Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17 · 30 Aug 2026
For what it's worth, our surveys at @TheArgumentMag are seeing likely voters as ~2.7 points more Democratic than registered voters are (on margin). In other words: among all RVs, we estimate Democrats lead by 5.2. Among all likely voters, it's D+7.9, which is bigger than 2018.
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Is that a lot?
1.00×vs this author's median64 380 views is typical
40Percentile for this authorof 5 recent posts
22.2×vs 10K–100K median2 896 views is typical
68.94%Reachviews ÷ followers
1.27%Engagement rateof viewers reacted