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Ryan Bourne @MrRBourne · 04 Sep 2026

Kalshi now has a "Citizen's Debt Forecast." Interestingly, its prediction market is forecasting slightly less growth in the debt relative to GDP than the CBO, not because it expects less debt, but because it expects stronger nominal GDP growth. https://t.co/kyZbExq6jf https://t.co/KS1XUWRakL
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