Kevin A. Bryan
@Afinetheorem · Toronto, ON, Canada · joined 16 Feb 2015
Assoc. Prof. of Strategy, U Toronto Rotman | Chief Economist, CDL Toronto | Co-Founder, AllDayTA | Ars longa, vita brevis, occasio praeceps (especially now)
23 032Followers
21Following
15 946Posts total
334.8KViews on collected posts
โพสต์ล่าสุด
กำลังค้นหาโพสต์ใหม่…
Nov 2025 LEAP panel of AI experts and superforecasters: 10% chance of AI helping solve a Millennium problem by 2027. "One expert cites the Clay president's June 2025 claim: “We're very far away from AI being able to say anything serious about any of those problems” (Heaven 2025)"
1.4K views · 23 likes
· 6 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
And in addition to Navier-Stokes, an amazing scientific tool from DeepMind
696 views · 1 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
Open on X →
A few things on Navier-Stokes. 1) An unreal achievement, 2) $15 million dollars of output (300,000m tokens at $50/m)!, 3) they explicitly claim they never looked at user data from the NYU/Anthropic team, 4) I would release literally everything given the gravity of the accusation.
3K views · 51 likes
· 0 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
AlphaFold: predicting the protein structure from amino acid sequence for >200 million proteins (awarded @NobelPrize)
Today
Alpha Genome Atlas: predicting the molecular impact of all 9 billion variants of the human genome
https://t.co/UnqFEin41C
20.4K views · 332 likes
· 69 reposts · 10 replies
Open on X →
Just to be clear: stupid rumor based on insinuation in the Navier-Stokes letter that OAI folks may have "read the chat transcripts to get the idea" makes no sense to anyone who knows how these models work or how the data contracts work. As Sholto says, please stop repeating this.
25.1K views · 185 likes
· 9 reposts · 15 replies
Open on X →
US and Canada hold up quite well in PISA 2025...but only relative to global collapse due to COVID/phones still not recovered, esp. for reading scores which just continue to plummet (some of which are now shocking even in well-off countries).
4.8K views · 20 likes
· 0 reposts · 2 replies
Open on X →
@vvkgopalan there is no way this happened and you know it - I think important to not let this rumour spread
39.5K views · 181 likes
· 10 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
@Afinetheorem traders too. can arb this thing.
794 views · 2 likes
· 0 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
(Or put another way, San Francisco isn't going to become robot YIMBY for housing construction six years from now no matter what happens to the tech...)
1.2K views · 18 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
Open on X →
I love this bet. Not a gambling man myself, but just to be clear, 99.9% of economists would take the no-fast-growth side if forced. 15% annual growth by 2033 would require implausible diffusion speed. Think about Waymo diffusion given their tech, and apply broadly...
26.7K views · 109 likes
· 9 reposts · 3 replies
Open on X →
Some real diversity of opinion at Google DeepMind: @alexolegimas joins the bet while his colleague @SamuelAlbanie takes the other side increasing his existing stake!
Total size of pot now $425,000!
https://t.co/NSQZKbfBIy https://t.co/CzACD8oe1l
140.5K views · 271 likes
· 13 reposts · 19 replies
Open on X →
(And one follow-up from DMs - def a case for the top 20 or so. But a *lot* of good-but-not-really-transformative folks, mid-career, at random institutions, hired with $8m research budgets (5x the next highest standard Canada grant), which does not seem like good value for money)
2.3K views · 5 likes
· 0 reposts · 0 replies
Open on X →
(Btw, the most surprising thing is that there are zero computer science or robotics hires, with perhaps the exception TBW, who applies AI to ecological conservation. Some interesting AI-adjacent biomedical folks, but I am sure these areas were priorities, and yet...)
5.1K views · 16 likes
· 1 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
@Afinetheorem Our hire of Fatih G from Minnesota two years ago is a bigger deal than virtually all of these.
4.3K views · 16 likes
· 0 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
Still seems to be a successful program with a few very very big names, but not really at the "recruit 64 world-class folks" given the $ involved, and still with the historic pattern that top hires away from the US tend to be citizens of the hiring country. 4/4
5.3K views · 16 likes
· 0 reposts · 2 replies
Open on X →
Canada announced the 64 chairs of their huge intl recruitment drive. Some major stars (we are bringing Ray Fisman to Rotman) so I was curious about what the nature of the hires way. 1/4
41.7K views · 93 likes
· 8 reposts · 5 replies
Open on X →
Of those 21, 4 came from outside the US. Of the remaining 17, 9 are Canadian. Still some great hires, e.g., Sara Seager, but maybe less surprising. The remaining 8: some combination of declining US funding in the area + many-millions lab packages. 3/4
5.6K views · 11 likes
· 0 reposts · 1 replies
Open on X →
From a little work with AI and Google Scholar, I'd put 21 of 64 in the "these would be a better than average, clearly, hire for a top Canadian university". I suppose that's a bit disappointing given the huge amount of money devoted, but it was a quick program. 2/4
6.5K views · 15 likes
· 0 reposts · 2 replies
Open on X →
เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน
18 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม แสดงในวงกว้าง แต่มีผู้ชมตอบสนองน้อย.
ยอดดูมัธยฐาน5 186บัญชีนี้989ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K
การเข้าถึง, %22.51%บัญชีนี้3.56%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K
การมีส่วนร่วม, %0.39%บัญชีนี้1.92%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K
| ตัวชี้วัด | บัญชีนี้ | ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K | อัตราส่วน |
|---|---|---|---|
| ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์ | 5 186 | 989 | 5.24× |
| การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม) | 22.51% | 3.56% | 6.32× |
| อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม | 0.39% | 1.92% | 0.20× |
บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
4.3K27 Aug
5.1K
2.3K28 Aug
140.5K1 Sep
26.7K2 Sep
1.2K
794
39.5K8 Sep
4.8K
25.1K
20.4K
3K
696
1.4K
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
0.40%27 Aug
0.35%
0.22%28 Aug
0.23%1 Sep
0.47%2 Sep
1.48%
0.38%
0.51%8 Sep
0.48%
0.84%
2.04%
1.81%
0.14%
2.12%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.92%.
What the audience does
Likes74.1%1 365 in total
Reposts6.8%125 in total
Replies3.7%69 in total
Quotes2.0%37 in total
Bookmarks13.4%246 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
Followers by day
8 Sep
Daily snapshots since 08 Sep 2026; the dashed line is the starting count.
บัญชีที่คล้ายกัน
NBC Sports PR ✓
@NBCSportsPR
46.1K followers
· 50.9K posts
The Conversation Africa
@TC_Africa
46.1K followers
· 58.3K posts
Potxeca
@Potxeca
46.1K followers
· 19.6K posts
SP SINGH BAGHEL ✓
@spsinghbaghelpr
46.1K followers
· 5.3K posts
DJ Scarlett BoBo
@ItsScarlettBobo
46.1K followers
· 10.2K posts
𝚋𝚛𝚘𝚠𝚜𝚎 𝚑𝚘𝚛𝚛𝚘𝚛🦇 ✓
@BrowseHorror
46.1K followers
· 74K posts
Mariusz Kamiński
@Kaminski_M_
46.1K followers
· 1.9K posts
⭐️Danielle Guzman ⭐️
@guzmand
46.1K followers
· 56.4K posts