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PlanB

@100trillionUSD · joined 13 Oct 2017

All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉 https://t.co/4UQOQ8eRA3

2 163 822Followers
163Following
12 682Posts total
1.5MViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

19 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 1M–10M follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views17 764this account9 177median for 1M–10M
Reach, %0.82%this account0.39%median for 1M–10M
Engagement, %0.54%this account1.33%median for 1M–10M
MetricThis accountMedian for 1M–10MRatio
Median views per post17 7649 1771.94×
Reach (views ÷ followers)0.82%0.39%2.11×
Engagement rate0.54%1.33%0.40×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

16.5K11 Aug
15.5K
14.5K
13.9K
13.4K
27.9K
26.2K
372.8K25 Aug
6.9K
6.6K
5.2K
244.2K1 Sep
131.5K
197K5 Sep

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.54%11 Aug
0.63%
0.66%
0.57%
0.54%
0.37%
0.45%
1.18%25 Aug
1.02%
0.62%
0.39%
2.08%1 Sep
0.38%
0.92%5 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 1M–10M accounts is 1.33%.

What the audience does

Likes81.6%12 485 in total
Reposts7.9%1 210 in total
Replies4.1%626 in total
Quotes0.6%85 in total
Bookmarks5.8%889 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

One of my first tweets, 2018, pre-S2F, most people thought bitcoin was like the Tulip Bubble ... 197K views · 1.6K likes · 125 reposts · 72 replies 05 Sep 2026 · Open on X →
Bitcoin just ran $58K → $78K. Was July 1 the bear-market bottom? 131.5K views · 403 likes · 37 reposts · 52 replies 01 Sep 2026 · Open on X →
Bitcoin closed August at $78,571 - Above 200 week MA $65k - Above 5 month (STH) realized price $72k - All realized prices are increasing again - Bitcoin in profit 72% (up from 50%) - Monthly RSI 51 (up from 41) IMO the bottom is behind us. I expect higher prices from here. http 244.2K views · 4.3K likes · 503 reposts · 199 replies 01 Sep 2026 · Open on X →
@100trillionUSD Is that a green dot? The next phase has begun. 5.2K views · 19 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 25 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
@100trillionUSD Imagine if Bitcoin regained the S2F 😄 Bears would be on suicide watch. 6.6K views · 38 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies 25 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
@100trillionUSD PlanB is back https://t.co/GgvmGhthct 6.9K views · 68 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 25 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
✅Bitcoin in profit > 70% (color overlay in this chat) ✅BTC > 200 week moving average (black line) ✅RSI > 50 (trend is up) ✅QE restarted Feels like the bear is dead and bulls are in charge🚀 https://t.co/kU0nUJXtdW 372.8K views · 3.8K likes · 407 reposts · 184 replies 25 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
10) Institutional + nation-state adoption amplifies the thesis (ETFs, corporate treasuries, potential sovereign interest) but also raises the stakes: network security, resilience, and possible geopolitical tension if Bitcoin challenges existing monetary systems. 26.2K views · 109 likes · 3 reposts · 5 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
9) Bitcoin behaves like a monetary black hole. As S2F rises and adoption grows, it competes with, and can siphon premium from, gold, real estate, and other stores of value. This has consequences for inflation hedging, capital allocation, and traditional finance. 27.9K views · 98 likes · 2 reposts · 3 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
8) Different models (S2F/S2FX, power-law, lengthening cycles, diminishing returns) often converge on substantially higher long-term prices. They diverge on timing of peaks, cycle length, and how fast returns diminish. Time + data will sort them. 13.4K views · 70 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
7) Asymmetric risk/reward is the real portfolio edge. Bitcoin has been the best-performing major asset on both absolute and risk-adjusted (Sharpe/Sortino/Calmar) bases over multi-year periods. Even a small 1% allocation mixed with cash/traditional assets historically improved 13.9K views · 78 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
6) Scarcity alone is not enough. Any token can copy a fixed supply schedule. Bitcoin’s edge is decentralized, unforgeable, censorship-resistant hard money + genuine network demand. Copycats lack that. 14.5K views · 93 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
5) “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” I repeat this constantly. S2F is a simple scarcity tool for long-term framing, not a crystal ball or day-trading system. It has held through COVID, the China ban, and more. Still imperfect. Still useful. 15.5K views · 94 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
4) Bitcoin evolves in phases tied to rising S2F: Proof-of-concept → payments network → e-gold/store of value → institutional-grade financial asset. Each jump in scarcity brings broader narratives and new capital. 16.5K views · 86 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
3) S2F (and S2FX) estimate average/fair value, not exact tops or bottoms. Price oscillates around the model line. Historically cited cycle averages: ~$50k (S2F) and higher figures near $288k (S2FX cross-asset). Focus on the multi-year mean, not the one-day peak. 17.8K views · 87 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
2) Halvings are the engine. Every ~4 years the block reward halves. S2F roughly doubles. The model treats them as the core supply-side events. 22.8K views · 107 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
@100trillionUSD Stock-to-Flow? Bro, my portfolio is currently running on a Shock-to-Broke model. 4.2K views · 26 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
1) Scarcity drives monetary value. Stock-to-Flow (S2F) = existing supply ÷ annual new production. Gold sits at ~60. Industrial metals are far lower. Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million + predictable issuance makes its S2F uniquely measurable: ~120 and rising. 42.8K views · 162 likes · 8 reposts · 6 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
Most people stare at Bitcoin charts. Stock-to-Flow models scarcity. Here are the 10 highest-value S2F insights, the ones that actually change how you think about money. Thread 🧵 285K views · 1.2K likes · 120 reposts · 87 replies 11 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
#Bitcoin is dead. Bubble. Death spiral 🤣🤣🤣 Guess who is buying now, like 2012 and 2015-2016? https://t.co/jAj85x4DOE 0 views · 423 likes · 69 reposts · 22 replies 20 Dec 2018 · Open on X →

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