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Electoral Calculus

@ElectCalculus · United Kingdom · joined 16 Sep 2016

Electoral Calculus (https://t.co/4i0ISPybeH) is a quantitative political consultancy, well-known for its website of election predictions and data.

25 991Followers
148Following
1 478Posts total
222.6KViews on collected posts

Posts recentes

General Election prediction for Keir Starmer's seat, Holborn and St Pancras, shows Labour holding if a GE were held now, with a tight contest against the Greens. Please note this is a general election prediction not a by-election prediction, as by-elections behave differently. h
4.1K views · 18 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
@ElectCalculus come the general election, whenever that happens, it will be very different. @lukerobertblack 50 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@ElectCalculus https://t.co/sXrJ4Wr3Um 193 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
@ElectCalculus Here's their last prediction numbers: https://t.co/bpaC0fCr2p 298 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
Our latest poll-of-polls shows #Labour 60 seats short of a majority. #Labour has picked up a point or so from the #LibDems and #Greens, while #Reform has also edged up. A coalition with the #LibDems could give Labour a workable majority. https://t.co/NRkt2WUv6J https://t.co/u6hJz
8K views · 44 likes · 9 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →
Our voter transition graphic shows how party support has changed since the 2024 GE. • Established parties continue to lose votes • Insurgent parties gain • Few voters crossover between left and right Full graphic⬇️ https://t.co/mX1gdDIdaz and video⬇️ https://t.co/k4DkqxSYP3 http
4.6K views · 35 likes · 7 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
Exclusive: The “Burnham bounce” has ended just weeks after the new prime minister entered Downing Street, leading pollsters have said, as they warned there would be no point in Labour calling an early election. Read more: https://t.co/o4JY8L1VNf https://t.co/CuNAtP4qns
71.1K views · 185 likes · 65 reposts · 52 replies Open on X →
@ElectCalculus who the fuck is still voting for Tories and Labour ? Cant you see the mess we are in? 678 views · 19 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
@ElectCalculus I think Reform be lucky get 50 seats at next election 1.6K views · 11 likes · 0 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →
@ElectCalculus Just nonsense 435 views · 8 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
There has been a 'Burnham bounce' in the polling numbers this month with Labour back in first place and Reform UK in third. When translated into seats, this puts Labour ahead of the Conservative by over 100 seats. More details: https://t.co/NRkt2WUv6J https://t.co/C67NMGzniy
129.6K views · 159 likes · 42 reposts · 26 replies Open on X →
Should Andy Burnham call a snap general election? In the latest Politics By Numbers episode, we look at what history tells us about PMs who inherit office between elections and the surprising link between Sir Keir Starmer and Sir Winston Churchill ⬇️ https://t.co/VhZWY4IOlp 1.9K views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Em comparação com contas do mesmo porte

12 posts dos últimos 90 dias, ao lado da faixa de 10K–100K seguidores. aparece para muita gente, mas poucos desses espectadores reagem.

Mediana de visualizações1 729esta conta924mediana para 10K–100K
Alcance, %6.65%esta conta3.62%mediana para 10K–100K
Engajamento, %0.66%esta conta1.52%mediana para 10K–100K
MétricaEsta contaMediana para 10K–100KProporção
Mediana de visualizações por post1 7299241.87×
Alcance (visualizações ÷ seguidores)6.65%3.62%1.84×
Taxa de engajamento0.66%1.52%0.43×

Outras contas desta faixa →   Comparar com outra conta →   Como estas referências são construídas →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

1.9K17 Jul
129.6K31 Jul
435
1.6K
678
71.1K31 Aug
4.6K
8K1 Sep
298
193
50
4.1K

Last 12 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.11%17 Jul
0.19%31 Jul
2.30%
0.96%
2.95%
0.47%31 Aug
0.92%
0.80%1 Sep
0.34%
2.07%
0.00%
0.51%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes58.0%484 in total
Reposts14.9%124 in total
Replies11.2%93 in total
Quotes6.8%57 in total
Bookmarks9.1%76 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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