Suproteem Sarkar @SuproteemSarkar · 04 Sep 2026
in a new paper with Isaiah Andrews, we evaluate probabilistic coherence in language model forecasts we build a forecasting environment for models from historical stock returns. we then measure incoherence through the profit you can make by arbitraging a model’s forecasts https://t.co/LmAgIcJ2eF
9 717Views
69Likes
7Reposts
1Replies
1Quotes
32Bookmarks
Is that a lot?
1.38×vs this author's median7 041 views is typical
67Percentile for this authorof 6 recent posts
3.60×vs under 10K median2 700 views is typical
9.6× audienceReachviews ÷ followers
0.80%Engagement rateof viewers reacted