David Manheim ✓

@davidmanheim · Rehovot, Israel/Washington DC · joined 27 Jan 2009

Founder @alter_org_il, Methods @EvalConsensusAI, emeritus @superforecaster, PhD @PardeeRAND Optimistic on AI, pessimistic on humanity managing the risks well.

11 240Followers

2 153Following

70 443Posts total

7.1KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

7 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. below its peers on both reach and engagement.

Median views524this account2 896median for 10K–100K

Reach, %4.66%this account9.51%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.87%this account1.56%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	524	2 896	0.18×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	4.66%	9.51%	0.49×
Engagement rate	0.87%	1.56%	0.56×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

2.3K31 Aug

4201 Sep

1.7K

524

345

1.4K2 Sep

333

Last 7 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.94%31 Aug

0.48%1 Sep

1.87%

0.57%

0.87%

1.04%2 Sep

0.30%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.56%.

What the audience does

Likes75.3%61 in total

Reposts4.9%4 in total

Replies8.6%7 in total

Quotes7.4%6 in total

Bookmarks3.7%3 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

@eliebakouch Given your expertise, a random question: is is possible to build LLL serving / caching methods *with reserved sections of the context window that are static* (i.e. keeping the last 50k tokens, while generating new tokens,) without entirely breaking the caching? 333 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 02 Sep 2026 How are things going now? OpenAI: https://t.co/mQ9w6ZW7gz 1.4K views · 13 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 02 Sep 2026 As I've argued previously, this is wrong; verification is part of negotiations, and Congress could authorize Trump to negotiate a treaty pacing AI progress today, presumably via a Congressional-executive agreement. https://t.co/axmKbBrrwl 345 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 01 Sep 2026 The pacing paragraph calls for a lawful, verifiable mechanism without saying who coordinates it or how anyone verifies compliance. Politicians can't legislate a mechanism nobody will specify. 524 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 01 Sep 2026 "We know this will hurt our IPO prospects, but so will the inevitable future safety incidents, and we're terrified that if we don't slow down things could go very, very wrong - but somehow we're still not willing to say so clearly enough for politicians to get the message." 1.7K views · 27 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies 01 Sep 2026 Good points relevant to the anthropomorphism debate, and the confusion people have about AI agent models' goals and drives compared to humans - both similar and different. 420 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 01 Sep 2026 Some thoughts. We tend to believe that we understand the mind of other humans because of shared substrate, but something I think people don't often consider from this angle is that despite non-biological systems are presently structurally different from biological ones, 2.3K views · 15 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies 31 Aug 2026