Luke Gromen ✓
@LukeGromen · joined 21 Dec 2014
Founder & President, Forest for the Trees (FFTT). Author of "The Mr. X Interviews, Volumes I & II.” I never solicit via DM's. RT not endorsements.
628 537Followers
2 503Following
98 353Posts total
2.4MViews on collected posts
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Yeni gönderiler aranıyor…
@LukeGromen The overwhelming majority of welders in Ohio are making less than $35/hr.
The welding schools aren’t even paying their instructors $57.90/hr!!!
We are not serious about manufacturing in this country. Young guys I know can barely afford an apartment. No chance of a
511 views · 28 likes
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@LukeGromen Correct.
Luke, can we talk about my book?
https://t.co/GhuNAj4Opu
1.5K views · 19 likes
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@LukeGromen Finally. Been waiting for someone with an audience and reach to state this. If the math, maths, you can get someone to shovel sh-t in Louisiana, if it don’t, well, then you don’t.
1.6K views · 30 likes
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Once you realize that many highly skilled trades don’t even make 1963 minimum wage today ($57.90/hr), you realize why we are short highly skilled trades 🤷♂️
157.2K views · 2.1K likes
· 200 reposts · 94 replies
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@UziCryptoo Minimum wage in 1963 in the US was $1.25
That was 5 silver quarters.
Today the melt value of those 5 silver quarters is $57.90.
Instead, US Federal minimum wage is $7.25
That's the whole ruse...that's the whole game.
@wbmosler
218.5K views · 2.3K likes
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Was told last week likely the only way we will get the political urgency to fix things are on this front is via a catastrophic cascading grid collapse (https://t.co/2XhLkt2pAJ)
FFTT remains very bullish on electrical infrastructure equities.
29.4K views · 230 likes
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Left: 1q16 TBAC showing the plan to term out US Federal debt - WAM (Wtd Avg Maturity) was supposed to be 85 months by 2025.
Right: 3q26 TBAC showing US didn’t increase WAM.
So has every Treasury Sec. since 2016 been stupid… or could they not raise WAM w/o triggering a crisis? h
22.4K views · 159 likes
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Plain speak guide for when to get (nominally) bullish on LT USTs:
Are higher rates & therefore higher interest expense leading to sharp cuts in Entitlements & Defense spending?
If yes, bonds are a buy. If no, bonds are a sell.
1 of these 3 are a bubble: Bonds, USD, or Boomers
32.6K views · 393 likes
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Ever since the BOJ lifted its ceiling on 10y JGB's in July 2023, if you want to know where 10y UST yields are going (blue), just watch UK 10y yields (red), & give it a bit of time.
5.4%, here we come.
"Judge us by the 10-year yield" Bessent is being weighed & found wanting. htt
39.8K views · 399 likes
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UK 10 year hit 5.4%
https://t.co/jUbnjEk3SR https://t.co/vZBCTVO3gK
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@LukeGromen @gregrieben Elite coasters have no clue…
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@LukeGromen @gregrieben Glp1 will be mandatory like covid vaccines soon 😂
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@LukeGromen @gregrieben bonds as insurance on every person you walk past at the fair is bleak lol. @lexmexx1 says thats why theyre so hated. what breaks first tho
563 views · 1 likes
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@gregrieben If you go to an amusement park in flyover country USA, and realize that bonds amount to writing insurance on the healthcare of every person you see there, I would argue they aren't hated nearly enough on a real basis.
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Reminds me of when Jeff Bezos and Steve Ballmer publicly called for slowing the rollout of the internet in 2000-01 due to public safety concerns.
Just kidding - that never happened…which means a whole lot of investors’ priors may need significant updating. https://t.co/DBAXyKHXh
74.5K views · 590 likes
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If you think Trump increasing the deficit to hand out $5,000 per person would be inflationary...
