Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓

@GavMcCracken · joined 26 Jan 2022

Head of commodities macro, AI PhD, sarcasm & commentary + CS2. Up +3000x in 6.5 yrs of investing. Posts are speculations - not financial advice

30 047Followers

838Following

27 609Posts total

1.2MViews on collected posts

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Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken9 Sep

You can not manipulate or control an evolutionary process for an indefinite length of time. People will think I'm talking about Bessie Boy's oil shorts, but no this is about hubris some idiots in California hold when they think they will be able to superalign continual learners. 2.5K views · 58 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken9 Sep

The easiest plan is to just... not pursue continual learning research. Seriously, we can already solve millenium problems. There is no need to create agents that can evolve. There won't be any superalignment for them, it won't be possible. 2.8K views · 27 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken9 Sep

Seems the World will end after the Anthropic IPO. Nice knowing you all. 🥹🌳 https://t.co/nb4Uapu1ei

12.8K views · 107 likes · 3 reposts · 20 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken9 Sep

I will continue working on this tomorrow. I have too many thoughts, must sleep on them 3.5K views · 29 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken9 Sep

Surely this can't be real. If it was, oil would be over 100. 8 tankers hit by Iran + 5 tankers hit by USA in one day means that no captains left are sailing their ships into the suicide-hormuz 15.2K views · 199 likes · 8 reposts · 23 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken9 Sep

Honestly, yeah. X is not the place to make a statement, so I will write a Substack article starting now in order to make a statement on how the last few days have changed what I believe I must do. 18.5K views · 139 likes · 1 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken20 Aug

Time to break twitter twice. My haters are saying I only achieved the 5k to 1.5mil in 2 years due to lucky leverage utilization. Here is a special Canadian account you cant borrow money/use leverage. It's also limited to an 8k deposit per year. I opened the account 4 years ago.

185.6K views · 551 likes · 4 reposts · 49 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken17 Aug

Gaining lots of new followers so just thought I'd comment here that the #1 place to read my ideas is on my blog: https://t.co/OS40V5hZAY 18.6K views · 93 likes · 3 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken17 Aug

@GavMcCracken Congrats. Hope this works out well for you in the end, margin works both ways. Rooting for you, while using no margin myself. 9K views · 60 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken17 Aug

Time to break Twitter: Progress update. My degenerate leverage margin account just passed 308x in 2 years. Though tbh all my margin accounts are now degenerate leverage accounts... https://t.co/oqeNmIncTF

667.8K views · 1.3K likes · 30 reposts · 78 replies Open on X →

Gavin (humanist/acc) ✓@GavMcCracken16 Jan 2024

My challenge for 2024 is to get a 1000% return by end of year on a 5k margin enabled trading account. Let's see how fast I lose all my money 😎 If I don't, haters will say I have AGI 🤷‍♂️ Long term investing shall always be king but I'll never back down from a degen challenge 🚀😱 244.2K views · 108 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

10 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม แสดงในวงกว้าง แต่มีผู้ชมตอบสนองน้อย.

ยอดดูมัธยฐาน13 973บัญชีนี้924ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การเข้าถึง, %46.50%บัญชีนี้3.62%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การมีส่วนร่วม, %0.83%บัญชีนี้1.52%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

ตัวชี้วัด	บัญชีนี้	ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K	อัตราส่วน
ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์	13 973	924	15.1×
การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม)	46.50%	3.62%	12.8×
อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม	0.83%	1.52%	0.55×

บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

244.2K16 Jan

667.8K17 Aug

18.6K

185.6K20 Aug

18.5K9 Sep

15.2K

3.5K

12.8K

2.8K

2.5K

Last 11 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.05%16 Jan

0.21%17 Aug

0.70%

0.52%

0.33%20 Aug

0.79%9 Sep

1.52%

0.88%

1.05%

1.00%

2.41%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes72.7%2 681 in total

Reposts1.4%50 in total

Replies5.1%187 in total

Quotes0.6%23 in total

Bookmarks20.3%748 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

โพสต์ล่าสุด

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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