Danny Moses ✓

@dmoses34 · United States · joined 15 Nov 2015

Investor (looking for the next Big Short)/Inventor (BlackJack Side-Bet Games)/Skeptic (student of Behavioral Finance)/Hedonist; not Investment advice

30 874Followers

360Following

955Posts total

1.4MViews on collected posts

Son gönderiler

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses3427 Aug

Somehow on this week’s “Friday Night Dirty” we were able to incorporate Dolly Parton, Braveheart, The Untouchables, Ocean’s Eleven & The Harlem Globetrotters all in one episode: $NVDA $GLNG $SCHW #FED #TREASURY @Seawolfcap @VD718 https://t.co/5u6FVyOrzx 5.9K views · 16 likes · 2 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses3426 Aug

The last time @nedmichaels was @OnTheTapePod was in late March for @TheMasters preview & the impact the war in Iran was having on the markets. While $/YEN is roughly flat, global bond yields are higher & Treasury intervention has begun. We hit $GLD $MLPA #FED & @TOURChamp preview 4.9K views · 5 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses3426 Aug

The return of @NedMichaels to On The Tape with @dmoses34 is out now!!! ⛳ Tour Championship Picks 🏌️ President's Cup Preview at Medina 🏦 Kevin Warsh's First Jackson Hole as Fed Chair 🥇 Why Gold (and the Miners) Keep Climbing 🛢️ MLPs, LNG & Energy Infrastructure Plays 🏛️ https://t

6.1K views · 2 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses3421 Aug

The theme for this week's "Dirty" is "Follow The Yellow Brick Road" ($GLD) as Bessent (The Wizard) & Warsh (The Lion) play their roles. @VD718 examines $CVNA economics & @Seawolfcap discusses $ARGT $GLNG $VIST $YPF $EPD $MPLX $ET & we make a @nyjets bet. https://t.co/pkcYzmdOL6 14K views · 36 likes · 6 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses3420 Aug

One of the big takeaways/validations from this, which came up in my conversation with @nkagan_official when she was @OnTheTapePod, was that roughly 75% of people that visit @Kalshi use it as an accurate source for information, whether or not they trade on the platform. 6.5K views · 21 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses3420 Aug

We ran a study on over 2 million markets to evaluate their calibration. To our knowledge, this is the largest replicable study on this topic. Here are the results: 🧵 https://t.co/mUwLspNWoL

1.3M views · 1.4K likes · 213 reposts · 101 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses345 Aug

Great discussion w/ @nkagan_official about her journey from academia to @KalshiResearch & the process behind the creation/certification of the event contracts you see listed @Kalshi. The research that accompanies these events (i.e. “cost of compute”) is even more impressive. 6.6K views · 11 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses345 Aug

The Federal Reserve's own researchers confirmed it: @KalshiResearch beats Bloomberg consensus on inflation 🏦 @DMoses34 sits down with Head of Research Nicole Kagan to discuss how prediction markets are becoming a real information edge 📈🎙️ YouTube: https://t.co/RyGvZTubfw https

7.2K views · 2 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Danny Moses ✓@dmoses3424 Jul

In this week's "Friday Night Dirty", @Seawolfcap @VD718 & myself discuss $TSLA $SPCX $GOOG $AXP $COF $SLB #FED #BOJ #RATES #OIL as well as an event we attended in Chicago which puts everything in perspective.. Investors Feel The Sting | Friday Night Dirty https://t.co/wW9uFAj92T 23.8K views · 25 likes · 5 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Aynı büyüklükteki hesaplara karşı

Son 90 güne ait 9 gönderi, 10K–100K takipçi aralığıyla yan yana. geniş kitleye gösteriliyor, ama izleyenlerin azı tepki veriyor.

Medyan görüntülenme6 627bu hesap91710K–100K için medyan

Erişim, %21.46%bu hesap3.39%10K–100K için medyan

Etkileşim, %0.14%bu hesap1.53%10K–100K için medyan

Ölçüt	Bu hesap	10K–100K için medyan	Oran
Gönderi başına medyan görüntülenme	6 627	917	7.23×
Erişim (görüntülenme ÷ takipçi)	21.46%	3.39%	6.33×
Etkileşim oranı	0.14%	1.53%	0.09×

Bu aralıktaki diğer hesaplar → Başka bir hesapla karşılaştır → Bu kıyas değerleri nasıl kuruluyor →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

23.8K24 Jul

7.2K5 Aug

6.6K

1.3M20 Aug

6.5K

14K21 Aug

6.1K26 Aug

4.9K

5.9K27 Aug

Last 9 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.13%24 Jul

0.04%5 Aug

0.23%

0.14%20 Aug

0.37%

0.30%21 Aug

0.05%26 Aug

0.12%

0.30%27 Aug

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.53%.

What the audience does

Likes49.9%1 508 in total

Reposts7.7%233 in total

Replies3.4%104 in total

Quotes4.3%131 in total

Bookmarks34.6%1 044 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.