Luke Tryl ✓

@LukeTryl · London, England · joined 07 Dec 2016

Lover of finding out what people think, UK Director @Moreincommon_ 🏳️‍🌈🇺🇦

30 835Followers

3 213Following

21 763Posts total

525.3KViews on collected posts

โพสต์ล่าสุด

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl4 Sep

@LukeTryl The truth is Labour has never won without Scotland and now seems to be losing both Wales and Scotland. But the right has never been split before so that changes the game. The media might start promoting the greens again in an attempt to split the left. 23 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

@LukeTryl There is no Labour 'Left' left 115 views · 10 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

Regularly reminder that MRPs are not there to project by-elections but General Elections. Outsized swings, differential turnout and candidates matter. Makerfield should show especially when you have a high profile candidate these are not “all things being equal” contests. 6.7K views · 81 likes · 13 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

I’m not someone who thinks cross bloc votes don’t matter anymore, but it’s a lot easier if you start with your own bloc more united. 1.6K views · 23 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

If Labour win and demonstrate they do have greater consolidation of the left, and the Greens leader loses it makes their task at the next election much easier especially against a divided right. 2.1K views · 35 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

This is why Holborn and St Pancras beyond Polanski running matters - because of what it means for consolidation of the left bloc. Since Burnham came to power Labour have consolidated their hold on the left bloc, at the same time as Reform’s share of the right bloc has slipped. ht 18.4K views · 134 likes · 31 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

@LukeTryl Well, Burnham keeping anti-NATO crank Diane Abbott in the party while Russia murders and maims Ukrainian civilians 24/7 tells you everything you need to know. He’ll pirouette like a ballerina. 304 views · 6 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

I for one would welcome an “UNconsequential by election. 5.1K views · 72 likes · 1 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

And can you do a pivot that works for Holborn and St Pancras but doesn’t alienate the wider country which is pretty different to Camden. 1.9K views · 14 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl3 Sep

Lots of focus on the election itself in Holborn and St Pancras. But also in practical policy terms for Burnham there is a clear electoral incentive to pivot left to pass his first electoral test as PM. What does that mean for eg Rosebank, migration policy, Israel-Gaza, tax. 12K views · 125 likes · 11 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl2 Sep

Also might provide more answers to the suggestion, of which i'm slightly sceptical, of if Burnham's northern/Manchester focus is going down badly in London 3.1K views · 28 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl2 Sep

Basically it may, make or break the Green Party as a serious electoral force in run up to next election. If Labour win is handy it *may* increase snap election temptation - though the seat is certainly not Britain - it may reinforce united left vs divided right feeling it's time 6.6K views · 41 likes · 4 reposts · 6 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl2 Sep

If Polanski is running in Holborn and St Pancras will shape contours up to the next General Election Labour wins, Burnham further unites the left, Polanski's star wanes Greens win, Polanski bounces back from Spring slump, is in parliament, Labour's left flank issue still there 31.9K views · 224 likes · 14 reposts · 23 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl1 Sep

@LukeTryl The Conservatives, led by Kemi Badenoch, will be leading the polls by Christmas. The only party with a serious plan. 2.3K views · 67 likes · 5 reposts · 31 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl1 Sep

Looking at net approval can be misleading on its own as both Davey (55%) and Lowe (60%) have over 50% saying don't know or neither. So gross approvals also below. Difference here is that order goes Burnham, Badenoch, Farage on gross good job. https://t.co/YybaBNUOWI 4.3K views · 15 likes · 3 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl1 Sep

Burnham retains high approval ratings on +13. Kemi Badenoch is up one to positive territory at +1, Ed Davey is up 3 to -5, Lowe is down three to -12 (again with high unknowns), Farage is down four to -27, and Polanski is down one to -28. https://t.co/RmoEGImGWo 7.8K views · 43 likes · 8 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl1 Sep

Obviously these are margin of error changes, and we should expect things to fluctuate over conference season. But this is the highest Conservative vote share since January of this year, and Reform’s lowest in 18 months (though we have only been prompting Restore for 2 weeks which 9.6K views · 58 likes · 11 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl1 Sep

🆕Back to school voting intention. Tories edge into second as Labour leads by 3. 🌹 LAB 26% (-1) 🌳 CON 23% (+1) ⏩ REF 22% (-1) 🔶 LIB DEM 11% (+1) 🟢 GREEN 9% (-) ⚫ RES: 4% (-) 🟡 SNP 3% (+1) N = 3,250 | Fieldwork 28 -31/8 | Changes w 23/8 https://t.co/ddcVS1QrES 308.3K views · 688 likes · 205 reposts · 76 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl27 Aug

Latest episode of @opinionbriefpod out now - Do we care if politicians are likeable? - What makes Britons’ attitudes Ukraine unique? - Do party conferences matter to the public? - Which leader would we like to have a drink with, have as a neighbour or babysit. All below ⬇️ 9.2K views · 12 likes · 2 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl27 Aug

NEW EPISODE of The Opinion Brief. 🇺🇦 Why is support for Ukraine in the UK so exceptional? 🥳 Do party conferences mean anything to Britons? 🍻 The 'beer test': which leader would you have a pint with? 📊 Restore Britain enter our weekly voting intention tracker. Streaming now http 10.9K views · 4 likes · 3 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl21 Jul

@LukeTryl But didn't Labour legalise rough sleeping only two weeks ago? Perhaps thanks to our new/old housing minister who definitely didn't evade tax? 150 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl21 Jul

As I say in that thread the sense we can’t put a rough over peoples head is a really dark sign for lots of people about where our country is at but also makes people more zero sum - how can we spend on x when we have people sleeping on the streets. 2.5K views · 14 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl21 Jul

So yes it benefits the people who no longer have to rough sleep the most. But it has a wider effect in terms of how people view the state of the country. 2.2K views · 25 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl21 Jul

Seen a few people saying rough sleeping policy isn’t aimed at median public concern. Quite apart from any policy/moral imperative it really is - rough sleeping comes up time again in focus groups as one of the most visible signs of Broken Britain and community decline! 42.8K views · 246 likes · 67 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

Luke Tryl ✓@LukeTryl29 Apr 2025

Final point (sorry there was a lot to share) as someone raised elsewhere. Homelessness & perception it’s rising came up a lot and is one of most visible signs for people of a society struggling and without resource to spare “we can’t even given people here a roof over their head” 35.3K views · 103 likes · 13 reposts · 14 replies Open on X →

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

20 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม แสดงในวงกว้าง แต่มีผู้ชมตอบสนองน้อย.

ยอดดูมัธยฐาน5 856บัญชีนี้924ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การเข้าถึง, %18.99%บัญชีนี้3.62%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การมีส่วนร่วม, %0.90%บัญชีนี้1.52%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

ตัวชี้วัด	บัญชีนี้	ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K	อัตราส่วน
ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์	5 856	924	6.34×
การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม)	18.99%	3.62%	5.25×
อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม	0.90%	1.52%	0.59×

บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

2.3K1 Sep

31.9K2 Sep

6.6K

3.1K

12K3 Sep

1.9K

5.1K

304

18.4K

2.1K

1.6K

6.7K

115

234 Sep

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

4.49%1 Sep

0.85%2 Sep

0.82%

0.99%

1.23%3 Sep

0.84%

1.59%

2.63%

0.96%

1.78%

1.60%

1.44%

9.57%

0.00%4 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes70.6%2 069 in total

Reposts13.4%394 in total

Replies7.1%209 in total

Quotes4.9%145 in total

Bookmarks3.9%114 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

โพสต์ล่าสุด

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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