Naval ✓
@naval · joined 01 Feb 2007
Incompressible
4 055 525Followers
0Following
27 230Posts total
34.6MViews on collected posts
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Every functioning institution is merit-based, not participation-based.
308.4K views · 11.4K likes
· 1.5K reposts · 300 replies
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@naval May be the problem is trying to fit millions’ of people’s ideaologies into two categories.
2.5K views · 45 likes
· 1 reposts · 1 replies
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@naval There are far too many people who care about looking good while doing evil. https://t.co/pvKAFgMxac
3K views · 60 likes
· 4 reposts · 4 replies
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0:21
People who want to appear moral are attracted to the left.
People who want to appear rational are attracted to the right.
Effective Altruism lets you appear rational and moral - the ultimate ego trip.
660.7K views · 18.1K likes
· 1.3K reposts · 598 replies
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@naval Why just AI? Why not make every software maker liable for what users do involving their software? Someone makes an illegal meme with MSPaint? Arrest Microsoft. An accountant makes a fraudulent Google Slides finance deck? Arrest Google.
13K views · 234 likes
· 3 reposts · 33 replies
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The future is more likely AIs fighting AIs (on behalf of humans) than AI fighting humanity.
498.5K views · 12.2K likes
· 939 reposts · 893 replies
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For “dangerous” or weakly-guarded open source models, hold the hosts liable.
Of course the end user holds liability as well if they are jailbreaking models to do harmful things.
56.3K views · 882 likes
· 43 reposts · 46 replies
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The best way to pace the frontier is to hold the labs fully liable for the behavior of their models.
1.3M views · 21.3K likes
· 1.9K reposts · 932 replies
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If AI is risky like fire is risky, then you want everyone to have it.
If AI is risky like a nuclear weapon is risky, then you want no one to have it.
578K views · 5.4K likes
· 418 reposts · 465 replies
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Maybe you have recently become aware of the AI safety debate and the arguments swirling around it.
If you want to understand them, you need to understand a couple things that almost everyone gets wrong:
There are TWO distinct classes of AI dangers, and it's VERY important to
686.9K views · 1.7K likes
· 319 reposts · 210 replies
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"When liability exposure approaches 0—when no one pays the price for unverified failures—verification budgets collapse...Deployers flood the Runaway Risk Zone with unmonitored agents, capturing the gains of automation while socializing catastrophic risks."
249.8K views · 1.4K likes
· 134 reposts · 135 replies
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1/ When we looked at the economics of AGI, the key policy challenge was immediately clear:
AI drastically lowers the cost of execution for anything easy to verify.
For everything else, verification is the bottleneck. https://t.co/m5Sex8WQ2V
267.3K views · 673 likes
· 97 reposts · 37 replies
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Strong liability enforcement could be helpful in the AI debate.
If your agent swarm goes rogue, you’re liable.
If your weakly protected model gets jailbroken, you’re liable.
If you serve a weakly protected OSS model, you’re liable.
382.5K views · 5.5K likes
· 438 reposts · 501 replies
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On the way to killing all of us, AI will likely kill some of us.
In that case, who’s liable?
518.3K views · 7.1K likes
· 286 reposts · 760 replies
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The most important question is whether AI will be Godlike, Genius, or Jagged.
259.4K views · 4.6K likes
· 239 reposts · 502 replies
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@naval It's not an either/or. We have to continually find solutions to both problems, iteratively.
3.3K views · 61 likes
· 1 reposts · 2 replies
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@naval I fear government fucking up everything it touches, including AI.
6.2K views · 248 likes
· 11 reposts · 3 replies
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AI isn’t going away. Barring unprecedented global government coordination, it isn’t even slowing down.
The only real decision is whether to centralize power, or disperse it.
Do you fear the technology? Or a small number of people controlling the technology?
1M views · 12.3K likes
· 1.3K reposts · 960 replies
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@naval “Concern” is a very different thing than “ergo, we must create massive Democratic-led government controls”
39.3K views · 1.2K likes
· 57 reposts · 27 replies
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Challenge what they say, not who they are.
269.9K views · 9.1K likes
· 835 reposts · 342 replies
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OTOH, when the government tries to solve a problem, you end up with two problems.
102.5K views · 1.4K likes
· 62 reposts · 44 replies
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I’m not an AI doomer, but my firsthand experience dating back to 2020 is that the researchers expressing concerns are sincere.
The closer they are to the research, the more worried they seem to be.
768.9K views · 15.9K likes
· 871 reposts · 681 replies
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the backlash to ai safety people is bizarre
"you’re just an anxious person" is the plausibly right criticism. instead it’s “you don’t believe any of this, you’re funded by a shadow cabal, and giving up equity and slowing down your own company is somehow your plan to get rich”
225.7K views · 931 likes
· 42 reposts · 81 replies
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Children are free until they learn that there are constraints to the world, and then we call them adults.
437.4K views · 13.4K likes
· 1.1K reposts · 455 replies
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When we see perfection in an idea, we call it truth.
When we see it in a person, we call it love.
When we see it in a thing, we call it beauty.
428.8K views · 11.7K likes
· 1.2K reposts · 424 replies
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@naval Learn from the mistakes of others. https://t.co/PJNdRosleJ
10.9K views · 231 likes
· 18 reposts · 10 replies
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@naval Procreation is the meaning of life. It's the definition.
We're the only creatures smart enough to think ourselves out of trying to procreate.
17.7K views · 432 likes
· 18 reposts · 17 replies
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@naval I'm a public school teacher. My wife has been a stay at home mom for our entire marriage. We have six wonderful young-adult kids. We're broke, but we are so rich in the ways that truly matter. Our home and our hearts are full.
45.5K views · 1.3K likes
· 27 reposts · 33 replies
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На фоне аккаунтов своего размера
34 постов за последние 90 дней рядом с диапазоном 1M–10M подписчиков. показывается далеко за пределами своей аудитории, и она отвечает.
Медианные просмотры268 586этот аккаунт14 648медиана для 1M–10M
Охват, %6.62%этот аккаунт0.74%медиана для 1M–10M
Вовлечённость, %1.96%этот аккаунт0.70%медиана для 1M–10M
| Показатель | Этот аккаунт | Медиана для 1M–10M | Отношение |
|---|---|---|---|
| Медианные просмотры на пост | 268 586 | 14 648 | 18.3× |
| Охват (просмотры ÷ подписчики) | 6.62% | 0.74% | 8.95× |
| Вовлечённость | 1.96% | 0.70% | 2.80× |
Другие в этом диапазоне → Сравнить с другим аккаунтом → Как считаются эти ориентиры →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
518.3K13 Sep
382.5K
267.3K
249.8K14 Sep
686.9K16 Sep
578K
1.3M
56.3K
498.5K
13K
660.7K18 Sep
3K
2.5K
308.4K24 Sep
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
1.59%13 Sep
1.73%
0.31%
0.66%14 Sep
0.35%16 Sep
1.12%
1.96%
1.73%
2.88%
2.08%
3.05%18 Sep
2.30%
1.89%
4.32%24 Sep
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 1M–10M accounts is 0.70%.
What the audience does
Likes79.0%159 228 in total
Reposts6.5%13 179 in total
Replies4.2%8 505 in total
Quotes1.1%2 134 in total
Bookmarks9.2%18 457 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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