Natalia Gurushina ✓

@NGurushina · joined 31 Oct 2019

Chief EM Economist at VanEck. https://t.co/ew59ZZmvsw

14 323Followers

660Following

5 378Posts total

28.3KViews on collected posts

Последние посты

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina23 Sep

Major yield spikes can structurally lock in higher borrowing costs for years - this is a lesson both from EM and the U.S. own history. Net interest outlays in the U.S. can surpass the 1980/90s peak (as % GDP) - even with much lower yields - because the debt/GDP ratio skyrocketed

2.2K views · 24 likes · 9 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina23 Sep

South Africa - a 25bps rate hike, Governor Kganyago as credible as ever (“we can’t wait for 2nd round effects to enter room”), impressive progress on the fiscal front – but local bond valuations are not compelling at current levels and there are no obvious positive catalysts http

722 views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina22 Sep

@NGurushina Insufficient demand, 53.6. The INDEC menu has no line for tax burden, in the country of cascading Ingresos Brutos, the check tax, retenciones and municipal stacking. Those taxes live inside the shelf price, so the customer walks and the factory calls it no demand. Ha 128 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina22 Sep

@NGurushina @peguidotti Prices should be indicated on the graph 185 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina22 Sep

@NGurushina So Argentina has fiscal superavit, commercial surplus and current account superavit. Dollar Debt program 2026 & 27 is funded. More than 40% of local currency debt is due after elections. There is limited risk on a run previous to the elections as M2 is limited and too 184 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina22 Sep

Argentina – one K-shaped recovery, two charts, a long list of policy challenges. Energy is booming - a major tailwind for exports! - but spillovers into labor-intensive sectors remain limited, weighing on manufacturing confidence https://t.co/YOvIVZspsU

5.8K views · 97 likes · 12 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina22 Sep

Brazil’s market-implied rate expectations remain cautious despite Bolsonaro’s surging election odds, according to Bloomberg. The central bank minutes left the door open for further rate cuts - the real rate is very high - acknowledging the impact of tight policy on growth https:/

2.8K views · 57 likes · 8 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina14 May

@NGurushina @EricFine123 @lisaabramowicz1 Lamentablemente peronizados https://t.co/zeL4UUaYZA

94 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina14 May

@NGurushina @EricFine123 @lisaabramowicz1 Appreciate you, Natalia. 930 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Natalia Gurushina ✓@NGurushina14 May

Talking about the “global bond yield” being the highest since 2008 masks an important divergence between EM and DM. For quite some time, the market has been underpricing policy/macro risks in DM – a mispricing that is now being (painfully) corrected @EricFine123 @lisaabramowicz1

15.3K views · 96 likes · 16 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

На фоне аккаунтов своего размера

7 постов за последние 90 дней рядом с диапазоном 10K–100K подписчиков. показывается широко, но откликается мало кто.

Медианные просмотры722этот аккаунт924медиана для 10K–100K

Охват, %5.04%этот аккаунт3.62%медиана для 10K–100K

Вовлечённость, %1.09%этот аккаунт1.52%медиана для 10K–100K

Показатель	Этот аккаунт	Медиана для 10K–100K	Отношение
Медианные просмотры на пост	722	924	0.78×
Охват (просмотры ÷ подписчики)	5.04%	3.62%	1.39×
Вовлечённость	1.09%	1.52%	0.71×

Другие в этом диапазоне → Сравнить с другим аккаунтом → Как считаются эти ориентиры →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

15.3K14 May

930

2.8K22 Sep

5.8K

184

185

128

72223 Sep

2.2K

Last 10 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.76%14 May

0.32%

1.06%

2.44%22 Sep

2.01%

1.09%

0.00%

0.78%

0.97%23 Sep

1.56%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes72.3%287 in total

Reposts11.3%45 in total

Replies2.5%10 in total

Quotes1.8%7 in total

Bookmarks12.1%48 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Последние посты

На фоне аккаунтов своего размера

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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