Nassim Nicholas Taleb ✓
@nntaleb · joined 28 Sep 2011
Flaneur: probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (real life),Phoenician wine, deadlifts & dead languages. Greco-Levantine.Canaan. #RWRI
1 156 872Followers
1 686Following
53 832Posts total
32.7MViews on collected posts
โพสต์ล่าสุด
กำลังค้นหาโพสต์ใหม่…
If a country (Zionistan) needs to spend 800 million dollars for an image problem, its problem is not an image problem.
#Fragility
6.2K views · 204 likes
· 28 reposts · 4 replies
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Actually, come to think about it, academia is populated with wimps & gamma males good at taking tests but crippled with a total absence of imagination.
52.7K views · 1.1K likes
· 105 reposts · 52 replies
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Meanwhile I've planted 600 olive trees. https://t.co/cwAwqxOmyQ
45.2K views · 1.4K likes
· 105 reposts · 29 replies
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If you are good at scoring on IQ tests, but not particularly imaginative, AI is in the process of making you obsolete.
347.5K views · 7.5K likes
· 769 reposts · 200 replies
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Unconditional Victimhood:
جاية يعرُج
بحارة المكرسحين.
23.8K views · 254 likes
· 30 reposts · 12 replies
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Markets go from squeeze to squeeze, from sucker to sucker, from trap to trap.
43.5K views · 277 likes
· 27 reposts · 13 replies
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This is a trap for people who try solving it using √2^x=x and find 2 since it is also true for x=4.
31.1K views · 65 likes
· 3 reposts · 8 replies
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ממדאני - אני בא לאו״ם כדי להילחם על האמת של החיילים הגיבורים שלנו - וכדי לחשוף את האמת עליך! https://t.co/141PPbSFHm
1.3M views · 19.4K likes
· 3.2K reposts · 4K replies
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0:19
This formula may look a bit strange to you, but that is the beauty of mathematics—sometimes you get a mathematical result in an astonishing way. https://t.co/xswtQ0CJdt
67.3K views · 257 likes
· 21 reposts · 17 replies
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After 30 years Spitz finally learned to communicate the complex market path dependence using the F bomb.
He is saying that the market will hurt the highest number of investors by producing yuuuge traps, w/rallies when things get grim, before a severe collapse. https://t.co/3UwiK
132K views · 745 likes
· 86 reposts · 24 replies
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Next step: Israel less and less called a "Jewish State" but a Zionist one --since it is analog to calling "Christian State" a Crusader one.
99.3K views · 1.4K likes
· 150 reposts · 14 replies
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The collapse in public support for Israel could trigger a financial and economic war against the Jewish state. The architecture for it is already taking shape.
My latest: https://t.co/hUqR8pm4xp
1.6M views · 1.5K likes
· 200 reposts · 1.1K replies
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Went from +51 to -16. And this is just starting.
Soon anything that touches Israel will be shun like a leper.
307K views · 3.9K likes
· 492 reposts · 120 replies
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A real intelligence test: if one can figure out that someone was hacked and avoids falling into a trap. https://t.co/3e7RVkOKnK
52.5K views · 227 likes
· 11 reposts · 16 replies
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In the process of putting a dent in the theory that "Ashkenazis have some Levantine origin".
The claim: "The AJ cluster sits on the Europe–Levant cline betw S. Italians & Levantines on PC1/PC2."
No, if the "cline" includes the Caucasus, then it sits BEYOND Georgia/Armenia, ar.
50.3K views · 411 likes
· 51 reposts · 36 replies
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My points:
Identities are not rigid designations, they are dynamic. The Levantine splits were along different lines (Qaysi Yamani, Green/Blue, etc.).
Genetics is also misinterpreted. I use it to deny genetic claims.
Localities are the basic units, localism is BOTTOM-UP, and
68.5K views · 461 likes
· 50 reposts · 16 replies
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CNN: “Israel’s favorability all negative — not just with Dems, the general electorate has turned against Israel… not just a left issue, an American issue… a SIXTY-SEVEN POINT SHIFT AGAINST ISRAEL…” https://t.co/HATzVVetSO
6.2M views · 20.4K likes
· 4.6K reposts · 997 replies
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1:59
ERRATUM: a technical mistake in my statement on Doura Europos: the synagogue, temple, and church were NOT in the same room.
