Sylvain Catherine ✓
@sc_cath · joined 21 Feb 2015
Economist. Associate Professor of Finance at Wharton.
47 968Followers
2 918Following
15 169Posts total
2.3MViews on collected posts
Son gönderiler
Yeni gönderiler aranıyor…
@sc_cath Plus précis encore : au-delà des bénéficiaires qui dépassent l'école, isoler ainsi le CAS Pensions ne comprend pas les cotisations normales, dont le taux est anormalement bas, mais qui existent par ailleurs dans les 64, 65 milliards.
1.3K views · 9 likes
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En revanche, cette présentation du Monde est incorrecte.
La part du budget de l'Éducation nationale (ou d'autres missions) allouée aux retraites ne correspond pas « au versement des pensions des fonctionnaires rattachés à ces missions ».
Elle correspond à l'ensemble des https:/
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🔴 Bravo à @lemondefr qui participe à lever le voile sur le scandale comptable des retraites
➡️ Le Monde a publié cette semaine dans sa rubrique “décodeurs" un article sur les principaux indicateurs des finances publiques en France: dette, déficit, etc
🚨 Pour la première fois ht
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· 326 reposts · 37 replies
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De Gaulle était un esprit innovateur: il n’aurait jamais fait une fixette sur la doctrine d’un grand homme né 136 ans plus tôt.
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Ariely is a much bigger issue than Arday ever was. Arday was an aberration, but nobody with a fully functioning brain takes any of that stuff seriously anyway. He was evolving in fields that are themselves aberrations. The real issue behind Arday was the people who hired him and
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Le principe même du taux est qu’il s’ajuste pour que la demande des investisseurs se maintienne.
Si les taux montent, c’est bien que les émissions ne trouveraient pas assez d’acheteurs à l’ancien taux.
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C'est uns des enjeux de la capitalisation: pas tant de déplacer les cotisations actuelles de la répartition vers la capitalisation--vu qu'il faut bien payer les pensions--mais d'aider les ménages à allouer leur épargne vers des classes d'actifs à haut rendement.
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Un petit rappel sur la « TVA sociale » — c’est-à-dire une hausse de la TVA destinée à financer une baisse des cotisations sociales : elle ne peut fonctionner qu’à condition de désindexer les prestations sociales au moment de sa mise en place.
La rémunération du travail, ce qui
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C’est la répartition qui veut ça. C’est littéralement un système de transferts financiers entre les générations.
On peut tourner autour du pot aussi longtemps qu’on veut, on ne pourra rien changer au fait qu’il y a un trou financier à partager.
Et non, dire qu’il doit être
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@sc_cath @LevyAntoine Segmenter la france en 2 catégories :
-riches/pauvres
-productifs/improductifs
-natifs/immigres
-jeunes/vieux
Est particulièrement deletaire.
Il y a des riches méritant et des riches qui ne le sont pas. Des vieux et jeunes favorisés ou devaforises.
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On a considérablement augmenté l’imposition des actifs d’une génération à l’autre. Pourquoi ce choix ne dresserait-il pas, lui aussi, les générations les unes contre les autres ?
Lorsque la croissance ralentit, les comptes sociaux se déséquilibrent. Dire que l’effort doit être
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@sc_cath Saint François, martyr, saint parmi les saints.
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@sc_cath il a fait preuve de + de rébellion/courage en disant le taboo suprême ''boomer + confort'' sur TF1, que tous les boomers 68ard réunit. D'ailleurs depuis on en entends + parler de lui. S'il répète ça en prime time, il risque une balle dans la tête, clairement (boomers sus
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@sc_cath Mine de rien il a brisé un tabou
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Il y a un an déjà. https://t.co/MhZn7v82aB
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0:22
@sc_cath @mjmill611 @NatashaRSarin Alternative headline: "Social Security responsible for most of increase in wealth inequality by crowding out private savings?"
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9⃣ More robustness checks and discussions in the paper: https://t.co/Oq3NPHLClq
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8⃣ We believe that an increase in taxes is the most likely political outcome. Nonetheless, even if we assume that benefits will be cut, we still conclude that taking Social Security into account changes trends in wealth inequality substantially. https://t.co/5oPbGuoieZ
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7⃣ Of course, Social Security faces financing problems. Thus, it is not certain benefits will be paid. This figure represents estimates from the Social Security actuaries showing the share of benefits that will be payable without increasing payroll taxes. https://t.co/xZrI6kVa3q
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6⃣ While there is no increase in the share of the top 1%, we still find a slightly upward trend in the share of the top 0.1%. So inequality may have risen within the top 1%, even if the top 1% overall has a similar share of wealth as in 1989.
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4⃣ Because Social Security pays far into the future, its present value depends a lot on the level of interest rates. Just like other long-term assets. Rates fell substantially since 1989. Consequently, the aggregate value of Social Security claim rose from $7 to $39 trillions.
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5⃣ Nowadays, accrued benefits represent roughly half of the wealth of the bottom 90% of Americans. We correct the findings of previous studies that ignored Social Security and find its inclusion to flattens documented trends in wealth inequality. https://t.co/cNKfkXZvH6
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2⃣ American workers contribute 12.4% of their earnings towards Social Security. In exchange, they expect to receive benefits when they retire. In 2024, the avg benefit reached $1,907/month.
For a new retiree, the current market price for a similar life annuity is above $300,000.
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3⃣ We estimate the value of future retirement benefits and add the accrued share to the wealth of households in the Fed's Survey of Consumer Finances. After recomputing the evolution of the top 1% and 10% wealth shares since 1989, we find no substantial increase in inequality. ht
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🧵🚨Accepted paper🧪
with @mjmill611 (Harvard) and @NatashaRSarin (Yale)
Existing studies paint an incomplete picture of trends in wealth inequality in the US. When Social Security is properly accounted for, wealth inequality has not really increased over the past three decades. htt
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Aynı büyüklükteki hesaplara karşı
Son 90 güne ait 16 gönderi, 10K–100K takipçi aralığıyla yan yana. kendi kitlesinin çok ötesine gösteriliyor ve kitle tepki veriyor.
Medyan görüntülenme18 014bu hesap92410K–100K için medyan
Erişim, %37.55%bu hesap3.62%10K–100K için medyan
Etkileşim, %2.04%bu hesap1.52%10K–100K için medyan
| Ölçüt | Bu hesap | 10K–100K için medyan | Oran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gönderi başına medyan görüntülenme | 18 014 | 924 | 19.5× |
| Erişim (görüntülenme ÷ takipçi) | 37.55% | 3.62% | 10.4× |
| Etkileşim oranı | 2.04% | 1.52% | 1.34× |
Bu aralıktaki diğer hesaplar → Başka bir hesapla karşılaştır → Bu kıyas değerleri nasıl kuruluyor →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
5.3K26 Aug
4.5K
37.7K1 Sep
21.6K2 Sep
20.7K
26K
14.6K
15.3K3 Sep
145.6K
14.9K
139.6K20 Sep
39.6K
1.9K
1.3K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
2.16%26 Aug
1.83%
3.69%1 Sep
0.05%2 Sep
3.08%
2.28%
1.84%
3.53%3 Sep
0.93%
1.93%
1.11%20 Sep
2.23%
2.47%
0.78%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.
What the audience does
Likes69.5%10 168 in total
Reposts12.7%1 858 in total
Replies2.5%367 in total
Quotes1.2%174 in total
Bookmarks14.1%2 068 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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