Desmond Shum ✓

@DesmondShum · United Kingdom · joined 07 Dec 2018

Author of Red Roulette. Ex - China RE developer, PE, CPPCC member, CFA, Beijinger … Current - Hong Konger, dad, home chef, Forever - Shanghainese

52 412Followers

184Following

3 006Posts total

218.9KViews on collected posts

โพสต์ล่าสุด

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum1 Sep

A Stronger Xi, a Weaker System What do the fall of Zhong Shaojun, the dismantling of Wang Qishan’s network, and the rise of “san-fei” officials have in common? Taken together, they may reveal something more important than another round of elite reshuffling: the rules, 21.7K views · 138 likes · 15 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum31 Aug

From “Involution” to “Unworthy Forebears”: What China’s Internet Slang Reveals About Its Changing Social Psychology Yesterday, I came across a “Five Traps” formulation that had circulated in China around 2023. I had not paid much attention to it at the time, but I found it 11.6K views · 69 likes · 10 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum30 Aug

许教授的制度基因一书，令我受益良多。从这视角解析修昔底德陷阱非常深刻，向大家推荐此文 73.2K views · 254 likes · 25 reposts · 13 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum30 Aug

I fully endorse the following post on “Thucydides Trap” from my most respected historian on ccp - though he’s a respected economist 🥳. Xu’s book “Institution Genes” is my go to book for understanding CCP 50.1K views · 193 likes · 16 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum29 Aug

I translated my writing “Victims of power Believers of power” from two days ago for my Chinese followers here. The writing is being discussed by YouTuber, but I feel their excerpts doesn’t represent me fully. 我把我前两天对薄瓜瓜对我回应的回应😂 ”权力的受害者权力的信仰者” 40K views · 224 likes · 38 reposts · 25 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum9 Dec 2025

@DesmondShum Nvidia CEO wants to make money and Trump agreed. And Jensen Huang is basically a Chinese. https://t.co/3xucNOmjCX

105 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum9 Dec 2025

@DesmondShum None of this will slow China’s drive for semiconductor self-reliance — not even by a millimeter. Nor will this slow down America pace for manufacturing reshoring which in the short term depends on Chinese rare earth but which US/Australia is rapidly building up capa 472 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum9 Dec 2025

@DesmondShum It is not what it seems. First, the next 2–3 years are crucial for the United States to resolve its true strategic vulnerabilities — rare-earth dependence and pharmaceutical supply chains. Maintaining stability with China during this window is essential. Second, Was 1.2K views · 5 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Desmond Shum ✓@DesmondShum9 Dec 2025

Chips, Deals, and Forbidden City Sequels Since Trump is moving ahead with allowing H200 chip exports to China, Beijing’s priorities will shift almost overnight: 1. Beijing will read Trump as fundamentally transactional — everything is negotiable, and therefore everything is htt

20.4K views · 174 likes · 48 reposts · 19 replies Open on X →

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

5 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม แสดงในวงกว้าง แต่มีผู้ชมตอบสนองน้อย.

ยอดดูมัธยฐาน40 014บัญชีนี้924ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การเข้าถึง, %76.35%บัญชีนี้3.62%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การมีส่วนร่วม, %0.70%บัญชีนี้1.52%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

ตัวชี้วัด	บัญชีนี้	ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K	อัตราส่วน
ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์	40 014	924	43.3×
การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม)	76.35%	3.62%	21.1×
อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม	0.70%	1.52%	0.46×

บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

20.4K9 Dec

1.2K

472

105

40K29 Aug

50.1K30 Aug

73.2K

11.6K31 Aug

21.7K1 Sep

Last 9 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

1.22%9 Dec

0.68%

0.64%

1.90%

0.75%29 Aug

0.44%30 Aug

0.40%

0.70%31 Aug

0.73%1 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes59.9%1 061 in total

Reposts8.6%153 in total

Replies4.4%78 in total

Quotes1.3%23 in total

Bookmarks25.7%455 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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