Tinker @tinkerapi · 03 Sep 2026
We previously highlighted @lightningrodai's data recipe for training forecasters. Their new work with @PTetlock and @VSatopaa adds another key piece: choosing the rule for scoring predictions, and how each one trades off accuracy and error.
1 239Views
23Likes
4Reposts
1Replies
1Quotes
7Bookmarks
Is that a lot?
0.10×vs this author's median13 023 views is typical
0Percentile for this authorof 7 recent posts
0.45×vs 10K–100K median2 751 views is typical
8.73%Reachviews ÷ followers
2.34%Engagement rateof viewers reacted