...you have to think the US govt increasing the deficit to hand out higher interest outlays on $40T in debt on a $31T economy as a result of Fed rate hikes is also inflationary. 🤷♂️
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"Gold is down because the oil spike is forcing nations to sell gold." -Investor consensus
"China is most hurt by the US actions vis a vis Iran." -Investor consensus
"China buys most gold in 3 years even as gold prices jump." - Reality
🤔 https://t.co/89ftyPF5vP
77.3K views · 1.5K likes
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Well said
Inflationary expectations the key, not the price level
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We talked openly with our 3 boys about how destructive gambling is, and when they were 18, helped them open online brokerage and BTC accounts, telling them “if you’re going to take risk, do it in a way where you win over time, rather than the house.”
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@LukeGromen @barnes_law @LukeGromen Have a 16 year old nephew that I’m afraid will get sucked in to this. What would you advise his parents?
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With so much of my X feed occupied by US debt sustainability discussions & the 25th anniversary of 9/11 attacks, I can't help but think about this from 2004.
I remember laughing at this 22 years ago, but nobody seems to be laughing anymore. https://t.co/VYPgCMz7fx
36.4K views · 505 likes
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Via @CEOTechnician https://t.co/1steDXYKTC
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Implication of this headline for investors, in plain speak:
Inflation is going WAY higher over time if this continues; sell LT bonds on all days ending in "-y".
Via @riteshmjn https://t.co/sxMAcvkiCq
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@LukeGromen @LynAldenContact @BTCsessions This was a phenomenal podcast. We need more regular Lyn/Luke Macro discussions 🙏
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Thanks for hosting @LynAldenContact and me, @BTCsessions!
US Interest + Interest-like obligations (Entitlements + VA) being 105% of Federal receipts, growing ~2x receipts, in a good economy, means we are indeed "out of time" - a decision must be made, soon.
Full link below. htt
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@LukeGromen @DianeSwonk Rate hikes into a supply side inflation story……bold plan cotton
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@LukeGromen @DianeSwonk Mathematically raising interest rates at this point increases inflation. Because you have so much Debt, as you increase the rates, you increase the interest payment which increases the money supply faster then the slowdown in money supply growth due to hi
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@LukeGromen @DianeSwonk The FED ain’t hiking..
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Aynı büyüklükteki hesaplara karşı
Son 90 güne ait 30 gönderi, 100K–1M takipçi aralığıyla yan yana. kendi kitlesinin çok ötesine gösteriliyor ve kitle tepki veriyor.
Medyan görüntülenme30 994bu hesap5 983100K–1M için medyan
Erişim, %4.93%bu hesap1.49%100K–1M için medyan
Etkileşim, %1.39%bu hesap0.93%100K–1M için medyan
| Ölçüt | Bu hesap | 100K–1M için medyan | Oran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gönderi başına medyan görüntülenme | 30 994 | 5 983 | 5.18× |
| Erişim (görüntülenme ÷ takipçi) | 4.93% | 1.49% | 3.31× |
| Etkileşim oranı | 1.39% | 0.93% | 1.49× |
Bu aralıktaki diğer hesaplar → Başka bir hesapla karşılaştır → Bu kıyas değerleri nasıl kuruluyor →
Growth & engagement
How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.
Views per post
13.8K13 Sep
563
440
58
38K14 Sep
39.8K
32.6K
22.4K
29.4K
218.5K17 Sep
157.2K
1.6K
1.5K18 Sep
511
Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.
Engagement rate per post
1.88%13 Sep
0.18%
0.68%
1.72%
0.08%14 Sep
1.18%
1.43%
0.87%
0.89%
1.32%17 Sep
1.54%
1.96%
1.36%18 Sep
5.68%
Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.93%.
What the audience does
Likes77.6%11 945 in total
Reposts8.3%1 279 in total
Replies4.4%675 in total
Quotes0.4%67 in total
Bookmarks9.3%1 427 in total
Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.
The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.
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