Crémieux ✓
@cremieuxrecueil · Earth · joined 19 Mar 2023
I write about genetics, 'metrics, and demographics. Read my long-form writing at https://t.co/8hgA4nNS2A.
335 130Followers
2 263Following
77 206Posts total
14MViews on collected posts
Últimas publicaciones
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@cremieuxrecueil God bless corporations and the rich for once again dragging civilization forward with capitalism while the general population kicks and screams.
1.3K views · 66 likes
· 3 reposts · 1 replies
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Obesity is finally declining.
It's been falling since 2021, and the trend doesn't look like it's stopping. https://t.co/CXbJgDqmkc
160.3K views · 3K likes
· 189 reposts · 149 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil This was obviously true. The stuff I heard from previously semi-sane libs at that time was psychotic. It might be a touch better today, but certainly worse than before
1.3K views · 77 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
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After George Floyd died, White liberals' out-group bias (liking other groups more than their own group, Whites) nearly doubled. https://t.co/TuS6iUrQuI
41.2K views · 2.6K likes
· 205 reposts · 32 replies
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The thing that really makes this a victory is that it's publicly-available data, so anyone can go and grab it and find that this is correct and all valid scoring methods generate substantially similar results.
This sort of thing is why environmentarians hate open data and code.
11.1K views · 465 likes
· 5 reposts · 7 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil We can simply ignore IQ and look at technological output. Almost no new technology comes out of Africa and no seriously high tech at all comes out of anywhere in Africa
High tech is highly correlated with high IQ
Look at China for instance and the USA
4K views · 97 likes
· 1 reposts · 7 replies
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Large-sample, measurement invariant, sub-Saharan African national IQs gathered by respected authorities, with floor effects handled?
And they still come out to ~70?
This is an insane level of vindication for Richard Lynn and total, crushing defeat for his detractors.
174K views · 4.9K likes
· 457 reposts · 43 replies
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Hereditarians were right again. For decades egalitarians have disrupted Lynn's ~70 IQ estimate for sub-Saharan Africa. The data were sparse, conditions questionable, samples insufficiently representative, tests possibly biased. All true, but the pattern was clear enough given the
406.7K views · 4.3K likes
· 541 reposts · 100 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil it is kind of terrifying that some of these actually change the paper’s main result. looks like a lot of papers have never been properly checked
7.8K views · 125 likes
· 1 reposts · 1 replies
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For example, the 100km spatial control here was always run at 350km in the code: https://t.co/frTrJ6y81V
This doesn't make a huge difference, but some of their other errors do!
51.9K views · 350 likes
· 5 reposts · 2 replies
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Astra is finally making me excited for LLMs to check for errors in scientific papers.
It's reliably finding text-code discrepancies that earlier models would sometimes ignore because they seemed to default to believing authors' statements.
27.3K views · 593 likes
· 10 reposts · 7 replies
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Will post about this soon. It's still going right now, and the results are pretty shocking.
For example, for this paper, a spatial dependence model they claimed to run was actually not run with spatial dependence accounted for at all: https://t.co/oqLdYff7J1
33.7K views · 604 likes
· 15 reposts · 5 replies
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I sicced Astra on a bunch of replication packages, and it found a huge number of coding errors.
Most of these were inconsequential, but some of them overturn central results for papers in high-ranking journals.
Astra also discovered that many models weren't even run properly.
437.8K views · 2.9K likes
· 116 reposts · 54 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil Just gonna leave this here... https://t.co/R31dKQLjSj
3.3K views · 268 likes
· 7 reposts · 2 replies
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This isn't a joyful conclusion. The notion of a trial by a jury of your peers is a nice one. It's just not clear it's feasible when some groups are identity-obsessed.
I don't see an obvious way to fix modern American trial by jury.
More here:
72.8K views · 1.3K likes
· 48 reposts · 43 replies
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Lee Kuan Yew abolished trial by jury in 1969 because he noticed cases were being decided on the basis of identity:
Malays let Malays off the hook. Muslims let Muslims off the hook.
Singapore would have no justice with its multiethnic juries, so he moved to bench trials. https:/
52.5K views · 1.8K likes
· 134 reposts · 23 replies
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And it's not every group contributing to this.
