Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓

@vandell33 · joined 26 Jan 2021

Co-Founder, Black Swan Capitalist | Contrarian macro analysis on financial markets, digital assets & wealth preservation. Insights beyond mainstream narratives.

60 116Followers

351Following

13 546Posts total

416.2KViews on collected posts

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Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell338 Sep

If the measure is utility on a global scale, XRP’s total addressable market is significantly larger than Bitcoin’s. 5.5K views · 267 likes · 17 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell338 Sep

@vandell33 5 years isn’t impatience. @vandell33 138 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell338 Sep

@vandell33 Its been 7 years 55 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell338 Sep

@vandell33 It’s been years and years of waiting. Crazy work 132 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell338 Sep

Impatience is costly. 10.7K views · 341 likes · 14 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell338 Sep

BTC dominance has only truly collapsed twice, in 2017 and 2021. Both times, money was cheap and the Fed funds rate was under 2.25%. Capital rotated out of Bitcoin and into alts while the whole market was still rising. So far, a real altseason has only appeared when rates were 8.8K views · 243 likes · 16 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell338 Sep

America can still sell its debt. It just can’t sell it cheap. $9T was refinanced last year. Old debt averages 3.44%. New 10-year is 4.78%. If they pay that rate, the budget takes it. Have the Fed print and it shows up in assets first, then goods. The printing doesn’t stay in the 10.5K views · 296 likes · 22 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell333 Jan

@vandell33 Yes. Boost demand for the petrodollar, export the inflation, keep borrowing costs down, dig that $38 trillion hole a few trillion deeper. 4K views · 43 likes · 3 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell333 Jan

For a deeper, data-driven thesis and a genuine informational edge that challenges consensus thinking, my full analysis on financial markets, the evolving financial order, crypto, and macro shifts is shared in my weekly publication or my Financial Market Intelligence group. The 15.8K views · 59 likes · 5 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →

Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist ✓@vandell333 Jan

The conflict with Venezuela isn’t about oil. It’s about the survival of the U.S. dollar & debt. The petrodollar death spiral just accelerated. You’re watching a currency defense operation. All wars are bankers’ wars. 360.5K views · 9.1K likes · 2K reposts · 434 replies Open on X →

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

7 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม แสดงไปไกลเกินผู้ติดตามของตัวเอง และผู้ชมก็ตอบสนอง.

ยอดดูมัธยฐาน5 469บัญชีนี้924ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การเข้าถึง, %9.10%บัญชีนี้3.62%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การมีส่วนร่วม, %3.05%บัญชีนี้1.52%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

ตัวชี้วัด	บัญชีนี้	ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K	อัตราส่วน
ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์	5 469	924	5.92×
การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม)	9.10%	3.62%	2.51×
อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม	3.05%	1.52%	2.01×

บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

360.5K3 Jan

15.8K

10.5K8 Sep

8.8K

10.7K

132

138

5.5K

Last 10 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

3.24%3 Jan

0.43%

1.18%

3.08%8 Sep

3.05%

3.43%

1.52%

1.82%

2.17%

5.34%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes73.6%10 355 in total

Reposts14.9%2 101 in total

Replies3.3%470 in total

Quotes1.0%136 in total

Bookmarks7.2%1 010 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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