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Hugo Larochelle @hugo_larochelle · 17 Feb 2026

Ever since @METR_Evals' fascinating work on LLM agent time horizons, I've wanted to see other attempts to draw conclusions from the same data. In a separate approach by Fengyuan and Jay, we too infer an exponential, but with shorter horizons for recent models (~2h vs METR's ~5h)
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