The exhibition "Pagans, Jews, and Christians at Roman Dura-Europos," ISAW, did that for curatorial purposes "to illustrate coexistence". (h/t Dr. R. Tomb)
31K views · 102 likes
· 11 reposts · 3 replies
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Great discussion on the ever-evolving nature of Lebanese identity, with some well-placed corrections to our own national myths, particularly Phoenicianism.
I’ve encountered many of these arguments before through the writings and posts of @PZalloua and @nntaleb, but they were far
77.8K views · 91 likes
· 6 reposts · 14 replies
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@nntaleb A significant leak has been detected. No squid ink available for now, as there has been no fresh supply. https://t.co/Mz75q6YxoN
54.4K views · 53 likes
· 4 reposts · 0 replies
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Preparing this evening talk with @nntaleb and @PZalloua and Ramy Corm! https://t.co/IRs0mxlAT3
159K views · 133 likes
· 1 reposts · 7 replies
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Zalloua @PZalloua while visiting The Republic of Amioun nervously preparing for the debate. https://t.co/jJtApDx7ZS
83.2K views · 292 likes
· 3 reposts · 20 replies
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People are finally talking about Lp(a) but not figuring out the next step, CONDITIONING risk factors; i.e. considering that people with healthy Lp(a) may NOT need statins.
https://t.co/zcMTfTA3jF
84.2K views · 358 likes
· 28 reposts · 20 replies
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So two good things:
1) LLMs threaten the performative aspect of mathematics as a competitive spectator sport limited to a narrow group of savantic misfits.
2) LLMs help spread mathematical knowledge by favoring mathematically adept nonnerdy nonsavantic users.
155.3K views · 2K likes
· 185 reposts · 55 replies
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On top of the old arguments, here's a new one: mathematical training makes you a much stronger LLM user, even when the topic has no math in it.
185.4K views · 478 likes
· 35 reposts · 18 replies
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We grow up under the belief that alphabetical>> cuneiform >>hieroglyphic.
Looks like hieroglyphic might be (at times) the best. https://t.co/MKxV8nBhkl
45.3K views · 500 likes
· 24 reposts · 19 replies
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If AI mapped a cure for terminal pancreatic cancer I don't think anyone would dare complain about its effects on medical unemployment.
But people are upset that AI can solve math problems and cause unemployment in performative mathematics.
Fuck them.
374.5K views · 8.7K likes
· 821 reposts · 76 replies
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Mathematicians rank problems according to their difficulty. Society looks at them in terms of relevance.
I've fought that cancer in mathematical finance where these retards ignore v. relevant issues, some critical, because they deem them trivial.
Let AI wipe them out.
244.4K views · 2.1K likes
· 195 reposts · 25 replies
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เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน
60 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 1M–10M ผู้ติดตาม แสดงต่อคนมากกว่าบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน.
ยอดดูมัธยฐาน97 530บัญชีนี้14 648ค่ามัธยฐานของ 1M–10M
การเข้าถึง, %8.43%บัญชีนี้0.74%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 1M–10M
การมีส่วนร่วม, %0.70%บัญชีนี้0.70%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 1M–10M
| ตัวชี้วัด | บัญชีนี้ | ค่ามัธยฐานของ 1M–10M | อัตราส่วน |
|---|---|---|---|
| ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์ | 97 530 | 14 648 | 6.66× |
| การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม) | 8.43% | 0.74% | 11.4× |
| อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม | 0.70% | 0.70% | 1.00× |
บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
307K19 Sep
1.6M
99.3K20 Sep
115.6K
132K21 Sep
67.3K22 Sep
1.3M
31.1K
43.5K
23.8K
347.5K23 Sep
45.2K24 Sep
52.7K
6.2K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
1.47%19 Sep
0.19%
1.54%20 Sep
0.27%
0.65%21 Sep
0.45%22 Sep
2.07%
0.24%
0.73%
1.25%
2.46%23 Sep
3.38%24 Sep
2.48%
3.81%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 1M–10M accounts is 0.70%.
What the audience does
Likes72.4%75 367 in total
Reposts10.9%11 316 in total
Replies6.7%6 967 in total
Quotes1.7%1 734 in total
Bookmarks8.3%8 661 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
Followers by day
21 Sep24 Sep
Daily snapshots since 21 Sep 2026; the dashed line is the starting count.
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