EndGame Macro ✓

@onechancefreedm · joined 13 Oct 2021

Macro strategy | Systemic risk & policy intel | Powered by AI + human insight | Not Financial Advice

74 039Followers

880Following

13 738Posts total

45.1KViews on collected posts

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EndGame Macro ✓@onechancefreedm4 Sep

A large share of the increase in people outside the labor force being concentrated among older retirees helps explain why U-3 can stay deceptively low while employment weakens. The missing counterfactual is crucial. A 55+ worker who retires because reemployment prospects have h 4.9K views · 11 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

EndGame Macro ✓@onechancefreedm3 Sep

GS: Most of the increase in the number of people not in the labor force since January reflects college graduates over the age of 55 retiring from work... ... older, higher-income workers who are potentially well-positioned to retire https://t.co/EcFMGRJlLZ 7.3K views · 31 likes · 6 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

EndGame Macro ✓@onechancefreedm3 Sep

The Fed hiking rates right now is like shutting down the entire factory because the price of electricity and imported materials went up. You can absolutely reduce the factory’s demand for energy and inputs by cutting production and laying people off but you have not fixed the 5K views · 36 likes · 5 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

EndGame Macro ✓@onechancefreedm3 Sep

The key mistake is treating pipeline cost pressure as proof of entrenched inflation. ISM is absolutely telling us that tariffs, energy, freight and imported inputs are pushing costs higher, but that does not prove broad excess demand is validating those increases. A supply shock 5.8K views · 8 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

EndGame Macro ✓@onechancefreedm3 Sep

If The Fed Hikes in September, The Real Objective May Be Bigger Than Inflation Let’s assume the Fed and the policymakers around it are smarter than we sometimes give them credit for. Assume they understand that hiring is weakening, payroll growth is near stall speed, companies h 7.7K views · 39 likes · 7 reposts · 9 replies Open on X →

EndGame Macro ✓@onechancefreedm3 Sep

So you are telling me the Fed should start raising rates into a labor market where payroll growth has already gone negative, hiring has fallen to roughly the level of separations, quits are depressed, ADP just printed only 38,000 private jobs and ISM Services Employment is https: 14.4K views · 69 likes · 6 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

6 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม แสดงในวงกว้าง แต่มีผู้ชมตอบสนองน้อย.

ยอดดูมัธยฐาน6 570บัญชีนี้924ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การเข้าถึง, %8.87%บัญชีนี้3.62%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การมีส่วนร่วม, %0.56%บัญชีนี้1.52%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

ตัวชี้วัด	บัญชีนี้	ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K	อัตราส่วน
ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์	6 570	924	7.11×
การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม)	8.87%	3.62%	2.45×
อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม	0.56%	1.52%	0.37×

บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

14.4K3 Sep

7.7K

5.8K

7.3K

4.9K4 Sep

Last 6 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.60%3 Sep

0.73%

0.17%

0.89%

0.53%

0.27%4 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes61.8%194 in total

Reposts8.0%25 in total

Replies8.0%25 in total

Quotes1.6%5 in total

Bookmarks20.7%65 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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