In the plot above, you can see that Whites have no average racial bias and Blacks have considerable racial bias.
It's a similar situation with women, although worse because men and women are both biased in their favor.
34.4K views · 1.6K likes
· 40 reposts · 8 replies
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It is truly insane that identity politics it ruining juries.
If you want to reliably bring justice down on a woman? Jury of men. Want to reliably bring justice to a Black person? Jury of Whites.
This system is becoming so broken we might have to replace it like Singapore did. h
560K views · 11.1K likes
· 1.1K reposts · 267 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil It's also been built on the site of a brownfield aluminum smelter. Not only will this clean up the site, but it already has plenty of electric hookup available.
Source: I live in Frederick!
4.2K views · 98 likes
· 8 reposts · 1 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil It's safe to eat if you can verify both the herd and the animal. Just means you need to keep the meat in the freezer for about a month while you test.
I dream of an America where there's fresh water and healthy elk too, it's sad it's gone, but safety is still po
2.1K views · 54 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
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And they're going to pay an estimated $215m annually in taxes and support some 9,800 jobs, meaning they'll pay taxes equal to about 23% of the existing base and supply jobs equal to about 10% of the existing number.
This data center is revitalizing the whole town!
14.3K views · 428 likes
· 23 reposts · 17 replies
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Frederick, MD came to an interesting agreement with a data center developer:
The developer will renovate an elementary school, build a community center + rec park, preserve farmland, train workers, build trails + solar, buy a fire truck, and it replaces an idle aluminum smelter.
166.2K views · 1.7K likes
· 188 reposts · 59 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil It is easy and (in most affected states) free to get your deer tested for CWD, just drop off the head at your local DWR testing/drop site. The evidence for transmission to humans is thin, and mostly solvable through testing/not putting brain and spine tissue in t
6.8K views · 216 likes
· 1 reposts · 4 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil Crazier when you extend it back to 1900 and then overlay homicide rates.
Shows the core mechanics of white flight pretty starkly. https://t.co/q5Dk78Jdc4
14.1K views · 787 likes
· 65 reposts · 20 replies
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@cremieuxrecueil virtual no one hunting deer agrees with this.
3.2K views · 93 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
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My friend made this graph he wanted me to share because he's afraid of posting it.
It depicts the population of Detroit over time.
It has utterly collapsed. https://t.co/qm33x822xr
672.4K views · 9.6K likes
· 621 reposts · 364 replies
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I just wrote an article about why this study of semaglutide's effects is pure cargo cult science.
Check it out here: https://t.co/usIUeDVfdI https://t.co/yCxASJXpwl
10K views · 46 likes
· 1 reposts · 4 replies
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Frente a cuentas del mismo tamaño
58 publicaciones de los últimos 90 días, junto al rango de 100K–1M seguidores. llega mucho más allá de su propia audiencia, y esa audiencia responde.
Visualizaciones medianas20 222esta cuenta5 983mediana de 100K–1M
Alcance, %6.03%esta cuenta1.49%mediana de 100K–1M
Interacción, %2.20%esta cuenta0.93%mediana de 100K–1M
| Métrica | Esta cuenta | Mediana de 100K–1M | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visualizaciones medianas por publicación | 20 222 | 5 983 | 3.38× |
| Alcance (visualizaciones ÷ seguidores) | 6.03% | 1.49% | 4.05× |
| Tasa de interacción | 2.20% | 0.93% | 2.37× |
Otras cuentas de este rango → Comparar con otra cuenta → Cómo se construyen estas referencias →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
33.7K5 Sep
27.3K
51.9K
7.8K
406.7K11 Sep
174K
4K
11.1K
41.2K12 Sep
6.6K
1.3K
160.3K15 Sep
7.7K
1.3K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
1.86%5 Sep
2.24%
0.69%
1.64%
1.21%11 Sep
3.11%
2.63%
4.28%
6.83%12 Sep
0.74%
6.05%
2.11%15 Sep
0.46%
5.35%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.93%.
What the audience does
Likes78.4%49 680 in total
Reposts5.9%3 765 in total
Replies1.9%1 227 in total
Quotes0.7%425 in total
Bookmarks13.1%8 306 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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