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Bill Connelly @ESPN_BillC · 31 Aug 2026

FWIW, things balanced out after the poor start. FCS teams ended up underachieving projections by just 2.5 PPG against D2 teams and overachieving by 3.8 (despite NW'ern State) against NAIA teams. Beat projections 59% of the time against lower divisions.
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