Colby Badhwar ✓
@ColbyBadhwar · Toronto, Ontario · joined 20 Feb 2016
✍️ analysis @InsiderEng, @CEPA, & @Tochnyi; news @ArchivesDefense | Procurement, arms sales & security assistance➡️🇺🇦🇮🇱🇹🇼 | DMs open for inquiries
44 999Followers
610Following
50 871Posts total
4.6MViews on collected posts
Ultimi post
Cerchiamo nuovi post…
Transmittals:
https://t.co/tZK0wt3blt
https://t.co/3NLBZJzRSP
12.8K views · 47 likes
· 3 reposts · 0 replies
Open on X →
@ColbyBadhwar That's a huge teşekkür ederim to Turkey for helping Ukraine out in this time of need.
2.7K views · 30 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
Open on X →
❗️🇹🇷🇺🇸🇺🇦 The US State Department has approved the Third Party Transfer of 70 M39 ATACMS, 12 M270 MLRS, 2,524 M26 DPICM MLRS rockets, and 47,000 M509A1 203mm DPICM howitzer rounds from Turkiye to Ukraine.
The two TPT cases were formally notified to Congress this past Monday. The
324.3K views · 2K likes
· 323 reposts · 53 replies
Open on X →
Those were rough days for the THAAD program. https://t.co/bvbOOPwtTh
17.2K views · 154 likes
· 10 reposts · 2 replies
Open on X →
Good news: THAAD interceptors ordered by the Biden administration, whose top 3 priorities were "China, China, and China," are finally showing up.
Bad news: Fewer than 100 were officially requested during that administration's tenure.
Thankfully, more were included via https://
51.9K views · 309 likes
· 35 reposts · 7 replies
Open on X →
🇺🇸🇺🇦 The US Army had a RFI out for a second seeker source for PAC-3 MSE and that seemingly went nowhere. Instead Boeing is scaling production to meet the 2000/year target for MSE AURs.
Suggests that establishing a second source wasn't practical.
In any case, MSE was never in
49.7K views · 404 likes
· 58 reposts · 18 replies
Open on X →
Boeing and others in the PAC-3 and PAC-3 MSE industrial base and supply chain own most of the IP for the missile. The US government can buy that IP and technical baseline if either of those are willing to sell or they could force Boeings hand by threatening qualifying a second
64.7K views · 160 likes
· 13 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Hopefully we learn more about this kill in the near future.
I've said in the past that it would likely take a series of pilot errors for a Russian jet to get downed by one of Ukraine's F-16s. They remain heavily disadvantaged due to their inferior radar. https://t.co/vHX
28.8K views · 427 likes
· 31 reposts · 12 replies
Open on X →
Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine notes Ukraine recently had its first "air-to-air kill," when a Ukrainian F-16 shot down a Russian fighter.
"So I think their ability to scale their layered defense has come along a long way over the past couple years," Caine said.
169K views · 562 likes
· 65 reposts · 8 replies
Open on X →
@ColbyBadhwar What has to be done to Ukraine's HIMARS to allow them to fire ATACMS? Is it just a software update?
12.7K views · 43 likes
· 1 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
If you found this thread informative, I would only ask that you like/share it, give @tochnyi & myself a follow, and make a donation to a Ukrainian charity of your choice.
10.8K views · 414 likes
· 15 reposts · 18 replies
Open on X →
Finally, I must thank @michaeldweiss, who needs no introduction and no explanation of his efforts for the Ukrainian cause.
9.9K views · 302 likes
· 7 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
There are many others I could name, but won't in the interest of brevity. I must recognize @DrPaulyDeSantis though, for always sending me tips, @HelloMrBond for providing me the opportunity to appear on his show and @balancedlife808, for always having words of encouragement.
9.7K views · 283 likes
· 7 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
Acknowledgements:
My thanks go out to my colleagues at @tochnyi, chief among them @John_A_Ridge & @CasualArtyFan, without whom this thread would not have been possible. Thank you to @FRHoffmann1 as well, who's own writings have provided me with valuable information.
