Quantus Insights ✓

@QuantusInsights · United States · joined 12 Oct 2021

Election forecasting, political and economic analysis, and data-driven insights.

29 740Followers

2 060Following

42 547Posts total

68KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights4 Sep

September update to the Quantus House model. Democrats 82% to win control, up from 79% in August. Median outcome: 🔵 D 225 🔴 R 210. The environment barely moved. Our confidence in the reading did. Two more months of a stable D+5 to D+7 ballot, means less time left for it htt 4.1K views · 23 likes · 2 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights4 Sep

Midterm models update incoming. https://t.co/UNeLG67opu 3.1K views · 23 likes · 7 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights3 Sep

@QuantusInsights D+5????? :) 1.2K views · 19 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights3 Sep

@QuantusInsights In 5 of the last 6 cycles, the RCP generic ballot error favored the party in the White House. The only exception was 2020. Even more notably, all three recent midterms saw the president’s party outperform the RCP average. 🔵2014 Obama: error D+3.3 → president’s 623 views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights3 Sep

@QuantusInsights Well if 2018 is the one year that beat the average for Dems, that seems like good news for Dems in 2026 given all the similarities 1.2K views · 12 likes · 0 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights3 Sep

The RCP generic ballot is D+5.7, but Republicans beat the final average in five of the past six elections. Applying those historical errors produces D+4.9 using midterms, D+3.9 using all six elections, and D+2.9 using presidential years. Democrats still lead, but perhaps more ht 41.5K views · 125 likes · 25 reposts · 16 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights30 Aug

Trump’s approval remains underwater across 13 recent national polls aggregated by RealClearPolling. Our robust trend model, adjusted for recency, sample size, electorate type, and outliers, estimates: Approve: 41.8% Disapprove: 56.7% Net approval: −14.9 The late-August https 3.6K views · 21 likes · 4 reposts · 12 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights28 Aug

@QuantusInsights I have to believe a lot of Republicans are not answering polls. No one can convince me that Democrats are 7% more popular, given that everything is objectively better than it was when Biden left office, and Democrats have gotten crazier than ever. I also suspect 430 views · 17 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights28 Aug

@QuantusInsights We've imported far too many 3rd worlders who have a tendency to vote along tribal lines. 275 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights28 Aug

@QuantusInsights Independent, voted both parties in past. The U.S. cannot survive a Democratic win in midterms. 327 views · 15 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Quantus Insights ✓@QuantusInsights28 Aug

NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS NATIONAL POLL | August 28, 2026 Our latest national survey of 1,200 likely voters finds Democrats holding a clear advantage heading into the 2026 midterms, while President Donald Trump remains underwater with voters. 📊 Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵 https:/ 11.5K views · 41 likes · 11 reposts · 14 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

11 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. right around the median for its follower range.

Median views1 223this account924median for 10K–100K

Reach, %4.11%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %1.28%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	1 223	924	1.32×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	4.11%	3.62%	1.14×
Engagement rate	1.28%	1.52%	0.84×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

11.5K28 Aug

327

275

430

3.6K30 Aug

41.5K3 Sep

1.2K

623

1.2K

3.1K4 Sep

4.1K

Last 11 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.62%28 Aug

4.89%

1.45%

4.65%

1.04%30 Aug

0.43%3 Sep

1.58%

1.28%

1.72%

1.14%4 Sep

0.95%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes63.7%307 in total

Reposts10.2%49 in total

Replies14.5%70 in total

Quotes4.8%23 in total

Bookmarks6.8%33 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Similar accounts

Frequently asked questions about @QuantusInsights

How many followers does @QuantusInsights have?

29 740 followers.

How many posts has @QuantusInsights published?

42 547 posts.

How do posts by @QuantusInsights perform?

Collected posts: 11. Views: 67 953. Likes: 307.