Ben Noll ✓
@BenNollWeather · Auckland, New Zealand · joined 09 Dec 2013
Global weather writer and meteorologist for @washingtonpost | Weather and climate analysis and visuals | #HudsonValley snow days
100 349Followers
176Following
24 352Posts total
4.3MViews on collected posts
Последние посты
Ищем новые посты…
@BenNollWeather A rainy winter in AZ would be more than welcome
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@BenNollWeather This is the thing that shocks me the most. Never during any super El Niño year or yet let alone a potentially record-breaking event in the Pacific this year are we supposed to have rising air in the Atlantic during October or even November. It normally is meant to
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@BenNollWeather Perhaps the season won't end at 5-0-0 🥳
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During a season with conditions that have been as unconducive to Atlantic hurricanes as possible, a relatively more conducive stretch appears likely into October.
Rising air will spread into the Atlantic, encouraging more unsettled conditions — especially in the west. https://t.
20.5K views · 233 likes
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GIF
@BenNollWeather "to the brink"
- Yellow Journalism, meet Yellow Meteorology.
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@BenNollWeather Hi @BenNollWeather
Will Anak Kratakoa Volcanic Eruption offset the Temperature Rise due to El Nino?
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What began as a burst of wind in the remote western Pacific Ocean became an undersea freight train of warm water — and has now brought the world to the brink of the strongest El Niño on record.
El Niño's journey ⬇️ https://t.co/mZyRZy8iln
18.9K views · 256 likes
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0:10
Hurricane Lowell is Category 5 buzzsaw about 400 miles south of Hawaii and 700 miles north of Kiribati in the central Pacific Ocean.
The storm will soon turn north and it looks like a dangerously close call for Hawaii’s northernmost islands early next week. https://t.co/DkBBM59m
9.1K views · 166 likes
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Have you been sweating more than normal?
Peak humidity is forecast to reach extreme levels for around 140 million people across the United States in the days ahead 🥲 https://t.co/aaHWBgS5pQ
58.2K views · 606 likes
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Edouard is dumping *huge amounts* of rain in eastern Texas.
Precipitable water levels in this region have been 5-10% higher than average this summer, loading the dice for rainfall extremes.
It's all connected. https://t.co/L27qMkqfzU
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After Tropical Storm Edouard's landfall on Tuesday, there's less than a 1% chance of a hurricane landfall in the contiguous United States through Sept. 16, according to Google DeepMind's 1000-member ensemble.
El Niño is also making its presence known in this positive way. https:
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El Niño has helped create a vast reservoir of excess atmospheric moisture over the Pacific Ocean.
That moisture has flowed into the United States, driving its second-highest summer precipitable water levels on record and fueling rainfall extremes that will continue into fall. ht
24.4K views · 274 likes
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@BenNollWeather Why do you speak of it in the future tense? Is it not producing effects now? If not, what's holding it back? And if it is producing effects now, then it should be declared active now.
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@BenNollWeather So that’s a small uptick from last month’s forecast https://t.co/zU1U1pwsTg
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@BenNollWeather Ben,
Thanks for the constant updates. We have chatted in X before. I manage a fruit farm in South India. The water levels are receding atablarming rates.
1st season of monsoon( South west monsoon) has been a failure. Whats your outlook for the north east monsoon
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El Niño is predicted to become the strongest ever observed in September, beginning a six-month run at record strength with a peak of +4.15°C.
That's according to the new CanSIPS model update, which also suggests that La Niña is possible during the second half of 2027. https://t.
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Here are three key reasons why it suddenly feels like the Amazon rainforest in Southern California:
1) Unusually warm oceans. A Category 3 severe marine heat wave near coastal Southern California is spiking humidity levels, as warmer water evaporates more readily.
2) A heat
55.5K views · 509 likes
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@BenNollWeather This explains the current state of
my ballsack.
Thanks.
17.7K views · 646 likes
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Southern California currently has the highest humidity in the U.S., even surpassing Florida.
The dew point over the Salton Sea reached a stifling 81°F, while Los Angeles hit 73°F, comparable to the Amazon rainforest and quite possibly its highest value on record. https://t.co/PC
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The brand new CanSIPS model run is in, and it has intensified its El Niño forecast yet again.
It now shows a record-breaking El Niño for six months straight, from September to February, peaking just shy of +4˚C in December. https://t.co/QD2a1w3MaH
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@BenNollWeather The numbers are staggering. We are shifting from a fading La Niña directly into a potential "Super El Niño" before the year is even out. When natural warming cycles like this collide with a baseline of human-induced heating, we aren't just looking at a "weather ev
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There's a new way to measure El Niño.
This new method is better suited to describe how significant El Niño-like climate impacts will be.
However, the intensity of the eventual El Niño will be somewhat lower with the new index, because of warming oceans.
https://t.co/Lp6j7en3Dr
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What does this mean to the weather where you live?
Short answer: El Niño's influence varies by location and is linked to how strong it becomes.
Changes in location, intensity and frequency of droughts, floods, heat waves and hurricanes are all likely.
https://t.co/5h80pEnulg
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In the months ahead, there will continue to be weaker trade winds and more westerly wind bursts, allowing tropical Pacific waters to warm.
There have already been three formidable westerly wind bursts, shifting warm ocean water from west to east across the Pacific. https://t.co/
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Copernicus Day for February has arrived.
How strong will El Niño get? What will it bring?
Let's find out 🧵 https://t.co/ZsgYs85pZ8
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There’s a new weather term in town that you'll want to get to know: Relative Niño Index! 🤓
As the world warms and sea temperatures rise, traditional monitoring methods for El Niño and La Niña are being supplemented with new techniques that are better suited to deal with that htt
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На фоне аккаунтов своего размера
21 постов за последние 90 дней рядом с диапазоном 100K–1M подписчиков. показывается большему числу людей, чем аккаунты того же размера.
Медианные просмотры18 932этот аккаунт5 983медиана для 100K–1M
Охват, %18.87%этот аккаунт1.49%медиана для 100K–1M
Вовлечённость, %0.95%этот аккаунт0.93%медиана для 100K–1M
| Показатель | Этот аккаунт | Медиана для 100K–1M | Отношение |
|---|---|---|---|
| Медианные просмотры на пост | 18 932 | 5 983 | 3.16× |
| Охват (просмотры ÷ подписчики) | 18.87% | 1.49% | 12.7× |
| Вовлечённость | 0.95% | 0.93% | 1.02× |
Другие в этом диапазоне → Сравнить с другим аккаунтом → Как считаются эти ориентиры →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
31.5K31 Aug
24.4K1 Sep
15.5K2 Sep
11.1K
58.2K
9.1K3 Sep
18.9K8 Sep
455
154
121
20.5K17 Sep
383
157
148
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.05%31 Aug
1.38%1 Sep
0.67%2 Sep
1.16%
1.20%
2.10%3 Sep
1.72%8 Sep
0.44%
0.00%
0.83%
1.37%17 Sep
0.78%
0.64%
2.03%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.93%.
What the audience does
Likes74.1%27 465 in total
Reposts9.1%3 384 in total
Replies2.0%736 in total
Quotes4.5%1 661 in total
Bookmarks10.3%3 804 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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