Owen Winter
@OwenWntr · London, England · joined 31 Jan 2015
Covering politics, elections and data at @TheEconomist (personal views)
14 743Followers
3 371Following
4 514Posts total
793.5KViews on collected posts
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One tidbit from this analysis is that Muslims are the group with by far the biggest swing towards Democrats in our data. From being evenly split on Trump in 2024 to D+40 in 2026
702 views · 2 likes
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You can explore the demographic profiles here: https://t.co/vWlloCKiFq 98% of Americans like me would vote Democrat (gasp!) https://t.co/JTRgADy9Wp
1.7K views · 9 likes
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It is those voters who will probably decide control of the Senate, which our forecast rates as an almost perfect tossup (53% chance of Democrat control). https://t.co/8d5P99SBAa If Dems can persuade voters that the midterms is a referendum on Trump, we could see a Republican rout
1.3K views · 19 likes
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Since the Iran war began, his approval has sunk even lower. His support is now lower among middle-aged white voters than any point in his first term. These voters are less likely to switch directly to Democrats, though, and more likely to say they are undecided or won't vote
1.2K views · 21 likes
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The voters who are most likely to be switching from Trump to Democrats are black, Hispanic or white aged under 30. Many of them backed Republicans for the first time in 2024 but soured on Trump rapidly in 2025. They are concerned about inflation and *hate* his tariffs https://t.c
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We used statistical modelling of our polling with YouGov (N=58k in 2026) to reconstruct the American electorate. We created 22m profiles based on voters' demography and voting habits. We found that Mr Trump's narrow victory in 2024 could be unravelling.
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In our polling with YouGov, Donald Trump's net approval is underwater on every single issue https://t.co/vWlloCKiFq https://t.co/3rChLpnLI4
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We have a data-heavy package in this week's @TheEconomist on the state-of-play ahead of the midterms. Donald Trump has tied himself to inflation-boosting policies that swing voters hate. His historic unpopularity could sink the Republican Party: https://t.co/vWlloCKiFq https://t.
29K views · 145 likes
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Kansas's senate race has been steadily narrowing in our congressional forecast. We now give the Democrat Adam Hamilton a 28% chance of winning https://t.co/zWBRujSZOS https://t.co/gtLe8nalgY
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I've written about this data viz for The Economist's Off the Charts newsletter: https://t.co/0XbGn4ajJN
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@OwenWntr This is one of the best charts I've seen so far.
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Who can save the Labour Party? https://t.co/VisKj6fOIE
21.7K views · 19 likes
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The local elections in one chart. Labour has been squeezed between the Greens in young wards and Reform in older working-class wards https://t.co/QcdzL0BPsS
697.4K views · 4.8K likes
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Im Vergleich zu Konten gleicher Größe
9 Beiträge aus den letzten 90 Tagen, verglichen mit der Größenklasse 10K–100K Follower. wird weit gezeigt, aber nur wenige dieser Zuschauer reagieren.
Medianaufrufe1 295dieses Konto924Median für 10K–100K
Reichweite, %8.78%dieses Konto3.62%Median für 10K–100K
Interaktion, %0.65%dieses Konto1.52%Median für 10K–100K
| Kennzahl | Dieses Konto | Median für 10K–100K | Verhältnis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Medianaufrufe pro Beitrag | 1 295 | 924 | 1.40× |
| Reichweite (Aufrufe ÷ Follower) | 8.78% | 3.62% | 2.43× |
| Interaktionsrate | 0.65% | 1.52% | 0.43× |
Weitere Konten dieser Größe → Mit einem anderen Konto vergleichen → Wie diese Vergleichswerte entstehen →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
697.4K14 May
21.7K
11.7K
2.6K27 May
7089 Sep
29K11 Sep
1.1K
1.6K
22.8K
1.2K
1.3K
1.7K
702
Last 13 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.77%14 May
0.12%
2.12%
0.08%27 May
0.28%9 Sep
0.65%11 Sep
1.10%
0.64%
0.33%
2.03%
1.62%
0.65%
0.28%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.
What the audience does
Likes70.7%5 312 in total
Reposts7.5%564 in total
Replies1.3%101 in total
Bookmarks20.5%1 538 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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