Sohrab Ahmari 🇺🇸
@SohrabAhmari
US editor, @UnHerd. Moynihan Public Scholar, @CUNY. My next book: THE TRIUMPH OF NORMAL, @HarperCollins.
165 941Followers
1 842Following
44 289Posts total
1.8MViews on collected posts
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@SohrabAhmari Not to mention, one of the first things communist regimes tend to do when they take power is dissolve labor unions and outlaw them.
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@SohrabAhmari Everything I don't like is communism or fascism! The state of modern political discourse in America and favorite tactic of conservative/progressive liberals.
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@SohrabAhmari Communism is when the worker does stuff
And it's more communism the more stuff he does
And if it does a real lot of stuff, it's Islamism
Or something like that
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How is this Communism! America has had a labor movement since before Marx and Engels were a thing. The Catholic Church endorsed labor unions and the right to strike in the 19th century. Reagan was a union leader.
This ⬇️ insults the intelligence.
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the idiocy of trying communism for the 189th time
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PS --- My other general observation: Iranians, even the most strident secularists, are deeply, deeply religious. And have a profound, all-powerful sense of purity versus contamination. There's a reason why Mani, the founder of Manichaeism, emerged in baptist context in Iran.
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12) My 48 hours of scrolling Iranian social media was, above all, depressing.
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11 cont'd) After a while, it isn't even clear whom they're targeting. Often, it's not the regime itself, but some other segment of the Pahlavi opposition that has accused our protagonist of secretly being on the regime's payroll (or whatever).
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11) I've watched maybe 10,000 videos of Pahlavi-supporting young men and women --- neck tattoos de rigueur --- screaming into phone cameras. Just primal screams: JAKESH KHAR-KOSDEH KHAR MADARETO MIGAM PEDAR SAG KESAFAT KIRAM TU RUHET. [Persian obscentities]
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10 cont'd) This aspect of the story truly broke my heart. What has Iran done to its middle class? Yes, sanctions are part of the story. But corruption, mismanagement, and repression --- combined with Western aspiration --- have created a bloc of desperate, damaged people.
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10 cont'd) I'm not saying that's the whole of the movement, but it's a core base. They have no way back to Iran --- because the Islamic Republic is unforgiving --- but they're also struggling here. Some of the activists beg their followers for donations.
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10) You see clearly that the core of Pahlavism are recent migrants to the West who are struggling to make it. These are not like earlier generations in the diaspora: the stereotypical Iranian plastic surgeon or BMW dealer. They're scraping by as cabbies, day laborers, maids, etc.
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9) Pahlavism is eroding. Videos are proliferating of the movement's lower-middle-class base abroad bickering among each other over God-knows-what, some former supporters openly questioning Reza Pahlavi's commitment and seriousness, etc., and some recanting.
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8) The system is aware of this. Another key debate, mirroring the one in America, is how long each side can last: How long can Trump tolerate plunging approval rates and Democratic gains: How long can Iran withstand economic pressure without internal revolt?
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7) The inflation situation is awful for the class of people who can't afford botox and raves, which is to say, for most. So many of the videos are about how to stretch grocery budgets, or just showing how little the Iranian rial buys.
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6) More generally, even as individual freedoms are opening up --- I mean, they host outdoor raves where the men are shirtless and the women twerk in tight dresses --- the political atmosphere is tight and tightening. It's IRGC-stan (with outdoor raves).
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@SohrabAhmari Assuming Trump continues pressing the embargo, how long do you think Iran can hold out and what do you think Iran's end state will most likely look like?
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5, cont'd) Between those who see diplomacy and kinetic action as two sides of the same pursuit; and those who think there's no point in talking until Tehran dramatically raises the price of aggression for Washington.
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5) The real debates aren't between reformists and hard-liners (outmoded categories). It's between different flavors of IRGC hawks.
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4) The reform-pragmatic camp led by Rouhani claims the state broadcaster has shut them out. The state-TV pundits are punching back hard, in part by claiming that in Rouhani's time, it was they who were shut out.
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3) The resistance camp truly transcends divides over personal freedom, women's dress and makeup, etc. There are probably elements of both on both sides: There are women with lip filler, yoga pants, and acrylic claws who insist upon "revenge."
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2) Meanwhile, the system and the public are hotly debating the next step in the war. Rouhani has emerged as a strong voice for the diplomatic path, and as a lightning rod for the segments of the population and the officialdom that yearn for more confrontation and "resistance."
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Have immersed myself in Iranian official media as well as X, TikTok, Instagram, etc. Broad observations:
1) The religious feel they've lost control of the veil issue. And yes, in upscale urban cores, you see clothes so tight and revealing, you can't believe this is Islamic Iran.
580.4K views · 1.7K likes
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@SohrabAhmari So he gets more hits than you so he’s a lunatic?
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Firms pay him $100,000 for early access to his lunatic posts.
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@SohrabAhmari @FukuyamaFrancis All the talk about Obama-Trump voters and the “new party of the working class” and it ends up being the case that Fox News & Freedom-Fries is still the preferred demographic of the GOP apparatus, despite all shakeups and loud drum banging over popul
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There is no theorizing Trumpism (believe me, I devoted more energy to it than almost anyone else circa 2017-2019).
I increasingly share @FukuyamaFrancis's view that it's just the follies of one especially unvirtuous man, now aggravated and now checked by his grasping hangers-on.
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@SohrabAhmari @PatrickDeneen In the 90s Teddy Goldsmith, brother of Sir James Goldsmith, published in Britain a truly magnificent essay by Wendell Berry, "Conserving Communities".
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@SohrabAhmari @PatrickDeneen Was für Sie, @SimonDettmann !
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เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน
31 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 100K–1M ผู้ติดตาม แสดงในวงกว้าง แต่มีผู้ชมตอบสนองน้อย.
ยอดดูมัธยฐาน43 867บัญชีนี้5 983ค่ามัธยฐานของ 100K–1M
การเข้าถึง, %26.44%บัญชีนี้1.49%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 100K–1M
การมีส่วนร่วม, %0.49%บัญชีนี้0.93%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 100K–1M
| ตัวชี้วัด | บัญชีนี้ | ค่ามัธยฐานของ 100K–1M | อัตราส่วน |
|---|---|---|---|
| ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์ | 43 867 | 5 983 | 7.33× |
| การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม) | 26.44% | 1.49% | 17.7× |
| อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม | 0.49% | 0.93% | 0.53× |
บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
60.3K8 Sep
56K
52.8K
50.2K
48.5K
45.8K
43.8K
42.5K
43.9K
17.6K
13.3K
266
134
77
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.42%8 Sep
0.49%
0.47%
0.39%
0.49%
0.42%
0.36%
0.54%
0.77%
1.45%
0.79%
4.51%
1.49%
6.49%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.93%.
What the audience does
Likes78.3%6 736 in total
Reposts5.4%467 in total
Replies1.5%126 in total
Quotes0.6%53 in total
Bookmarks14.2%1 217 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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