Quantus Insights ✓

@QuantusInsights · United States · joined 12 Oct 2021

Election forecasting, political and economic analysis, and data-driven insights.

29 740Followers

2 060Following

42 547Posts total

68KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

11 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. reaches fewer people than peers of the same size.

Median views1 223this account2 392median for 10K–100K

Reach, %4.11%this account7.18%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %1.28%this account1.50%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	1 223	2 392	0.51×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	4.11%	7.18%	0.57×
Engagement rate	1.28%	1.50%	0.86×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

11.5K28 Aug

327

275

430

3.6K30 Aug

41.5K3 Sep

1.2K

623

1.2K

3.1K4 Sep

4.1K

Last 11 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.62%28 Aug

4.89%

1.45%

4.65%

1.04%30 Aug

0.43%3 Sep

1.58%

1.28%

1.72%

1.14%4 Sep

0.95%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.50%.

What the audience does

Likes63.7%307 in total

Reposts10.2%49 in total

Replies14.5%70 in total

Quotes4.8%23 in total

Bookmarks6.8%33 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

Followers by day

4 Sep

Daily snapshots since 04 Sep 2026; the dashed line is the starting count.

Latest posts

September update to the Quantus House model. Democrats 82% to win control, up from 79% in August. Median outcome: 🔵 D 225 🔴 R 210. The environment barely moved. Our confidence in the reading did. Two more months of a stable D+5 to D+7 ballot, means less time left for it htt 4.1K views · 23 likes · 2 reposts · 10 replies 04 Sep 2026 Midterm models update incoming. https://t.co/UNeLG67opu 3.1K views · 23 likes · 7 reposts · 4 replies 04 Sep 2026 @QuantusInsights D+5????? :) 1.2K views · 19 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 03 Sep 2026 @QuantusInsights In 5 of the last 6 cycles, the RCP generic ballot error favored the party in the White House. The only exception was 2020. Even more notably, all three recent midterms saw the president’s party outperform the RCP average. 🔵2014 Obama: error D+3.3 → president’s 623 views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 03 Sep 2026 @QuantusInsights Well if 2018 is the one year that beat the average for Dems, that seems like good news for Dems in 2026 given all the similarities 1.2K views · 12 likes · 0 reposts · 7 replies 03 Sep 2026 The RCP generic ballot is D+5.7, but Republicans beat the final average in five of the past six elections. Applying those historical errors produces D+4.9 using midterms, D+3.9 using all six elections, and D+2.9 using presidential years. Democrats still lead, but perhaps more ht 41.5K views · 125 likes · 25 reposts · 16 replies 03 Sep 2026 Trump’s approval remains underwater across 13 recent national polls aggregated by RealClearPolling. Our robust trend model, adjusted for recency, sample size, electorate type, and outliers, estimates: Approve: 41.8% Disapprove: 56.7% Net approval: −14.9 The late-August https 3.6K views · 21 likes · 4 reposts · 12 replies 30 Aug 2026 @QuantusInsights I have to believe a lot of Republicans are not answering polls. No one can convince me that Democrats are 7% more popular, given that everything is objectively better than it was when Biden left office, and Democrats have gotten crazier than ever. I also suspect 430 views · 17 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies 28 Aug 2026 @QuantusInsights We've imported far too many 3rd worlders who have a tendency to vote along tribal lines. 275 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 28 Aug 2026 @QuantusInsights Independent, voted both parties in past. The U.S. cannot survive a Democratic win in midterms. 327 views · 15 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 28 Aug 2026 NEW QUANTUS INSIGHTS NATIONAL POLL | August 28, 2026 Our latest national survey of 1,200 likely voters finds Democrats holding a clear advantage heading into the 2026 midterms, while President Donald Trump remains underwater with voters. 📊 Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵 https:/ 11.5K views · 41 likes · 11 reposts · 14 replies 28 Aug 2026