alla fascia di 10K–100K follower. arriva a molti, ma pochi di loro reagiscono.

Visualizzazioni mediane7 152questo account1 033mediana per 10K–100K

Copertura, %51.19%questo account3.60%mediana per 10K–100K

Interazione, %0.57%questo account1.69%mediana per 10K–100K

Metrica	Questo account	Mediana per 10K–100K	Rapporto
Visualizzazioni mediane per post	7 152	1 033	6.92×
Copertura (visualizzazioni ÷ follower)	51.19%	3.60%	14.2×
Tasso di interazione	0.57%	1.69%	0.34×

Altri account di questa fascia → Confronta con un altro account → Come sono costruiti questi parametri →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

8.1K28 Sep

30.2K25 Mar

17.8K26 Mar

277.9K31 Jul

12.4K

5.1K

6.9K3 Aug

4K26 Aug

3.2K

7.4K28 Aug

5.4K4 Sep

90.7K

18.4K

Last 13 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.36%28 Sep

0.65%25 Mar

0.99%26 Mar

0.51%31 Jul

0.63%

0.39%

0.17%3 Aug

0.18%26 Aug

0.22%

1.28%28 Aug

1.27%4 Sep

1.35%

1.01%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.69%.

What the audience does

Likes65.2%3 133 in total

Reposts4.6%220 in total

Replies2.1%101 in total

Quotes1.1%54 in total

Bookmarks27.0%1 296 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Ultimi post

Rispetto ad account della stessa dimensione

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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