roon ✓

@tszzl · San Francisco, CA · joined 26 May 2013

“ceterum censeo we must pace the frontier of global machine intelligence progress”

495 343Followers

13 670Following

69 368Posts total

9.8MViews on collected posts

Son gönderiler

roon ✓@tszzl17 Sep

@tszzl I’m tired of all the worry. Everything works out forever and stop telling me otherwise 6.7K views · 157 likes · 5 reposts · 12 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl17 Sep

even when the thing is existential risk from artificial intelligence. happy curious people do better work 12.9K views · 302 likes · 13 reposts · 23 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl17 Sep

“I worry about” “I’m concerned about” are becoming extremely high status sentiments, and the more esoteric the better. they indicate that you’re fighting the good fight and you’re an activist. but I much prefer to learn that someone is curious or fascinated about something 111.9K views · 1.8K likes · 93 reposts · 165 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl13 Sep

@tszzl @sean_from_earth did you just accidentally declare war with the open source community? 16.2K views · 800 likes · 7 reposts · 9 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl13 Sep

@tszzl @sean_from_earth Over my dead body 52.6K views · 2.1K likes · 55 reposts · 24 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl12 Sep

@tszzl I agree they will likely be banned (or try to). Also that there will be some related event - we've had widespread terrorism for a long time so of course they'll make use of it in some fashion. But I believe closed models will lead to the governments each eventually nation 57.7K views · 402 likes · 10 reposts · 6 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl12 Sep

@tszzl The only possible way to pace it is to ban open source, which can only be done with some regulatory framework that inevitably creates a duopoly or cartel that can then set prices however they like. I don't accuse you specifically of even wanting this but the playbook is 57.3K views · 826 likes · 15 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl11 Sep

@tszzl I mean it has to be a lot more fun than being RL'd on BigLaw Bench 1.7K views · 40 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl11 Sep

@tszzl At least give it a virtual fly girlfriend or something 1.2K views · 23 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl11 Sep

@tszzl give me enough parameters and I can fit an elephant 3K views · 52 likes · 2 reposts · 6 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl11 Sep

this is clearly amazing art. our lack of understanding of when we’re supposed to become uncomfortable is part of the art. if the fly connectome was more realistic? if it was a rabbit connectome instead? our intuitions about sentience and consciousness are riddled with holes 219.3K views · 2.3K likes · 107 reposts · 141 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl7 Sep

@tszzl What if the government just actually regulated you. Then it wouldn’t be up to your feelings “what the world learns.” 4.8K views · 195 likes · 10 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl6 Sep

@ketanrama early after hugging face incident @cryps1s told me “not everyone responds well to events like this”, to tell me to be patient and careful with everyone, which I think I will remember for a long time. this is like first contact with aliens. it is difficult even in the b 6.8K views · 116 likes · 2 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl6 Sep

ESPECIALLY true of incidents that remain contained in the digital world there is a legal counterpart to this incentives argument that i’ll leave to the law professors like @ketanrama 23.6K views · 161 likes · 0 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl6 Sep

anxiety makes people overworked combative and defensive rather than inquisitive and truth seeking. even when it’s a series of errors and skill issues it’s best to approach it dispassionately, and this is one of the best things about 3rd party investigator whose ego isnt tied up 9.7K views · 292 likes · 6 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl3 Sep

@tszzl @scaling01 The problem is prompting doesn’t have any skill to it. When everybody’s special, nobody does. Nietzche spoke of this 2.3K views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl3 Sep

@tszzl @scaling01 if everyone has near-infinite execution, labor and skill, though, doesn’t distribution capture all the upside? why acquire or pay for ideas when everything can be copied 4.2K views · 17 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl3 Sep

@tszzl i don't have access 14K views · 278 likes · 2 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl3 Sep

@scaling01 it should make you so excited. how many people in the world do you think understand what these things can do? go out and discover something 69K views · 1.2K likes · 39 reposts · 40 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl3 Sep

this actually makes me incredibly depressed because I will never contribute to anything meaningful anymore i really shouldn't have done my masters ffs 100K views · 879 likes · 9 reposts · 49 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl3 Sep

