Lisan al Gaib @scaling01 · 01 Jan 2026
My predictions for 2026: Coding and Mathematics AGI - METR 50% time horizons above 24 hours - my mean estimate is 30.8 hours, 2 day time horizons possible within frontier labs when accounting for 60 day lag - if 2025 was the year of agents, then 2026 will be the year of
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