Erik Hoel ✓

@erikphoel · joined 07 Nov 2013

Scientist (Bicameral Labs) and writer on Substack. Books too, occasionally. https://t.co/CKyLzw5bHK.

23 491Followers

2 637Following

19 862Posts total

2MViews on collected posts

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Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel18 Sep

Truly sad to see the intellectual commons become a Dark Forest https://t.co/Q4yXv962OS

66.7K views · 2.5K likes · 242 reposts · 12 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel18 Sep

A new risk for mathematicians: a colleague reports that immediately after they posted an abstract of their upcoming talk online, a student elsewhere used AI to derive proofs of the stated results and then posted it on the arxiv. My colleague hadn't posted to arxiv yet. 292.7K views · 3K likes · 208 reposts · 83 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel16 Sep

I think the central distinction between the columns is not necessarily a label but “takes utilitarianism literally.” If you take utilitarianism literally why *wouldn’t* you be on the side of AI? Just as AI is easier to put capital into and get intelligence out of it’s also easier 1.6K views · 14 likes · 3 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel16 Sep

Two radically different projects operate under the banner of “AI safety.” Pro-Human Safety is not Effective Altruist Lab Safety. https://t.co/NJoVTOqsD2

215.5K views · 408 likes · 58 reposts · 152 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel15 Sep

Me admitting that existential risk is on the table: all the components are there. That doesn’t mean the risk is high but the Manhattan project required atmosphere ignition to be less than a “three in a million” chance. Can anyone say for sure existential risk is clearly less? htt

2.4K views · 37 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel15 Sep

Nice to hear a member of congress cite John von Neumann’s “can we survive technology?” and mention “successors” - this stuff is all quite understandable but for some reason it was considered arcane stuff few or no politicians would bother to understand 1.6K views · 24 likes · 2 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel15 Sep

There are certain moments wherein the veil is thin and many futures possible. Today I’m in DC supporting a ban on superintelligence and here’s an essay I wrote on why. https://t.co/nBzsOfdLq8 43.4K views · 147 likes · 20 reposts · 6 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel7 Apr 2023

@erikphoel https://t.co/F3OPCsb0bD

0:10

54.5K views · 64 likes · 13 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel7 Apr 2023

Try to like or RT and see what happens lol https://t.co/rDi6csWiE0 112.9K views · 45 likes · 6 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Erik Hoel ✓@erikphoel7 Apr 2023

Elon Musk has blocked all Substack links on Twitter from being RTed or liked. This gives huge advantage to the MSM he claims is bad, but ok. Canceled my Twitter blue, and likely won't be on this godforsaken platform for much longer. Please follow me on Substack (link below) 1.2M views · 1.6K likes · 310 reposts · 145 replies Open on X →

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

7 โพสต์จาก 90 วันที่ผ่านมา เทียบกับช่วง 10K–100K ผู้ติดตาม แสดงต่อคนมากกว่าบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน.

ยอดดูมัธยฐาน43 366บัญชีนี้924ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การเข้าถึง, %184.61%บัญชีนี้3.62%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

การมีส่วนร่วม, %1.16%บัญชีนี้1.52%ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K

ตัวชี้วัด	บัญชีนี้	ค่ามัธยฐานของ 10K–100K	อัตราส่วน
ยอดดูมัธยฐานต่อโพสต์	43 366	924	46.9×
การเข้าถึง (ยอดดู ÷ ผู้ติดตาม)	184.61%	3.62%	51.0×
อัตราการมีส่วนร่วม	1.16%	1.52%	0.76×

บัญชีอื่นในช่วงนี้ → เปรียบเทียบกับบัญชีอื่น → ค่าอ้างอิงเหล่านี้คำนวณอย่างไร →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

1.2M7 Apr

112.9K

54.5K

43.4K15 Sep

1.6K

2.4K

215.5K16 Sep

1.6K

292.7K18 Sep

66.7K

Last 10 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.16%7 Apr

0.05%

0.14%

0.42%15 Sep

1.65%

1.68%

0.35%16 Sep

1.09%

1.16%18 Sep

4.09%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes73.1%7 835 in total

Reposts8.0%862 in total

Replies3.8%408 in total

Quotes1.9%203 in total

Bookmarks13.2%1 417 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

โพสต์ล่าสุด

เทียบกับบัญชีขนาดเดียวกัน

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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