Sminston With 👁 ✓

@sminston_with · *Not financial advice* · joined 19 Feb 2009

Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX

47 273Followers

859Following

9 268Posts total

296.4KViews on collected posts

Son gönderiler

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with3 Sep

Stay hum-bull 3.3K views · 21 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with3 Sep

Bitcoin Golden ❎️ Cross Hitting in a matter of days 🚀 - - - Are your bags packed? https://t.co/2I69Ismhwi 6.1K views · 138 likes · 7 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with3 Sep

Bitcoin 2031: River targets vs. Sminston targets 🫱🏻‍🫲🏻 https://t.co/vflzulRDTM 10.9K views · 141 likes · 6 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with3 Sep

"Dacoinminster's Law" First ever recorded power law measurement of Bitcoin's price in time since Genesis. y = 4.419E-17*(X^5.598) BTC price today = $80.8k His forecast = $93.7k A forecast record of 13.55 years, or about 77% of Bitcoin's entire life. https://t.co/g3q2TdKgJZ 4.8K views · 60 likes · 5 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with3 Sep

Find the post here and look for yourself: https://t.co/lGq3YiwqyV 1.8K views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with3 Sep

@sminston_with @Giovann35084111 66 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

@sminston_with Yep From 2012 https://t.co/LARJL50nhe 1.9K views · 19 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

INCREDIBLE. This first instance of the power law model of Bitcoin's price in time was shared in February of 2013. It predicted $93,725 for today, September 2, 2026. Right now the price is $77,450 - only 17% under Dacoinminister's prediction. As we move into the next bull run it 127.1K views · 436 likes · 39 reposts · 29 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

@sminston_with The earliest clear one I found is July 2, 2011, by user jim618, titled “Bitcoin ownership obeys a power law – BTC price prediction thru to July 2013.” He explicitly wrote that Bitcoin’s ownership distribution “obeys a power law” plotted it on a log-log graph and 1.4K views · 13 likes · 1 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

It appears the power law was first discovered in February, 2013. Incredible. https://t.co/eZ6Vz4fcWm https://t.co/dpvIkeOQuN 57.9K views · 71 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

This post from 2013 observed the power law 13 years ago. Power was 5.59 -- almost exactly what we now measure. But you know, "a line is not a law". HT @sminston_with https://t.co/UKHh3g3KZc 53.7K views · 196 likes · 10 reposts · 21 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

The power law is for data-driven Bitcoiners. 5.2K views · 44 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

ISM PMI prints 54.6 for August, down from 55.6 for July. https://t.co/5Z2hMr13xf 4.3K views · 35 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with2 Sep

Reminder that the 2022-2025 Bitcoin 'bull run' was never truly detected as a bubble by a simple Markov model coupled with the power law trend: https://t.co/AxrNqRAI7n 14.5K views · 188 likes · 13 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

Sminston With 👁 ✓@sminston_with1 Sep

FROZE THE MODEL. bitcoin:native KEPT FOLLOWING IT. Bitcoin’s power-law parameters were frozen in 2012. No refitting. Fourteen years later: Fixed-parameter R² = 0.932 Unexplained variance has fallen ~44% each time Bitcoin’s age doubled. That is the point. A model that only h 3.4K views · 24 likes · 5 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Aynı büyüklükteki hesaplara karşı

Son 90 güne ait 15 gönderi, 10K–100K takipçi aralığıyla yan yana. geniş kitleye gösteriliyor, ama izleyenlerin azı tepki veriyor.

Medyan görüntülenme4 785bu hesap92410K–100K için medyan

Erişim, %10.12%bu hesap3.62%10K–100K için medyan

Etkileşim, %0.91%bu hesap1.52%10K–100K için medyan

Ölçüt	Bu hesap	10K–100K için medyan	Oran
Gönderi başına medyan görüntülenme	4 785	924	5.18×
Erişim (görüntülenme ÷ takipçi)	10.12%	3.62%	2.80×
Etkileşim oranı	0.91%	1.52%	0.60×

Bu aralıktaki diğer hesaplar → Başka bir hesapla karşılaştır → Bu kıyas değerleri nasıl kuruluyor →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

14.5K2 Sep

4.3K

5.2K

53.7K

57.9K

1.4K

127.1K

1.9K

663 Sep

1.8K

4.8K

10.9K

6.1K

3.3K

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

1.44%2 Sep

0.90%

0.91%

0.44%

0.13%

1.23%

0.41%

1.01%

0.00%3 Sep

0.17%

1.50%

1.40%

2.53%

0.63%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes74.9%1 389 in total

Reposts4.9%90 in total

Replies4.8%89 in total

Quotes1.5%27 in total

Bookmarks14.0%260 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Son gönderiler

Aynı büyüklükteki hesaplara karşı

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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