10K views · 359 likes
· 11 reposts · 4 replies
Open on X →
The situation clearly isn't nearly as dire as anonymous DoD officials are telling the media. If the US takes no action, they will have 1654 missiles in 16 months. They can absolutely afford to spare, at a bare minimum, the FY14 procured 63, which will expire in 3 years. (68/72)
16.7K views · 446 likes
· 26 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
Giving Ukraine 200 missiles would be very impactful, and still leave 938 available for deployment in Korea and elsewhere. Meanwhile, 566 missiles are still being delivered at an estimated rate of approximately 30/month. That's 1454 missiles by the end of next year. (67/72)
15.4K views · 415 likes
· 17 reposts · 2 replies
Open on X →
Now, there has been a myriad of reporting that the DoD doesn't want to give any of them up. I won't get too deep into the specifics of what they might need them for, but I will say the suggestion that it pertains to Taiwan is not particularly compelling. (63/72)
18.6K views · 345 likes
· 12 reposts · 2 replies
Open on X →
For now, we have to assume the worst though, which is that the expired inventory is unusable, leaving only 1138 available. Which brings us to the question, how many of those could be plausibly given to Ukraine? 200, is a reasonable number, in my view. (62/72)
19.1K views · 368 likes
· 15 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
No other munition which Ukraine has, or could conceivably receive, would be even close to as effective against a target like this. Just another example of how disastrous of a decision it is to abandon conventional cluster munitions. (61/72)
67K views · 545 likes
· 26 reposts · 4 replies
Open on X →
The SLEP planned to start with M39s before moving to A1s, so I'm assuming that all refurbished missiles were drawn from the former. This is important because although missiles may be officially expired, they may still be serviceable as is, or with minor work done to them. (57/72)
19.7K views · 340 likes
· 12 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
I should note that the two P-1s above cast tremendous doubt on the proposition reported in the media that the DoD "discovered" some ATACMS they didn't know they had. The Army had a precise accounting of it's expired inventory and planned on refurbishing all of it. (55/72)
66.2K views · 353 likes
· 15 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
Every system has limitations, ATACMS included. They are not particularly suitable for destroying hard targets, like bridges. For this, the best missile is the 🇸🇪/🇩🇪 Taurus KEPD 350 ALCM. If 🇺🇦 wants to destroy the Kerch Bridge, they need Taurus. (42/72)
40.4K views · 634 likes
· 71 reposts · 4 replies
Open on X →
As it stands Ukraine is already still many months away from having any operational F-16s. ATACMS can be delivered immediately without any lengthy training required. They are Ukraine's only realistic option for engaging TSTs. (40/72)
21.7K views · 525 likes
· 36 reposts · 2 replies
Open on X →
If Ukraine is going to "fight like NATO" as so many generals, both armchair and actual, believe they must, then they need to be equipped like NATO. ATACMS is without a doubt a much-needed capability for them to have. They are not a panacea though. (41/72)
24.4K views · 622 likes
· 51 reposts · 4 replies
Open on X →
The US Armed Forces Commander’s Handbook for Joint Time-Sensitive Targeting identifies ATACMS and fixed wing aircraft as the preferred systems for engaging TSTs at long range. However it notes that aircraft require a permissive threat environment, which Ukraine lacks. (36/72)
22.5K views · 417 likes
· 15 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
These are all targets that are dangerous and/or fleeting. They are mobile and can displace long before a subsonic ALCM could target them. Subsonic ALCMs are currently Ukraine's only option for striking any target at long range though, time sensitive or not. (35/72)
22.3K views · 415 likes
· 12 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG travels at a top speed of Mach 0.8, so if the target is at maximum range, then you're looking at 20-25 minutes of travel time. All in it could take two hours to hit a target once it's coordinates have been acquired. (32/72)
23.1K views · 436 likes
· 18 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
ALCMs are inherently the least responsive long range strike capability, because they require route planning, need to be loaded onto an aircraft, and then flown to a launch location closer to the front line, as to maximize their potential range. This all takes time. (30/72)
35.8K views · 479 likes
· 18 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
The former is a subsonic Air Launched Cruise Missile (ALCM), the latter is a ground launched hypersonic quasi-ballistic, manoeuvring missile. They have comparable ranges, and are both high precision weapons, but their similarities end there. (29/72)
35.5K views · 497 likes
· 16 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
Rispetto ad account della stessa dimensione
9 post degli ultimi 90 giorni, accanto alla fascia di 10K–100K follower. arriva a molti, ma pochi di loro reagiscono.
Visualizzazioni mediane49 669questo account1 038mediana per 10K–100K
Copertura, %110.38%questo account3.64%mediana per 10K–100K
Interazione, %0.74%questo account1.69%mediana per 10K–100K
| Metrica | Questo account | Mediana per 10K–100K | Rapporto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visualizzazioni mediane per post | 49 669 | 1 038 | 47.9× |
| Copertura (visualizzazioni ÷ follower) | 110.38% | 3.64% | 30.3× |
| Tasso di interazione | 0.74% | 1.69% | 0.44× |
Altri account di questa fascia → Confronta con un altro account → Come sono costruiti questi parametri →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
9.7K18 Sep
9.9K
10.8K
10.5K
12.7K
169K21 Jul
28.8K
64.7K1 Aug
49.7K
51.9K4 Aug
17.2K5 Aug
324.3K8 Aug
2.7K
12.8K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
3.03%18 Sep
3.14%
4.14%
1.97%
0.35%
0.39%21 Jul
1.64%
0.27%1 Aug
0.97%
0.68%4 Aug
0.96%5 Aug
0.74%8 Aug
1.12%
0.39%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.69%.
What the audience does
Likes88.4%12 504 in total
Reposts6.7%949 in total
Replies1.3%177 in total
Quotes0.7%105 in total
Bookmarks2.9%407 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
Account simili
Charterhouse Ghana
@CharterhouseGH
90K followers
· 7K posts
Croxxed Out ✓
@FLCons
90K followers
· 558.1K posts
Tested
@testedcom
90K followers
· 32.8K posts
Aboubakar Idriss ✓
@proff_g
90K followers
· 39.4K posts
Momblano Official
@MomblanOfficial
90K followers
· 33.5K posts
Benji Naesen ✓
@BenjiNaesen
90K followers
· 64.2K posts
Herve Penot
@hpenot_lequipe
90K followers
· 70.9K posts
Luiz Santos Official ✓
@LuizSantosMusic
90K followers
· 196.1K posts