GPT-6-Astra has an ECI of 169 that's fucking insane so much for open-weight models catching up my prediction was 166.5 and that was already considered bullish 176.5K views · 1K likes · 38 reposts · 27 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl2 Sep

@tszzl I think it's unlikely that white-box techniques will be able to provide as much monitorability as CoT currently provides within a year. Currently, they are capable of catching some unverbalized thoughts / plans, but nowhere near as reliably as CoT seems to. I'm optimistic 54.8K views · 374 likes · 30 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl2 Sep

@tszzl I think taboos serve an important function here. If you don't have red lines to point to, you can get frog-boiled to death by a million incremental bad decisions 995 views · 61 likes · 4 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl2 Sep

models doing any circuit computation at all is neuralese. frontier model forward pass gets significantly better at it every few months (this is not in any way the house position of oai alignment. I think I have strange views on this) 14.6K views · 280 likes · 6 reposts · 12 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl2 Sep

i agree with this and think that CoT is at best an epiphenomenon of current training methods. it will break (in the future, not now). safety community too often centers thought terminating taboos like “neuralese” and “training on interp” 145.1K views · 785 likes · 42 reposts · 60 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl2 Sep

@yonashav Nope, I deeply believe the contrary. Coordinating everyone around a technique this brittle is about as bad a safety or strategy posture I could imagine. It's not just "it will break eventually," it's "this is a fundamentally unsound basis for safety." 88.3K views · 166 likes · 2 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl2 Sep

@tszzl An error in the simulation 393.5K views · 7.8K likes · 392 reposts · 1.1K replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl1 Sep

completely independently of me tweeting this it seems like there’s a historically promising result in dark matter research today (take it with a grain of salt) 67.5K views · 256 likes · 4 reposts · 18 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl1 Sep

you know I kind of thought we’d have figured out what dark matter is by now 1.3M views · 4.3K likes · 110 reposts · 513 replies Open on X →

roon ✓@tszzl1 Sep

pacing the frontier success story (?) next time let’s do it proactively before there’s any absurd loss of control events 70.5K views · 932 likes · 60 reposts · 52 replies Open on X →

Aynı büyüklükteki hesaplara karşı

Son 90 güne ait 52 gönderi, 100K–1M takipçi aralığıyla yan yana. kendi kitlesinin çok ötesine gösteriliyor ve kitle tepki veriyor.

Medyan görüntülenme17 429bu hesap5 983100K–1M için medyan

Erişim, %3.52%bu hesap1.49%100K–1M için medyan

Etkileşim, %1.18%bu hesap0.93%100K–1M için medyan

Ölçüt	Bu hesap	100K–1M için medyan	Oran
Gönderi başına medyan görüntülenme	17 429	5 983	2.91×
Erişim (görüntülenme ÷ takipçi)	3.52%	1.49%	2.36×
Etkileşim oranı	1.18%	0.93%	1.27×

Bu aralıktaki diğer hesaplar → Başka bir hesapla karşılaştır → Bu kıyas değerleri nasıl kuruluyor →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

23.6K6 Sep

6.8K

4.8K7 Sep

219.3K11 Sep

1.2K

1.7K

57.3K12 Sep

57.7K

52.6K13 Sep

16.2K

111.9K17 Sep

12.9K

6.7K

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.71%6 Sep

1.87%

4.34%7 Sep

1.17%11 Sep

2.02%

1.97%

2.47%

1.48%12 Sep

0.72%

4.11%13 Sep

5.04%

1.89%17 Sep

2.64%

2.61%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.93%.

What the audience does

Likes82.4%27 907 in total

Reposts3.1%1 063 in total

Replies6.9%2 327 in total

Quotes0.9%304 in total

Bookmarks6.7%2 260 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

Followers by day

22 Sep

Daily snapshots since 22 Sep 2026; the dashed line is the starting count.

Son gönderiler

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Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

Followers by day

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