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Tom Dwan

@TomDwan · Las Vegas, NV · joined 16 Jun 2010

206 917Followers
629Following
5 192Posts total
1.8MViews on collected posts

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

569.4K29 Mar
83.1K30 Mar
728.6K5 Apr
36.3K
225.3K9 Apr
35.3K10 Apr
90.9K
39.9K
35.5K

Last 9 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.07%29 Mar
0.11%30 Mar
0.53%5 Apr
0.04%
0.12%9 Apr
0.12%10 Apr
0.15%
0.07%
0.07%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views.

What the audience does

Likes81.0%4 005 in total
Reposts10.1%499 in total
Replies6.1%300 in total
Quotes2.1%104 in total
Bookmarks0.7%36 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Ahh ok. Im happy to try to help you pressure the frontier labs to play ball. Some of them claim to be good enough for military targeting and stuff (even though awful mistakes seem to have happened), why not do a proper real test? 35.5K views · 14 likes · 1 reposts · 10 replies 10 Apr 2026 @TomDwan Great point, Tom. Running frontier LLMs at scale is expensive. That's why we use AIVAT, a variance reduction technique that achieves the same statistical significance in 10x fewer hands, so 5K is equivalent to ~50K raw hands. 39.9K views · 22 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies 10 Apr 2026 This is cool. 5k obviously not enough hands though, you guys should know that. Can you run a new one with 50-100k hands 🙏🏻🙏🏻 90.9K views · 110 likes · 4 reposts · 17 replies 10 Apr 2026 As one of the few foreigners who knows (almost) all of the story of china’s🇨🇳 crypto crackdown, it’s not even close to accurate to say star reported Li Lin 35.3K views · 38 likes · 1 reposts · 5 replies 10 Apr 2026 We benchmarked every major AI model at poker. GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Grok 4 and more. All played 5,000 hands of heads-up no-limit against our state-of-the-art poker agent. Every single one lost. Here's the full breakdown 🧵 https://t.co/Krbg3VHQjN 225.3K views · 201 likes · 37 reposts · 16 replies 09 Apr 2026 Wow 36.3K views · 14 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies 05 Apr 2026 I beg everyone in crypto to read this in full. I expected this to be another case of social engineering, likely some recruiter/job offer shit. I was very wrong. And the depth of the operation and personas makes me think they already have multiple other teams on lock. 😳 728.6K views · 3.2K likes · 419 reposts · 172 replies 05 Apr 2026 I saw @senortilt teach our drunk friend blackjack once… 83.1K views · 83 likes · 5 reposts · 6 replies 30 Mar 2026 Hey @KylieJenner — I’m Sam Kiki. I hold the record for the most ever won in 17 seasons on High Stakes Poker. I also hold the record for largest single day win. I, too, like splashy pots. I have a seat and $500k with your name on it. Bring @RealChalamet. I’ll teach you both 569.4K views · 301 likes · 31 reposts · 71 replies 29 Mar 2026

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