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Manifold ✓

@ManifoldTrading · joined 26 Oct 2021

A systematic, quantitative investment firm. Disclaimer: Tweet =\= investment advice. We may have positions in tokens, instruments, protocols discussed.

10 890Followers
516Following
259Posts total
4MViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Honored to be part of the ride! Real growth in market share doesn't lie. 7.9K views · 33 likes · 1 reposts · 9 replies Open on X →
1/ Today, we're proud to announce that Stripe is acquiring Privy. We couldn’t be more excited. Privy will continue as an independent product – but now we’ll move faster, ship more, and serve you even better, so you can stay focused on your users. https://t.co/8CHJqhqYy7
2.5M views · 5.9K likes · 646 reposts · 1K replies Open on X →
The ceiling of a network-state is limitless. 7.7K views · 38 likes · 3 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →
$525M in financing for @praxisnation to build the next great city. Together with our partners, we designed a novel drawdown mechanism for the development of new cities. This is its first deployment. https://t.co/Q5uWTfROiJ
1.1M views · 2.1K likes · 197 reposts · 228 replies Open on X →
In 2024, Hyperliquid is growing rapidly but there is no way to invest directly. Everyone knows HL will hit, but points are now uber-competitive. In order to gain exposure to HL beta, we decided to build positions in multiple HL spot alts over time. Though the correlation may 27.6K views · 132 likes · 12 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →
"We're just gambling on vaporware" is a common theme echoing through CT. It seems like crypto only found PMF in pure speculation on shiny tickers. Where do we go from here? In our more recent thesis, we dive deeper into where we see the game evolving: https://t.co/8Z9eYcTZLa 49.7K views · 227 likes · 13 reposts · 95 replies Open on X →
Manifold is rooting for cat Since early days of CT, this internet cat has been out-trading us all, this time will be no different He shall prove he has many more socks to fill (This is not betting advice) 3.8K views · 13 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
quit full time trading in dec 2020 but market is still pricing cat as 1 of the best 🥺 https://t.co/PefR5OTlhG
60.2K views · 330 likes · 5 reposts · 46 replies Open on X →
How I missed investing in Uber and how it directly led me to one of my most incredible trades. This is actually one of the most memorable stories because its a lesson of turning a private market insight into a fully actionable public market short. In 2014 Uber was raising and 206.6K views · 905 likes · 87 reposts · 47 replies Open on X →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

206.6K10 Mar
60.2K16 Jul
3.8K
49.7K16 Aug
27.6K25 Sep
1.1M15 Oct
7.7K
2.5M11 Jun
7.9K

Last 9 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.51%10 Mar
0.64%16 Jul
0.42%
0.70%16 Aug
0.54%25 Sep
0.26%15 Oct
0.58%
0.34%11 Jun
0.55%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views.

What the audience does

Likes63.5%9 708 in total
Reposts6.3%965 in total
Replies9.7%1 475 in total
Quotes9.0%1 368 in total
Bookmarks11.6%1 767 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

Followers by day

17 Sep

Daily snapshots since 17 Sep 2026; the dashed line is the starting count.

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