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Garrett Herrin ✓

@GarrettHerrin · Los Angeles · joined 26 Apr 2017

CEO & co-founder @VoteHub

10 435Followers
1 965Following
4 816Posts total
216.5KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Dan Osborn’s events have leaned heavily on town halls and direct voter contact across Nebraska. A larger share of Pete Ricketts’s activity comes from public-facing appearances tied to his incumbency that qualify under our methodology, with gaps while he is in DC. https://t.co/Tni 4.8K views · 36 likes · 6 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
VoteHub gets questions from time to time about this divergence, which has persisted for the past few weeks. The same dynamic can appear however you measure the race, whether through prediction markets or traditional probabilistic forecasts: we see the same phenomenon in both our 2.1K views · 16 likes · 4 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
I find it incredibly interesting that: A. Traders are narrowly favoring the Republicans to hold the Senate at a 53% chance, BUT B. In a no toss-up seat forecast, Democrats are favored to hold 51 seats (if they do so, they would control the Senate. Republicans would have control 11.5K views · 24 likes · 5 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →
If anyone is curious, here's the '24 presidential tracker piece by @baseballot and @kemarriner, which is also where the graphic is from ⤵️ https://t.co/d3RgOOjn25 3.2K views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@GarrettHerrin She was the VP; had Biden’s team who’re we’re flat footed and under PTSD from the switch; and she had 107 Days! Trump has been running for President for 4 years prior. 953 views · 9 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
One of my favorite VoteHub projects from 2024 is back. Our campaign tracking (featured that cycle by FiveThirtyEight below!) is returning for 2026 with coverage of all the statewide battlegrounds. https://t.co/rwYMoRoybu 91.1K views · 120 likes · 11 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →
This race is as close as it gets: on the ground, in the polls, and in our forecast. Our forecasted vote share: Acton +0.2 Our polling average: Acton +0.3 8.9K views · 45 likes · 8 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
OHIO GOVERNOR is now live in our Campaign Tracker. Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy have matched each other almost step for step since the primary in campaign events. https://t.co/chnE9CLqJB 37.4K views · 239 likes · 18 reposts · 6 replies Open on X →
We include a vote density mode because land doesn't vote, people do. Pratt is strongest in the low-density areas from the Palisades to Beverly Glen. Raman’s support is concentrated in dense neighborhoods along the 101 corridor in Central LA, while Bass runs strongly in South LA. 56.6K views · 381 likes · 50 reposts · 21 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

8 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views6 838this account924median for 10K–100K
Reach, %65.53%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K
Engagement, %0.66%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K
MetricThis accountMedian for 10K–100KRatio
Median views per post6 8389247.40×
Reach (views ÷ followers)65.53%3.62%18.1×
Engagement rate0.66%1.52%0.44×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

56.6K4 Jun
37.4K2 Sep
8.9K
91.1K3 Sep
953
3.2K
11.5K
2.1K
4.8K4 Sep

Last 9 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.81%4 Jun
0.72%2 Sep
0.61%
0.15%3 Sep
1.05%
0.16%
0.30%
1.00%
0.92%4 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes77.6%875 in total
Reposts9.1%102 in total
Replies3.6%41 in total
Quotes1.7%19 in total
Bookmarks8.0%90 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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