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Quantus Insights ✓

@QuantusInsights · United States · joined 12 Oct 2021

Election forecasting, political and economic analysis, and data-driven insights.

29 740Followers
2 060Following
42 547Posts total
68KViews on collected posts

โพสต์ล่าสุด

September update to the Quantus House model. Democrats 82% to win control, up from 79% in August. Median outcome: 🔵 D 225 🔴 R 210. The environment barely moved. Our confidence in the reading did. Two more months of a stable D+5 to D+7 ballot, means less time left for it htt 4.1K views · 23 likes · 2 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →
Midterm models update incoming. https://t.co/UNeLG67opu 3.1K views · 23 likes · 7 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →
@QuantusInsights D+5????? :) 1.2K views · 19 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
@QuantusInsights In 5 of the last 6 cycles, the RCP generic ballot error favored the party in the White House. The only exception was 2020. Even more notably, all three recent midterms saw the president’s party outperform the RCP average. 🔵2014 Obama: error D+3.3 → president’s 623 views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
@QuantusInsights Well if 2018 is the one year that beat the average for Dems, that seems like good news for Dems in 2026 given all the similarities 1.2K views · 12 likes · 0 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →
The RCP generic ballot is D+5.7, but Republicans beat the final average in five of the past six elections. Applying those historical errors produces D+4.9 using midterms, D+3.9 using all six elections, and D+2.9 using presidential years. Democrats still lead, but perhaps more ht 41.5K views · 125 likes · 25 reposts · 16 replies Open on X →
Trump’s approval remains underwater across 13 recent national polls aggregated by RealClearPolling. Our robust trend model, adjusted for recency, sample size, electorate type, and outliers, estimates: Approve: 41.8% Disapprove: 56.7% Net approval: −14.9 The late-August https 3.6K views · 21 likes · 4 reposts · 12 replies Open on X →
@QuantusInsights I have to believe a lot of Republicans are not answering polls. No one can convince me that Democrats are 7% more popular, given that everything is objectively better than it was when Biden left office, and Democrats have gotten crazier than ever. I also suspect 430 views · 17 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →
@QuantusInsights We've imported far too many 3rd worlders who have a tendency to vote along tribal lines. 275 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@QuantusInsights Independent, voted both parties in past. The U.S. cannot survive a Democratic win in midterms. 327 views · 15 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS NATIONAL POLL | August 28, 2026 Our latest national survey of 1,200 likely voters finds Democrats holding a clear advantage heading into the 2026 midterms, while President Donald Trump remains underwater with voters. 📊 Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵 https:/ 11.5K views · 41 likes · 11 reposts · 14 replies Open on X →

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

11 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม อยู่ที่ค่ามัธยฐานของช่วงผู้ติดตามพอดี.

ยอดดูมัธยฐาน1 223บัญชีนี้924ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K
การเข้าถึง, %4.11%บัญชีนี้3.62%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K
การมีส่วนร่วม, %1.28%บัญชีนี้1.52%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K
ตัวชี้วัดบัญชีนี้ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100Kอัตราส่วน
ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์1 2239241.32×
การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม)4.11%3.62%1.14×
อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม1.28%1.52%0.84×

บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ →   เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น →   ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

11.5K28 Aug
327
275
430
3.6K30 Aug
41.5K3 Sep
1.2K
623
1.2K
3.1K4 Sep
4.1K

Last 11 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.62%28 Aug
4.89%
1.45%
4.65%
1.04%30 Aug
0.43%3 Sep
1.58%
1.28%
1.72%
1.14%4 Sep
0.95%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes63.7%307 in total
Reposts10.2%49 in total
Replies14.5%70 in total
Quotes4.8%23 in total
Bookmarks6.8%33 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

บัญชีที่คล้ายกัน

Frequently asked questions about @QuantusInsights

How many followers does @QuantusInsights have?

29 740 followers.

How many posts has @QuantusInsights published?

42 547 posts.

How do posts by @QuantusInsights perform?

Collected posts: 11. Views: 67 953. Likes: 307.