Nick Timiraos ✓
@NickTimiraos · joined 23 Jul 2009
Chief economics correspondent, The Wall Street Journal • Author, "Trillion Dollar Triage”
490 360Followers
122Following
49 310Posts total
4.9MViews on collected posts
Posts recentes
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Peter Navarro to Steve Bannon: "Steve, I can't say this enough. If that Federal Reserve raises rates right now, a careless rate hike, it would hit precisely the sectors America needs most to prosper. Factory construction, capital investment, machinery, housing, manufacturing. And
134.7K views · 324 likes
· 46 reposts · 54 replies
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Wage growth over the last 12-months slowed to 3.1% in August, the lowest of the current cycle. (A bit firmer, at 3.3%, for private sector production and nonsupervisory workers). https://t.co/7R7wZYvoXd
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· 62 reposts · 15 replies
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Trump expresses his ongoing irritation with how economic indicator reports that provide any evidence of overheating lead stocks to pull back.
He renews his demand for lower interest rates: "The Fed Board, with its great new leader, must get smart - BE PATRIOTS for a change." htt
172.5K views · 530 likes
· 98 reposts · 96 replies
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The August inflation data still seem likely to drive the decision to hike or hold in September, but the solid August employment data at a minimum removes an obstacle to a rate increase https://t.co/jM2i2W0Hop
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· 41 reposts · 18 replies
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New York Fed President John Williams maintained his view that "the trend in inflation" is "moving slowly down as some of the effects of the tariffs can move into the rearview mirror."
In his CNBC interview, he didn't sound like someone itching to raise rates, but does note that
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@NickTimiraos Bessent does not understand we are in a long term bear market in bonds and that the war on Iran has nothing to do with it.
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@NickTimiraos Ya right… Bessent is the secretary of financial gaslighting.
Warsh, Bessent and the boys are trying to keep Humpty Dumpty together until after the midterms.
For the record, I voted for Trump all three times, what he’s trying to accomplish is the right thing but th
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@NickTimiraos “The next six months” Didn’t they say that we would be growing at 5% six months ago ?
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Bessent says he expects interest rates will fall once "we get on the other side" of the Iran conflict, and that today's AI investments could be "extremely disinflationary" with results showing up "in the next six months."
"The economy here is very, very strong and I think we're
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· 127 reposts · 100 replies
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A war that won't end is complicating the Fed's next move https://t.co/zbF7Lzmrho
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· 47 reposts · 25 replies
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@NickTimiraos Market took Jackson Hole speech as forward guidance and did the job for him
Warsh can hold now
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Fed governor Michael Barr says he would back a September rate increase if inflation “appears not to be moderating sufficiently.”
The key outlook passage from his speech: “If trends in the data give me some confidence that inflation is moderating on a path to 2%, then I think we
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Trump: ""I have a lot of respect for [Warsh] and he’ll do what he has to do."
"I think our interest rates are too high." https://t.co/Y1ZmHMBMjv
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Bessent: "It is my belief that we've seen a supply shock. And traditionally, you don't raise [interest rates] into a supply shock unless you see second or third order effects, and we are seeing the core inflation has remained very, very restrained." https://t.co/sb17BUN31i
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@NickTimiraos @OhNoezzz No pre-commitment, of course. But, paraphrasing: (1) recent good inflation data weren't all that comforting; (2) the labor market is about at full employment; and (3) financial conditions aren't tight. The key is going to be comforting inflation data.
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@NickTimiraos @OhNoezzz It’s written clearly. But isn’t that Warsh’s potential strategy? All bark, no bite?
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@NickTimiraos Thanks for the reply Nick, and fair enough 👍 sorry I didn't actually read the article, I had assumed it was behind a paywall
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@OhNoezzz I tried to reflect this point of view in the article; perhaps it didn’t get across. https://t.co/wmin5LpbBp
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@NickTimiraos Or perhaps his speech was just that - a speech.
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@NickTimiraos *sigh*
Such an important issue, he couldn’t even write it himself. And the journal apparently doesn’t care https://t.co/STTgmOdJqK
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@NickTimiraos How many op-eds are written by Claude nowadays?
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Stanley Druckenmiller renders an unfavorable opinion of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's use of buybacks to defend against higher yields in a market that is functioning normally.
"I have spent five decades trading on a simple premise: Markets aggregate information no committee
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@NickTimiraos Yes they are ditching neo-wicksell. Read George Robertson he’s nailed the switch
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@NickTimiraos The Fed has 24k employees, when the government shutdown hit they were unable to produce any inflation measure to make reliable policy. PCE/CPI/PPI unavailable. God forbid he look at their current processes and modernize them. The truth is that the Fed is antiquated
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Asked Wednesday which inflation measure he relies on, Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh gave "the proper, standard answer"—the PCE price index—then immediately qualified it: "Who knows come after next January what we might say about strategy. I suspect the task forces might have something
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· 65 reposts · 41 replies
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How's this for an endorsement:
At the annual shareholder meeting, Warren Buffett urged people to buy Trillion Dollar Triage, my book about the economic-policy response to the Covid shock.
"It's a marvelous account of what took place."
Order your copy: https://t.co/oUIDNrDtKE
0 views · 3.5K likes
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Em comparação com contas do mesmo porte
26 posts dos últimos 90 dias, ao lado da faixa de 100K–1M seguidores. aparece para muita gente, mas poucos desses espectadores reagem.
Mediana de visualizações30 023esta conta5 983mediana para 100K–1M
Alcance, %6.12%esta conta1.49%mediana para 100K–1M
Engajamento, %0.52%esta conta0.93%mediana para 100K–1M
| Métrica | Esta conta | Mediana para 100K–1M | Proporção |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mediana de visualizações por post | 30 023 | 5 983 | 5.02× |
| Alcance (visualizações ÷ seguidores) | 6.12% | 1.49% | 4.11× |
| Taxa de engajamento | 0.52% | 0.93% | 0.56× |
Outras contas desta faixa → Comparar com outra conta → Como estas referências são construídas →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
278.1K31 Aug
25.3K
75.8K1 Sep
1.1K
75K
189.5K2 Sep
566
1K
1.2K
68.7K
65.1K4 Sep
172.5K
72.4K
134.7K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.29%31 Aug
0.44%
0.55%1 Sep
1.50%
0.53%
0.47%2 Sep
1.77%
0.60%
3.71%
0.56%
0.43%4 Sep
0.45%
0.51%
0.33%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.93%.
What the audience does
Likes66.1%13 863 in total
Reposts11.4%2 399 in total
Replies4.3%892 in total
Quotes3.2%671 in total
Bookmarks14.9%3 132 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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